Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? :: a panel threshold analysis /
This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evid...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
2017.
|
Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/17/66. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evidence for the presence of growth-threshold effects on the NPL ratio in Italy. More specifically, we find that real GDP growth above 1.2 percent, if sustained for a number of years, is associated with a significant decline in the NPLs ratio. Achieving such growth rates requires decisively tackling long-standing structural rigidities and improving the quality of fiscal policy. Given the modest potential growth outlook, however, under which banks are likely to struggle to grow out of their NPL overhang, further policy measures are needed to put the NPL ratio on a firm downward path over the medium term. |
Beschreibung: | 1 online resource |
ISBN: | 1475588917 9781475588910 |
ISSN: | 1018-5941 1018-5941 ; |
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520 | 3 | |a This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evidence for the presence of growth-threshold effects on the NPL ratio in Italy. More specifically, we find that real GDP growth above 1.2 percent, if sustained for a number of years, is associated with a significant decline in the NPLs ratio. Achieving such growth rates requires decisively tackling long-standing structural rigidities and improving the quality of fiscal policy. Given the modest potential growth outlook, however, under which banks are likely to struggle to grow out of their NPL overhang, further policy measures are needed to put the NPL ratio on a firm downward path over the medium term. | |
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700 | 1 | |a Weber, Anke, |e author. | |
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author | Mohaddes, Kamiar Raissi, Mehdi Weber, Anke |
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spelling | Mohaddes, Kamiar, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010109577 Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / by Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, and Anke Weber. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, 2017. ©2017 1 online resource text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers, 1018-5941 ; WP/17/66 Print version record. This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evidence for the presence of growth-threshold effects on the NPL ratio in Italy. More specifically, we find that real GDP growth above 1.2 percent, if sustained for a number of years, is associated with a significant decline in the NPLs ratio. Achieving such growth rates requires decisively tackling long-standing structural rigidities and improving the quality of fiscal policy. Given the modest potential growth outlook, however, under which banks are likely to struggle to grow out of their NPL overhang, further policy measures are needed to put the NPL ratio on a firm downward path over the medium term. Financial crises. Financial crises Italy. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Financial crises fast Italy fast https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJvd8mVMcRhwVmbtcqCPcP Raissi, Mehdi, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010109578 Weber, Anke, author. has work: Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGqG4gJX7r4PPdm7QmY8wd https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Mohaddes, Kamiar. Can Italy Grow Out of Its NPL Overhang? A Panel Threshold Analysis. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2017 9781475588651 IMF working paper ; WP/17/66. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1496814 Volltext |
spellingShingle | Mohaddes, Kamiar Raissi, Mehdi Weber, Anke Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / IMF working paper ; Financial crises. Financial crises Italy. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Financial crises fast |
title | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / |
title_auth | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / |
title_exact_search | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / |
title_full | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / by Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, and Anke Weber. |
title_fullStr | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / by Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, and Anke Weber. |
title_full_unstemmed | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : a panel threshold analysis / by Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, and Anke Weber. |
title_short | Can Italy grow out of Its NPL overhang? : |
title_sort | can italy grow out of its npl overhang a panel threshold analysis |
title_sub | a panel threshold analysis / |
topic | Financial crises. Financial crises Italy. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Financial crises fast |
topic_facet | Financial crises. Financial crises Italy. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. Financial crises Italy |
url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1496814 |
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