The logic of miracles :: making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events /
We live in a much more turbulent world than we like to think, but the science we use to analyze economic, financial, and statistical events mostly disregards the world's essentially chaotic nature. We need to get used to the idea that wildly improbable events are actually part of the natural or...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English Hungarian |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New Haven, CT :
Yale University Press,
[2018]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | We live in a much more turbulent world than we like to think, but the science we use to analyze economic, financial, and statistical events mostly disregards the world's essentially chaotic nature. We need to get used to the idea that wildly improbable events are actually part of the natural order. The renowned Hungarian mathematician and psychologist László Méro explains how the wild and mild worlds (which he names Wildovia and Mildovia) coexist, and that different laws apply to each. Even if we live in an ultimately wild universe, he argues, we're better off pretending that it obeys Mildovian laws. Doing so may amount to a self-fulfilling prophecy and create an island of predictability in a very rough sea. Perched on the ragged border between economics and complexity theory, Méro proposes to extend the reach of science to subjects previously considered outside its grasp: the unpredictable, unrepeatable, highly improbable events we commonly call "miracles."--Provided by publisher |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (xii, 275 pages) |
| Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| ISBN: | 9780300238488 0300238487 |
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| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; Half Title; Title; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; PART ONE: SECULAR MIRACLES; 1 On the Existence of Miracles; 2 The Mild World and the Wild World; 3 The Source of Miracles: Gödel's Idea; PART TWO: THE MILD WORLD; 4 The Power of the Normal Distribution; 5 The Extremities of Mildovia; 6 The Sources of Equilibrium; PART THREE: THE WILD WORLD; 7 The Mathematics of the Unpredictable; 8 Scale-Invariance; 9 The Levels of Wildness; 10 Life in Wildovia; PART FOUR: PREPARING FOR THE INCONCEIVABLE; 11 Adapting to Wildovia; 12 Antifragility; 13 Convertible Knowledge; Epilogue. | |
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| contents | Cover; Half Title; Title; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; PART ONE: SECULAR MIRACLES; 1 On the Existence of Miracles; 2 The Mild World and the Wild World; 3 The Source of Miracles: Gödel's Idea; PART TWO: THE MILD WORLD; 4 The Power of the Normal Distribution; 5 The Extremities of Mildovia; 6 The Sources of Equilibrium; PART THREE: THE WILD WORLD; 7 The Mathematics of the Unpredictable; 8 Scale-Invariance; 9 The Levels of Wildness; 10 Life in Wildovia; PART FOUR: PREPARING FOR THE INCONCEIVABLE; 11 Adapting to Wildovia; 12 Antifragility; 13 Convertible Knowledge; Epilogue. NotesBibliography; Index; A; B; C; D; E; F; G; H; I; J; K; L; M; N; O; P; Q; R; S; T; U; V; W; Z. |
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| spelling | Mérő, László, author. The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / László Mérő ; translated from the Hungarian by Márton Moldovan ; Translation edited by David Kramer. New Haven, CT : Yale University Press, [2018] 1 online resource (xii, 275 pages) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index. Print version record. Cover; Half Title; Title; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; PART ONE: SECULAR MIRACLES; 1 On the Existence of Miracles; 2 The Mild World and the Wild World; 3 The Source of Miracles: Gödel's Idea; PART TWO: THE MILD WORLD; 4 The Power of the Normal Distribution; 5 The Extremities of Mildovia; 6 The Sources of Equilibrium; PART THREE: THE WILD WORLD; 7 The Mathematics of the Unpredictable; 8 Scale-Invariance; 9 The Levels of Wildness; 10 Life in Wildovia; PART FOUR: PREPARING FOR THE INCONCEIVABLE; 11 Adapting to Wildovia; 12 Antifragility; 13 Convertible Knowledge; Epilogue. NotesBibliography; Index; A; B; C; D; E; F; G; H; I; J; K; L; M; N; O; P; Q; R; S; T; U; V; W; Z. We live in a much more turbulent world than we like to think, but the science we use to analyze economic, financial, and statistical events mostly disregards the world's essentially chaotic nature. We need to get used to the idea that wildly improbable events are actually part of the natural order. The renowned Hungarian mathematician and psychologist László Méro explains how the wild and mild worlds (which he names Wildovia and Mildovia) coexist, and that different laws apply to each. Even if we live in an ultimately wild universe, he argues, we're better off pretending that it obeys Mildovian laws. Doing so may amount to a self-fulfilling prophecy and create an island of predictability in a very rough sea. Perched on the ragged border between economics and complexity theory, Méro proposes to extend the reach of science to subjects previously considered outside its grasp: the unpredictable, unrepeatable, highly improbable events we commonly call "miracles."--Provided by publisher Translated from the Hungarian. Probabilities. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85107090 Probabilités. probability. aat MATHEMATICS Applied. bisacsh MATHEMATICS Probability & Statistics General. bisacsh Probabilities fast has work: The logic of miracles (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCFRTdC9rP3V4JggM9WFp6C https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Mérő, László. Logic of miracles. New Haven, CT : Yale University Press, [2018] 9780300224153 (OCoLC)1030567418 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1775046 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Mérő, László The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / Cover; Half Title; Title; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; PART ONE: SECULAR MIRACLES; 1 On the Existence of Miracles; 2 The Mild World and the Wild World; 3 The Source of Miracles: Gödel's Idea; PART TWO: THE MILD WORLD; 4 The Power of the Normal Distribution; 5 The Extremities of Mildovia; 6 The Sources of Equilibrium; PART THREE: THE WILD WORLD; 7 The Mathematics of the Unpredictable; 8 Scale-Invariance; 9 The Levels of Wildness; 10 Life in Wildovia; PART FOUR: PREPARING FOR THE INCONCEIVABLE; 11 Adapting to Wildovia; 12 Antifragility; 13 Convertible Knowledge; Epilogue. NotesBibliography; Index; A; B; C; D; E; F; G; H; I; J; K; L; M; N; O; P; Q; R; S; T; U; V; W; Z. Probabilities. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85107090 Probabilités. probability. aat MATHEMATICS Applied. bisacsh MATHEMATICS Probability & Statistics General. bisacsh Probabilities fast |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85107090 |
| title | The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / |
| title_auth | The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / |
| title_exact_search | The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / |
| title_full | The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / László Mérő ; translated from the Hungarian by Márton Moldovan ; Translation edited by David Kramer. |
| title_fullStr | The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / László Mérő ; translated from the Hungarian by Márton Moldovan ; Translation edited by David Kramer. |
| title_full_unstemmed | The logic of miracles : making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / László Mérő ; translated from the Hungarian by Márton Moldovan ; Translation edited by David Kramer. |
| title_short | The logic of miracles : |
| title_sort | logic of miracles making sense of rare really rare and impossibly rare events |
| title_sub | making sense of rare, really rare, and impossibly rare events / |
| topic | Probabilities. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85107090 Probabilités. probability. aat MATHEMATICS Applied. bisacsh MATHEMATICS Probability & Statistics General. bisacsh Probabilities fast |
| topic_facet | Probabilities. Probabilités. probability. MATHEMATICS Applied. MATHEMATICS Probability & Statistics General. Probabilities |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1775046 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT merolaszlo thelogicofmiraclesmakingsenseofrarereallyrareandimpossiblyrareevents AT merolaszlo logicofmiraclesmakingsenseofrarereallyrareandimpossiblyrareevents |