What does aid do to fiscal policy? :: new evidence /
Foreign aid is a sizable source of government financing for several developing countries and its allocation matters for the conduct of fiscal policy. This paper revisits fiscal effects of shifts in aid dependency in 59 developing countries from 1960 to 2010. It identifies structural shifts in aid de...
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Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
[2016]
|
Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/16/112. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Foreign aid is a sizable source of government financing for several developing countries and its allocation matters for the conduct of fiscal policy. This paper revisits fiscal effects of shifts in aid dependency in 59 developing countries from 1960 to 2010. It identifies structural shifts in aid dependency: upward shifts (structural increases in aid inflows) and downward shifts (structural decreases in aid inflows). These shifts are treated as shocks in aid dependency and treatment effect methods are used to assess the fiscal effects of aid. It finds that shifts in aid dependency are frequent and have significant fiscal effects. In addition to traditional evidence of tax displacement and "aid illusion," we show that upward shifts and downward shifts in aid dependency have asymmetric effects on the fiscal accounts. Large aid inflows undermine tax capacity and public investment while large reductions in aid inflows tend to keep recipients' tax and expenditure ratios unchanged. Moreover, the tax displacement effects tend to be temporary while the impact on expenditure items are persistent. Finally, we find that the undesirable fiscal effects of aid are more pronounced in countries with low governance scores and low absorptive capacity, as well as those with IMF-supported programs. |
Beschreibung: | "June 2016." "Fiscal Affairs Department." |
Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (32 pages) : color illustrations. |
Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 29-32). |
ISBN: | 9781475540413 1475540418 |
ISSN: | 1018-5941 1018-5941 ; |
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a What does aid do to fiscal policy? : |b new evidence / |c prepared by Jean-Louis Combes, Rasmane Ouedraogo, and Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba. |
264 | 1 | |a [Washington, D.C.] : |b International Monetary Fund, |c [2016] | |
264 | 4 | |c ©2016 | |
300 | |a 1 online resource (32 pages) : |b color illustrations. | ||
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504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 29-32). | ||
520 | 3 | |a Foreign aid is a sizable source of government financing for several developing countries and its allocation matters for the conduct of fiscal policy. This paper revisits fiscal effects of shifts in aid dependency in 59 developing countries from 1960 to 2010. It identifies structural shifts in aid dependency: upward shifts (structural increases in aid inflows) and downward shifts (structural decreases in aid inflows). These shifts are treated as shocks in aid dependency and treatment effect methods are used to assess the fiscal effects of aid. It finds that shifts in aid dependency are frequent and have significant fiscal effects. In addition to traditional evidence of tax displacement and "aid illusion," we show that upward shifts and downward shifts in aid dependency have asymmetric effects on the fiscal accounts. Large aid inflows undermine tax capacity and public investment while large reductions in aid inflows tend to keep recipients' tax and expenditure ratios unchanged. Moreover, the tax displacement effects tend to be temporary while the impact on expenditure items are persistent. Finally, we find that the undesirable fiscal effects of aid are more pronounced in countries with low governance scores and low absorptive capacity, as well as those with IMF-supported programs. | |
588 | 0 | |a Online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed August 9, 2016). | |
505 | 0 | |a Cover; Contents; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. Overview of the Literature; III. Econometric Strategy; A. Shifts in Aid Dependency: A Structural Shift Approach; B. Propensity Score Matching Approach; C. Selection Model: Estimating the Propensity Scores; IV. Dataset; V. Results; A. Determinants of Aid Shifts; B. Effects of Aid Shifts; C. Non-linear Effects of Aid Shifts; D. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; VI. Robustness Checks; VII. Conclusion; References; Tables; Table 1. Determinants of Aid Shifts; Table 2. Effects of Aid Shift. | |
505 | 8 | |a Table 3. Effects of Shifts in Aid Dependency on Revenue ItemsTable 4. IMF-supported Programs and Tax Displacement; Table 5. Role of Quality of Governance and Absorptive Capacity and Fiscal Effects of Aid; Table 6. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; Table 7. Robustness Checks: Fiscal Effects of Aid Shifts; Figures; 1. Representation of Possible Shifts in Aid Dependency; 2. Shifts in Aid Dependency in Central African Republic and Nepal, Aid-to-GDP (percent), 1960-2010; 3. Overview of Shifts in Aid Dependency, Numbers of Shifts, 1960-2010; Appendices; A1. Distribution of Aid Shifts by Country. | |
505 | 8 | |a A2. Descriptive StatisticsA3. Components of the Index of Absorptive Capacity; A4. The Propensity Scores Matching (PSM) Method; A5. Balance Tests. | |
650 | 0 | |a Economic assistance |z Developing countries. | |
650 | 0 | |a Fiscal policy |z Developing countries. | |
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776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print Version: |a Combes, Jean-Louis. |t What Does Aid Do to Fiscal Policy? New Evidence. |d Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,2016 |z 9781484382691 |
