Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis :: an insight into an innovative forecasting model /
"It is crucial that governments collect information regarding the incoming flow of immigrants into their countries; this is usually done via intelligence services. Data and information related to migrations is used not only for statistical, humanitarian, medical, public security, and other simi...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Hauppauge, New York :
Nova Science Publishers Inc.,
[2017]
|
| Schriftenreihe: | European political, economic and security issues series.
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | "It is crucial that governments collect information regarding the incoming flow of immigrants into their countries; this is usually done via intelligence services. Data and information related to migrations is used not only for statistical, humanitarian, medical, public security, and other similar purposes, but are also especially used for purposes concerning national security. In the midst of migrants seeking international help and humanitarian aid, members of organized crime, human, drugs, and weapons traffickers, terrorists, and other criminals/deviants could potentially be hiding amongst those seeking refuge. Their purpose is to clandestinely reaching their destination where criminal offences, terrorism and other similar activities can inflict serious damage to national or international security. During the last few years, the rising inflow of refugees and economic migrants is becoming a more and more serious economic, political and security problem for Europe, especially for the member countries of the European Union. In 2015, the migrant inflow into Europe was above one million, which is the most exceptional influx to date, and policymakers do not have a competent answer of how to react. To make things even worse, Turkey is threatening to push an enormous number of additional migrants into the Greek islands. Additional controversy is present in the Schengen area, which will probably narrow - not expand - the so-called Dublin Declaration, in European countries which are not members of the European Union, in the United Kingdom following "Brexit", and in some countries where overall political instability seems incessant. Such political complexity of the given situation in Europe might diminish the capabilities of intelligence and security services that are normally highly successful. The core of the proposed book addresses the statistical analysis and modeling of the potential future of migrant inflow according to Turkey's possible motives in the future. Since the latter can be quite unpredictable, a relatively difficult forecasting problem is currently unavoidable, and possible uncertainties might be quite severe. The calculated prediction results imply that the migrant inflow trend will remain considerably high, particularly in the case if Turkey decides to completely open its borders for further migrations towards the Greek islands. This finding should be a serious warning to the EU to create a more efficient immigration policy in the near future."-- |
| Beschreibung: | Includes index. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource. |
| Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| ISBN: | 9781536130461 153613046X |
Internformat
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| 100 | 1 | |a Ivanuša, Teodora, |e author. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : |b an insight into an innovative forecasting model / |c Teodora Ivanu, Ph.D., Dejan Dragan, Ph.D., Iztok Podbregar, Ph.D., Gašper Hribar, and Janez Žirovnik, University of Maribor, Faculty of Logistics, Mariborska cesta 7, Celje, Slovenia. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Hauppauge, New York : |b Nova Science Publishers Inc., |c [2017] | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource. | ||
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| 500 | |a Includes index. | ||
| 588 | |a Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher. | ||
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 520 | |a "It is crucial that governments collect information regarding the incoming flow of immigrants into their countries; this is usually done via intelligence services. Data and information related to migrations is used not only for statistical, humanitarian, medical, public security, and other similar purposes, but are also especially used for purposes concerning national security. In the midst of migrants seeking international help and humanitarian aid, members of organized crime, human, drugs, and weapons traffickers, terrorists, and other criminals/deviants could potentially be hiding amongst those seeking refuge. Their purpose is to clandestinely reaching their destination where criminal offences, terrorism and other similar activities can inflict serious damage to national or international security. During the last few years, the rising inflow of refugees and economic migrants is becoming a more and more serious economic, political and security problem for Europe, especially for the member countries of the European Union. In 2015, the migrant inflow into Europe was above one million, which is the most exceptional influx to date, and policymakers do not have a competent answer of how to react. To make things even worse, Turkey is threatening to push an enormous number of additional migrants into the Greek islands. Additional controversy is present in the Schengen area, which will probably narrow - not expand - the so-called Dublin Declaration, in European countries which are not members of the European Union, in the United Kingdom following "Brexit", and in some countries where overall political instability seems incessant. Such political complexity of the given situation in Europe might diminish the capabilities of intelligence and security services that are normally highly successful. The core of the proposed book addresses the statistical analysis and modeling of the potential future of migrant inflow according to Turkey's possible motives in the future. Since the latter can be quite unpredictable, a relatively difficult forecasting problem is currently unavoidable, and possible uncertainties might be quite severe. The calculated prediction results imply that the migrant inflow trend will remain considerably high, particularly in the case if Turkey decides to completely open its borders for further migrations towards the Greek islands. This finding should be a serious warning to the EU to create a more efficient immigration policy in the near future."-- |c Provided by publisher. | ||
