Verfügbarkeit: The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices

The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices: Small Trends and Big Variability

Using the longest dataset publicly available (The Economist''s index of industrial commodity prices), we analyze the behavior of real commodity prices over the period 1862-99, and have two main findings. First, while there has been a downward trend in real commodity prices of 1.3 percent p...

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1. Verfasser:	Cashin, Paul (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2001
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 01/68
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	Using the longest dataset publicly available (The Economist''s index of industrial commodity prices), we analyze the behavior of real commodity prices over the period 1862-99, and have two main findings. First, while there has been a downward trend in real commodity prices of 1.3 percent per year over the last 140 years, little support is found for a break in the long-run trend decline in commodity prices. Second, there is evidence of a ratcheting up in the variability of price movements. The amplitude of price movements increased in the early 1900s, while the frequency of large price movements increased after the collapse of the Bretton Woods regime of fixed exchange rates in the early 1970s. While there is a downward trend in real commodity prices, this is of little practical policy relevance as it is small and completely dominated by the variability of prices
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (27 p)
ISBN:	1451848994 9781451848991

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spelling	Cashin, Paul Verfasser aut The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability Cashin, Paul Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2001 1 Online-Ressource (27 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 01/68 Using the longest dataset publicly available (The Economist''s index of industrial commodity prices), we analyze the behavior of real commodity prices over the period 1862-99, and have two main findings. First, while there has been a downward trend in real commodity prices of 1.3 percent per year over the last 140 years, little support is found for a break in the long-run trend decline in commodity prices. Second, there is evidence of a ratcheting up in the variability of price movements. The amplitude of price movements increased in the early 1900s, while the frequency of large price movements increased after the collapse of the Bretton Woods regime of fixed exchange rates in the early 1970s. While there is a downward trend in real commodity prices, this is of little practical policy relevance as it is small and completely dominated by the variability of prices Online-Ausg McDermott, C. John Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07135-9781451848991/07135-9781451848991/07135-9781451848991.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Cashin, Paul The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability
title	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability
title_auth	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability
title_exact_search	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability
title_exact_search_txtP	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability
title_full	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability Cashin, Paul
title_fullStr	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability Cashin, Paul
title_full_unstemmed	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices Small Trends and Big Variability Cashin, Paul
title_short	The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices
title_sort	the long run behavior of commodity prices small trends and big variability
title_sub	Small Trends and Big Variability
url	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07135-9781451848991/07135-9781451848991/07135-9781451848991.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT cashinpaul thelongrunbehaviorofcommoditypricessmalltrendsandbigvariability AT mcdermottcjohn thelongrunbehaviorofcommoditypricessmalltrendsandbigvariability

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