On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework :: an application to low-income countries /
Many low-income countries continue to describe their monetary policy framework in terms of targets on monetary aggregates. This contrasts with most modern discussions of monetary policy, and with most practice. We extend the new-Keynesian model to provide a role for M in the conduct of monetary poli...
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Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
©2010.
|
Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/10/134. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Many low-income countries continue to describe their monetary policy framework in terms of targets on monetary aggregates. This contrasts with most modern discussions of monetary policy, and with most practice. We extend the new-Keynesian model to provide a role for M in the conduct of monetary policy, and examine the conditions under which some adherence to money targets is optimal. In the spirit of Poole (1970), this role is based on the incompleteness of information available to the central bank, a pervasive issues in these countries. Ex-ante announcements/forecasts for money growth are consistent with a Taylor rule for the relevant short-term interest rate. Ex-post, the policy maker must choose his relative adherence to interest rate and money growth targets. Drawing on the method in Svensson and Woodford (2004), we show that the optimal adherence to ex-ante targets is equivalent to a signal extraction problem where the central bank uses the money market information to update its estimate of the state of the economy. We estimate the model, using Bayesian methods, for Tanzania, Uganda (both de jure money targeters), and Ghana (a de jure inflation targeter), and compare the de facto adherence to targets with the optimal use of money market information in each country. |
Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (31 pages) : color illustrations |
Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references. |
ISBN: | 1282846094 9781282846098 9781455201174 1455201170 9781455298983 1455298980 1455200387 9781455200382 |
ISSN: | 2227-8885 ; |
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520 | 3 | |a Many low-income countries continue to describe their monetary policy framework in terms of targets on monetary aggregates. This contrasts with most modern discussions of monetary policy, and with most practice. We extend the new-Keynesian model to provide a role for M in the conduct of monetary policy, and examine the conditions under which some adherence to money targets is optimal. In the spirit of Poole (1970), this role is based on the incompleteness of information available to the central bank, a pervasive issues in these countries. Ex-ante announcements/forecasts for money growth are consistent with a Taylor rule for the relevant short-term interest rate. Ex-post, the policy maker must choose his relative adherence to interest rate and money growth targets. Drawing on the method in Svensson and Woodford (2004), we show that the optimal adherence to ex-ante targets is equivalent to a signal extraction problem where the central bank uses the money market information to update its estimate of the state of the economy. We estimate the model, using Bayesian methods, for Tanzania, Uganda (both de jure money targeters), and Ghana (a de jure inflation targeter), and compare the de facto adherence to targets with the optimal use of money market information in each country. | |
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author | Berg, Andrew Portillo, Rafael Unsal, D. Filiz |
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spelling | Berg, Andrew, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no95020783 On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / prepared by Andrew Berg, Rafael Portillo, and D. Filiz Unsal. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2010. 1 online resource (31 pages) : color illustrations text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier IMF working paper, 2227-8885 ; WP/10/134 Includes bibliographical references. Many low-income countries continue to describe their monetary policy framework in terms of targets on monetary aggregates. This contrasts with most modern discussions of monetary policy, and with most practice. We extend the new-Keynesian model to provide a role for M in the conduct of monetary policy, and examine the conditions under which some adherence to money targets is optimal. In the spirit of Poole (1970), this role is based on the incompleteness of information available to the central bank, a pervasive issues in these countries. Ex-ante announcements/forecasts for money growth are consistent with a Taylor rule for the relevant short-term interest rate. Ex-post, the policy maker must choose his relative adherence to interest rate and money growth targets. Drawing on the method in Svensson and Woodford (2004), we show that the optimal adherence to ex-ante targets is equivalent to a signal extraction problem where the central bank uses the money market information to update its estimate of the state of the economy. We estimate the model, using Bayesian methods, for Tanzania, Uganda (both de jure money targeters), and Ghana (a de jure inflation targeter), and compare the de facto adherence to targets with the optimal use of money market information in each country. Print version record. English. Monetary policy Developing countries Econometric models. Money Developing countries Econometric models. Monetary policy Econometric models fast Money Econometric models fast Developing countries fast Portillo, Rafael, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88619917 Unsal, D. Filiz, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010005428 International Monetary Fund. Research Department, issuing body. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n77001219 has work: On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCFGQRBc6FDwm3RBb8HBhpd https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Berg, Andrew. On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries. [Washington, D.C.] : Internaitonal Monetary Fund, [©2010] (OCoLC)654432886 IMF working paper ; WP/10/134. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBU FWS_PDA_EBU https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=2083870 Volltext |
spellingShingle | Berg, Andrew Portillo, Rafael Unsal, D. Filiz On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / IMF working paper ; Monetary policy Developing countries Econometric models. Money Developing countries Econometric models. Monetary policy Econometric models fast Money Econometric models fast |
title | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / |
title_auth | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / |
title_exact_search | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / |
title_full | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / prepared by Andrew Berg, Rafael Portillo, and D. Filiz Unsal. |
title_fullStr | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / prepared by Andrew Berg, Rafael Portillo, and D. Filiz Unsal. |
title_full_unstemmed | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : an application to low-income countries / prepared by Andrew Berg, Rafael Portillo, and D. Filiz Unsal. |
title_short | On the optimal adherence to money targets in a new-Keynesian framework : |
title_sort | on the optimal adherence to money targets in a new keynesian framework an application to low income countries |
title_sub | an application to low-income countries / |
topic | Monetary policy Developing countries Econometric models. Money Developing countries Econometric models. Monetary policy Econometric models fast Money Econometric models fast |
topic_facet | Monetary policy Developing countries Econometric models. Money Developing countries Econometric models. Monetary policy Econometric models Money Econometric models Developing countries |
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