| 651 | 0 | |a European Union countries |x Emigration and immigration |x Government policy. | |
| 651 | 0 | |a European Union countries |x Emigration and immigration |x Economic aspects. | |
| 651 | 0 | |a European Union countries |x Emigration and immigration |x Statistical methods. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Immigrants |z European Union countries. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Refugees |z European Union countries. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Terrorism |z European Union countries. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a National security |z European Union countries. | |
| 651 | 0 | |a European Economic Community countries |x Emigration and immigration |x Government policy. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Réfugiés |z Pays de l'Union européenne. | |
| 651 | 6 | |a Pays de l'Union européenne |x Émigration et immigration |x Politique gouvernementale. | |
| 651 | 6 | |a Pays de l'Union européenne |x Émigration et immigration |x Aspect économique. | |
| 651 | 6 | |a Pays de l'Union européenne |x Émigration et immigration |x Méthodes statistiques. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Terrorisme |z Pays de l'Union européenne. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SOCIAL SCIENCE |x Emigration & Immigration. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Emigration and immigration |x Economic aspects |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Emigration and immigration |x Government policy |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Emigration and immigration |x Statistical methods |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Immigrants |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a National security |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Refugees |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Terrorism |2 fast | |
| 651 | 7 | |a European Union countries |2 fast | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print version: |a Ivanuša, Teodora, author. |t Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis |d Hauppauge, New York : Nova Science Publishers Inc., [2017] |z 9781536130454 |w (DLC) 2018013456 |
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| callnumber-first | J - Political Science |
| callnumber-label | JV7590 |
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| callnumber-search | JV7590 |
| callnumber-sort | JV 47590 |
| callnumber-subject | JV - Colonization, Immigration |
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| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1029775222 |
| dewey-full | 325.4 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 325 - International migration and colonization |
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| dewey-search | 325.4 |
| dewey-sort | 3325.4 |
| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| geographic | European Union countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Economic aspects. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Statistical methods. European Economic Community countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Politique gouvernementale. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Aspect économique. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Méthodes statistiques. European Union countries fast |
| geographic_facet | European Union countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Economic aspects. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Statistical methods. European Economic Community countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Politique gouvernementale. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Aspect économique. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Méthodes statistiques. European Union countries |
| id | ZDB-4-EBA-on1029775222 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:28:16Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781536130461 153613046X |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2018014859 |
| oclc_num | 1029775222 |
| open_access_boolean | |
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| physical | 1 online resource. |
| psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publishDateSearch | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
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| series | European political, economic and security issues series. |
| series2 | European political, economic and security issues |
| spelling | Ivanuša, Teodora, author. Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / Teodora Ivanu, Ph.D., Dejan Dragan, Ph.D., Iztok Podbregar, Ph.D., Gašper Hribar, and Janez Žirovnik, University of Maribor, Faculty of Logistics, Mariborska cesta 7, Celje, Slovenia. Hauppauge, New York : Nova Science Publishers Inc., [2017] 1 online resource. text txt rdacontent computer n rdamedia online resource nc rdacarrier European political, economic and security issues Includes index. Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher. Includes bibliographical references and index. "It is crucial that governments collect information regarding the incoming flow of immigrants into their countries; this is usually done via intelligence services. Data and information related to migrations is used not only for statistical, humanitarian, medical, public security, and other similar purposes, but are also especially used for purposes concerning national security. In the midst of migrants seeking international help and humanitarian aid, members of organized crime, human, drugs, and weapons traffickers, terrorists, and other criminals/deviants could potentially be hiding amongst those seeking refuge. Their purpose is to clandestinely reaching their destination where criminal offences, terrorism and other similar activities can inflict serious damage to national or international security. During the last few years, the rising inflow of refugees and economic migrants is becoming a more and more serious economic, political and security problem for Europe, especially for the member countries of the European Union. In 2015, the migrant inflow into Europe was above one