Trading with China :: productivity gains, job losses /
We analyze the impact on productivity in advanced economies of fast-growing trade with China between the mid-1990s and late-2000s, separately identifying the export and import channels. We use country-sector-level data for 18 advanced economies and, similar to Autor, Dorn, and Hanson (2013), exploit...
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| Hauptverfasser: | , |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2017.
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/17/122. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | DE-862 DE-863 |
| Zusammenfassung: | We analyze the impact on productivity in advanced economies of fast-growing trade with China between the mid-1990s and late-2000s, separately identifying the export and import channels. We use country-sector-level data for 18 advanced economies and, similar to Autor, Dorn, and Hanson (2013), exploit exogenous variation in trade with China in a given country-sector by instrumenting imports from (exports to) China in a given country-sector with the average imports from (exports to) China in the same sector in other advanced economies. Our estimates point to large productivity gains from trading with China-the (exogenous) rise of China in global trade may have increased the level of total factor productivity by about 1.9 percent, or 12.3 percent of the overall increase over the sample period, in the median country-sector. By contrast, using a similar empirical strategy, we find adverse employment effects of Chinese imports in exposed country-industries, consistent with previous studies. Taken together, these findings point to large gains from free trade, while underscoring the scope for a more active policy role in redistributing them, particularly by easing workers' transition between jobs and industries. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (14 pages) |
| ISBN: | 9781484302019 148430201X 1475595832 9781475595833 |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 ; |
Internformat
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| 520 | 3 | |a We analyze the impact on productivity in advanced economies of fast-growing trade with China between the mid-1990s and late-2000s, separately identifying the export and import channels. We use country-sector-level data for 18 advanced economies and, similar to Autor, Dorn, and Hanson (2013), exploit exogenous variation in trade with China in a given country-sector by instrumenting imports from (exports to) China in a given country-sector with the average imports from (exports to) China in the same sector in other advanced economies. Our estimates point to large productivity gains from trading with China-the (exogenous) rise of China in global trade may have increased the level of total factor productivity by about 1.9 percent, or 12.3 percent of the overall increase over the sample period, in the median country-sector. By contrast, using a similar empirical strategy, we find adverse employment effects of Chinese imports in exposed country-industries, consistent with previous studies. Taken together, these findings point to large gains from free trade, while underscoring the scope for a more active policy role in redistributing them, particularly by easing workers' transition between jobs and industries. | |
| 505 | 0 | |a Cover -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DATA AND EMPIRICAL STRATEGY -- III. ESTIMATION RESULTS -- A. Regression results -- B. Back-of-the-envelope calculation -- IV. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- REFERENCES -- FIGURES -- Figure 1. The Evolution of Trade with China Across Industries in Advanced Countries -- TABLES -- Table 1. Baseline Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 2. Robustness Checks: 2SLS Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 3. 2SLS Estimates of Trade of Employment. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Economic development |z China. | |
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| author | Ahn, JaeBin Duval, Romain A. |
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| contents | Cover -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DATA AND EMPIRICAL STRATEGY -- III. ESTIMATION RESULTS -- A. Regression results -- B. Back-of-the-envelope calculation -- IV. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- REFERENCES -- FIGURES -- Figure 1. The Evolution of Trade with China Across Industries in Advanced Countries -- TABLES -- Table 1. Baseline Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 2. Robustness Checks: 2SLS Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 3. 2SLS Estimates of Trade of Employment. |
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| geographic_facet | China Commercial policy. China |
| id | ZDB-4-EBA-on1013827415 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2025-04-11T08:44:03Z |
| institution | BVB |
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| spelling | Ahn, JaeBin, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2011180639 Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / by JaeBin Ahn and Romain Duval. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017. 1 online resource (14 pages) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier IMF working paper, 1018-5941 ; WP/17/122 Print version record. We analyze the impact on productivity in advanced economies of fast-growing trade with China between the mid-1990s and late-2000s, separately identifying the export and import channels. We use country-sector-level data for 18 advanced economies and, similar to Autor, Dorn, and Hanson (2013), exploit exogenous variation in trade with China in a given country-sector by instrumenting imports from (exports to) China in a given country-sector with the average imports from (exports to) China in the same sector in other advanced economies. Our estimates point to large productivity gains from trading with China-the (exogenous) rise of China in global trade may have increased the level of total factor productivity by about 1.9 percent, or 12.3 percent of the overall increase over the sample period, in the median country-sector. By contrast, using a similar empirical strategy, we find adverse employment effects of Chinese imports in exposed country-industries, consistent with previous studies. Taken together, these findings point to large gains from free trade, while underscoring the scope for a more active policy role in redistributing them, particularly by easing workers' transition between jobs and industries. Cover -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DATA AND EMPIRICAL STRATEGY -- III. ESTIMATION RESULTS -- A. Regression results -- B. Back-of-the-envelope calculation -- IV. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- REFERENCES -- FIGURES -- Figure 1. The Evolution of Trade with China Across Industries in Advanced Countries -- TABLES -- Table 1. Baseline Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 2. Robustness Checks: 2SLS Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 3. 2SLS Estimates of Trade of Employment. Economic development China. China Commercial policy. International trade. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87004890 Développement économique Chine. Commerce international. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International Economics. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International General. bisacsh Commercial policy fast Economic development fast International trade fast China fast https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJcrd4RjtCBk4wfMhTwwG3 Duval, Romain A., author. has work: Trading with China (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCG8crtttFMMh6tr9FCfBrm https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Ahn, JaeBin. Trading with China. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2017 9781475595833 IMF working paper ; WP/17/122. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 |
| spellingShingle | Ahn, JaeBin Duval, Romain A. Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / IMF working paper ; Cover -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DATA AND EMPIRICAL STRATEGY -- III. ESTIMATION RESULTS -- A. Regression results -- B. Back-of-the-envelope calculation -- IV. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- REFERENCES -- FIGURES -- Figure 1. The Evolution of Trade with China Across Industries in Advanced Countries -- TABLES -- Table 1. Baseline Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 2. Robustness Checks: 2SLS Estimates of Trade on Total Factor Productivity -- Table 3. 2SLS Estimates of Trade of Employment. Economic development China. International trade. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87004890 Développement économique Chine. Commerce international. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International Economics. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International General. bisacsh Commercial policy fast Economic development fast International trade fast |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87004890 |
| title | Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / |
| title_auth | Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / |
| title_exact_search | Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / |
| title_full | Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / by JaeBin Ahn and Romain Duval. |
| title_fullStr | Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / by JaeBin Ahn and Romain Duval. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Trading with China : productivity gains, job losses / by JaeBin Ahn and Romain Duval. |
| title_short | Trading with China : |
| title_sort | trading with china productivity gains job losses |
| title_sub | productivity gains, job losses / |
| topic | Economic development China. International trade. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87004890 Développement économique Chine. Commerce international. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International Economics. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International General. bisacsh Commercial policy fast Economic development fast International trade fast |
| topic_facet | Economic development China. China Commercial policy. International trade. Développement économique Chine. Commerce international. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International Economics. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS International General. Commercial policy Economic development International trade China |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ahnjaebin tradingwithchinaproductivitygainsjoblosses AT duvalromaina tradingwithchinaproductivitygainsjoblosses |