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author | Combes, Jean-Louis, 1965- Ouedraogo, Rasmane Tapsoba, Sampawende J.-A. (Sampawende Jules-Armand) |
author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2006037621 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2005006718 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2011150417 |
author_facet | Combes, Jean-Louis, 1965- Ouedraogo, Rasmane Tapsoba, Sampawende J.-A. (Sampawende Jules-Armand) |
author_role | aut aut aut |
author_sort | Combes, Jean-Louis, 1965- |
author_variant | j l c jlc r o ro s j a t sja sjat |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | localFWS |
callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
callnumber-label | HG3881 |
callnumber-raw | HG3881.5.I58 W67 No. 16/112eb |
callnumber-search | HG3881.5.I58 W67 No. 16/112eb |
callnumber-sort | HG 43881.5 I58 W67 NO 216 3112EB |
callnumber-subject | HG - Finance |
collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
contents | Cover; Contents; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. Overview of the Literature; III. Econometric Strategy; A. Shifts in Aid Dependency: A Structural Shift Approach; B. Propensity Score Matching Approach; C. Selection Model: Estimating the Propensity Scores; IV. Dataset; V. Results; A. Determinants of Aid Shifts; B. Effects of Aid Shifts; C. Non-linear Effects of Aid Shifts; D. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; VI. Robustness Checks; VII. Conclusion; References; Tables; Table 1. Determinants of Aid Shifts; Table 2. Effects of Aid Shift. Table 3. Effects of Shifts in Aid Dependency on Revenue ItemsTable 4. IMF-supported Programs and Tax Displacement; Table 5. Role of Quality of Governance and Absorptive Capacity and Fiscal Effects of Aid; Table 6. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; Table 7. Robustness Checks: Fiscal Effects of Aid Shifts; Figures; 1. Representation of Possible Shifts in Aid Dependency; 2. Shifts in Aid Dependency in Central African Republic and Nepal, Aid-to-GDP (percent), 1960-2010; 3. Overview of Shifts in Aid Dependency, Numbers of Shifts, 1960-2010; Appendices; A1. Distribution of Aid Shifts by Country. A2. Descriptive StatisticsA3. Components of the Index of Absorptive Capacity; A4. The Propensity Scores Matching (PSM) Method; A5. Balance Tests. |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)956361374 |
dewey-full | 338.90091724000001 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 338 - Production |
dewey-raw | 338.90091724000001 |
dewey-search | 338.90091724000001 |
dewey-sort | 3338.90091724000001 |
dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Electronic eBook |
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indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:27:19Z |
institution | BVB |
institution_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n81052755 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n81027435 |
isbn | 9781475540413 1475540418 |
issn | 1018-5941 1018-5941 ; |
language | English |
oclc_num | 956361374 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
owner_facet | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
physical | 1 online resource (32 pages) : color illustrations. |
psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
publishDate | 2016 |
publishDateSearch | 2016 |
publishDateSort | 2016 |
publisher | International Monetary Fund, |
record_format | marc |
series | IMF working paper ; |
series2 | IMF working paper, |
spelling | Combes, Jean-Louis, 1965- author, (IMF staff) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjJyYhdJ9XYxvtVrDF8vd3 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2006037621 What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / prepared by Jean-Louis Combes, Rasmane Ouedraogo, and Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, [2016] ©2016 1 online resource (32 pages) : color illustrations. text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier data file rda IMF working paper, 1018-5941 ; WP/16/112 "June 2016." "Fiscal Affairs Department." Includes bibliographical references (pages 29-32). Foreign aid is a sizable source of government financing for several developing countries and its allocation matters for the conduct of fiscal policy. This paper revisits fiscal effects of shifts in aid dependency in 59 developing countries from 1960 to 2010. It identifies structural shifts in aid dependency: upward shifts (structural increases in aid inflows) and downward shifts (structural decreases in aid inflows). These shifts are treated as shocks in aid dependency and treatment effect methods are used to assess the fiscal effects of aid. It finds that shifts in aid dependency are frequent and have significant fiscal effects. In addition to traditional evidence of tax displacement and "aid illusion," we show that upward shifts and downward shifts in aid dependency have asymmetric effects on the fiscal accounts. Large aid inflows undermine tax capacity and public investment while large reductions in aid inflows tend to keep recipients' tax and expenditure ratios unchanged. Moreover, the tax displacement effects tend to be temporary while the impact on expenditure items are persistent. Finally, we find that the undesirable fiscal effects of aid are more pronounced in countries with low governance scores and low absorptive capacity, as well as those with IMF-supported programs. Online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed August 9, 2016). Cover; Contents; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. Overview of the Literature; III. Econometric Strategy; A. Shifts in Aid Dependency: A Structural Shift Approach; B. Propensity Score Matching Approach; C. Selection Model: Estimating the Propensity Scores; IV. Dataset; V. Results; A. Determinants of Aid Shifts; B. Effects of Aid Shifts; C. Non-linear Effects of Aid Shifts; D. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; VI. Robustness Checks; VII. Conclusion; References; Tables; Table 1. Determinants of Aid Shifts; Table 2. Effects of Aid Shift. Table 3. Effects of Shifts in Aid Dependency on Revenue ItemsTable 4. IMF-supported Programs and Tax Displacement; Table 5. Role of Quality of Governance and Absorptive Capacity and Fiscal Effects of Aid; Table 6. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; Table 7. Robustness Checks: Fiscal Effects of Aid Shifts; Figures; 1. Representation of Possible Shifts in Aid Dependency; 2. Shifts in Aid Dependency in Central African Republic and Nepal, Aid-to-GDP (percent), 1960-2010; 3. Overview of Shifts in Aid Dependency, Numbers of Shifts, 1960-2010; Appendices; A1. Distribution of Aid Shifts by Country. A2. Descriptive StatisticsA3. Components of the Index of Absorptive Capacity; A4. The Propensity Scores Matching (PSM) Method; A5. Balance Tests. Economic assistance Developing countries. Fiscal policy Developing countries. Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Developing countries. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Economic assistance fast Fiscal policy fast Structural adjustment (Economic policy) fast Developing countries fast Ouedraogo, Rasmane, author, (IMF staff) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2005006718 Tapsoba, Sampawende J.-A. (Sampawende Jules-Armand), author, (IMF staff) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjCVK8WjD9y9yXgBHrFTjK http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2011150417 International Monetary Fund, publisher. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n81052755 International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Department, sponsor. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n81027435 has work: What does aid do to fiscal policy? (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGKj6dPX94Crrbkgy8hwP3 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print Version: Combes, Jean-Louis. What Does Aid Do to Fiscal Policy? New Evidence. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,2016 9781484382691 IMF working paper ; WP/16/112. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1364089 Volltext |
spellingShingle | Combes, Jean-Louis, 1965- Ouedraogo, Rasmane Tapsoba, Sampawende J.-A. (Sampawende Jules-Armand) What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / IMF working paper ; Cover; Contents; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. Overview of the Literature; III. Econometric Strategy; A. Shifts in Aid Dependency: A Structural Shift Approach; B. Propensity Score Matching Approach; C. Selection Model: Estimating the Propensity Scores; IV. Dataset; V. Results; A. Determinants of Aid Shifts; B. Effects of Aid Shifts; C. Non-linear Effects of Aid Shifts; D. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; VI. Robustness Checks; VII. Conclusion; References; Tables; Table 1. Determinants of Aid Shifts; Table 2. Effects of Aid Shift. Table 3. Effects of Shifts in Aid Dependency on Revenue ItemsTable 4. IMF-supported Programs and Tax Displacement; Table 5. Role of Quality of Governance and Absorptive Capacity and Fiscal Effects of Aid; Table 6. Time-varying Effects of Aid Shifts; Table 7. Robustness Checks: Fiscal Effects of Aid Shifts; Figures; 1. Representation of Possible Shifts in Aid Dependency; 2. Shifts in Aid Dependency in Central African Republic and Nepal, Aid-to-GDP (percent), 1960-2010; 3. Overview of Shifts in Aid Dependency, Numbers of Shifts, 1960-2010; Appendices; A1. Distribution of Aid Shifts by Country. A2. Descriptive StatisticsA3. Components of the Index of Absorptive Capacity; A4. The Propensity Scores Matching (PSM) Method; A5. Balance Tests. Economic assistance Developing countries. Fiscal policy Developing countries. Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Developing countries. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Economic assistance fast Fiscal policy fast Structural adjustment (Economic policy) fast |
title | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / |
title_auth | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / |
title_exact_search | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / |
title_full | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / prepared by Jean-Louis Combes, Rasmane Ouedraogo, and Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba. |
title_fullStr | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / prepared by Jean-Louis Combes, Rasmane Ouedraogo, and Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba. |
title_full_unstemmed | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : new evidence / prepared by Jean-Louis Combes, Rasmane Ouedraogo, and Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba. |
title_short | What does aid do to fiscal policy? : |
title_sort | what does aid do to fiscal policy new evidence |
title_sub | new evidence / |
topic | Economic assistance Developing countries. Fiscal policy Developing countries. Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Developing countries. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Economic assistance fast Fiscal policy fast Structural adjustment (Economic policy) fast |
topic_facet | Economic assistance Developing countries. Fiscal policy Developing countries. Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Developing countries. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. Economic assistance Fiscal policy Structural adjustment (Economic policy) Developing countries |
url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1364089 |
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