million, which is the most exceptional influx to date, and policymakers do not have a competent answer of how to react. To make things even worse, Turkey is threatening to push an enormous number of additional migrants into the Greek islands. Additional controversy is present in the Schengen area, which will probably narrow - not expand - the so-called Dublin Declaration, in European countries which are not members of the European Union, in the United Kingdom following "Brexit", and in some countries where overall political instability seems incessant. Such political complexity of the given situation in Europe might diminish the capabilities of intelligence and security services that are normally highly successful. The core of the proposed book addresses the statistical analysis and modeling of the potential future of migrant inflow according to Turkey's possible motives in the future. Since the latter can be quite unpredictable, a relatively difficult forecasting problem is currently unavoidable, and possible uncertainties might be quite severe. The calculated prediction results imply that the migrant inflow trend will remain considerably high, particularly in the case if Turkey decides to completely open its borders for further migrations towards the Greek islands. This finding should be a serious warning to the EU to create a more efficient immigration policy in the near future."-- Provided by publisher. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Economic aspects. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Statistical methods. Immigrants European Union countries. Refugees European Union countries. Terrorism European Union countries. National security European Union countries. European Economic Community countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. Réfugiés Pays de l'Union européenne. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Politique gouvernementale. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Aspect économique. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Méthodes statistiques. Terrorisme Pays de l'Union européenne. SOCIAL SCIENCE Emigration & Immigration. bisacsh Emigration and immigration Economic aspects fast Emigration and immigration Government policy fast Emigration and immigration Statistical methods fast Immigrants fast National security fast Refugees fast Terrorism fast European Union countries fast Print version: Ivanuša, Teodora, author. Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis Hauppauge, New York : Nova Science Publishers Inc., [2017] 9781536130454 (DLC) 2018013456 European political, economic and security issues series. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2009205481 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1724451 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Ivanuša, Teodora Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / European political, economic and security issues series. Immigrants European Union countries. Refugees European Union countries. Terrorism European Union countries. National security European Union countries. Réfugiés Pays de l'Union européenne. Terrorisme Pays de l'Union européenne. SOCIAL SCIENCE Emigration & Immigration. bisacsh Emigration and immigration Economic aspects fast Emigration and immigration Government policy fast Emigration and immigration Statistical methods fast Immigrants fast National security fast Refugees fast Terrorism fast |
| title | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / |
| title_auth | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / |
| title_exact_search | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / |
| title_full | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / Teodora Ivanu, Ph.D., Dejan Dragan, Ph.D., Iztok Podbregar, Ph.D., Gašper Hribar, and Janez Žirovnik, University of Maribor, Faculty of Logistics, Mariborska cesta 7, Celje, Slovenia. |
| title_fullStr | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / Teodora Ivanu, Ph.D., Dejan Dragan, Ph.D., Iztok Podbregar, Ph.D., Gašper Hribar, and Janez Žirovnik, University of Maribor, Faculty of Logistics, Mariborska cesta 7, Celje, Slovenia. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : an insight into an innovative forecasting model / Teodora Ivanu, Ph.D., Dejan Dragan, Ph.D., Iztok Podbregar, Ph.D., Gašper Hribar, and Janez Žirovnik, University of Maribor, Faculty of Logistics, Mariborska cesta 7, Celje, Slovenia. |
| title_short | Intelligence and security challenges of the European migrant crisis : |
| title_sort | intelligence and security challenges of the european migrant crisis an insight into an innovative forecasting model |
| title_sub | an insight into an innovative forecasting model / |
| topic | Immigrants European Union countries. Refugees European Union countries. Terrorism European Union countries. National security European Union countries. Réfugiés Pays de l'Union européenne. Terrorisme Pays de l'Union européenne. SOCIAL SCIENCE Emigration & Immigration. bisacsh Emigration and immigration Economic aspects fast Emigration and immigration Government policy fast Emigration and immigration Statistical methods fast Immigrants fast National security fast Refugees fast Terrorism fast |
| topic_facet | European Union countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Economic aspects. European Union countries Emigration and immigration Statistical methods. Immigrants European Union countries. Refugees European Union countries. Terrorism European Union countries. National security European Union countries. European Economic Community countries Emigration and immigration Government policy. Réfugiés Pays de l'Union européenne. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Politique gouvernementale. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Aspect économique. Pays de l'Union européenne Émigration et immigration Méthodes statistiques. Terrorisme Pays de l'Union européenne. SOCIAL SCIENCE Emigration & Immigration. Emigration and immigration Economic aspects Emigration and immigration Government policy Emigration and immigration Statistical methods Immigrants National security Refugees Terrorism European Union countries |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1724451 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ivanusateodora intelligenceandsecuritychallengesoftheeuropeanmigrantcrisisaninsightintoaninnovativeforecastingmodel |