Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries /:
"The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
©2012.
|
Schriftenreihe: | IMF working paper ;
WP/12/260. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | "The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence of the substantial spending packages that have been implemented in recent years. This has raised break-even prices -that is, the price levels that ensure that fiscal accounts are in balance at a given level of spending - in these countries. This study analyzes such risks and develops measures of fiscal risk stemming from oil price fluctuations. An empirical application to hydrocarbon-exporting countries from the Middle East and North Africa region is included. Additionally, it is noted that countries with large net assets and proven oil reserves are much less vulnerable to fiscal risk than is indicated by standard measures based on break-even prices"--Abstract |
Beschreibung: | Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed November 20, 2012). "Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf "October 2012"--Page of pdf |
Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (21 pages) : color illustrations |
Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 18-20). |
ISBN: | 9781475545005 1475545002 1475598467 9781475598469 1283947889 9781283947886 |
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500 | |a "October 2012"--Page of pdf | ||
520 | |a "The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence of the substantial spending packages that have been implemented in recent years. This has raised break-even prices -that is, the price levels that ensure that fiscal accounts are in balance at a given level of spending - in these countries. This study analyzes such risks and develops measures of fiscal risk stemming from oil price fluctuations. An empirical application to hydrocarbon-exporting countries from the Middle East and North Africa region is included. Additionally, it is noted that countries with large net assets and proven oil reserves are much less vulnerable to fiscal risk than is indicated by standard measures based on break-even prices"--Abstract | ||
504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 18-20). | ||
588 | 0 | |a Print version record. | |
505 | 0 | |a Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Real Break-Even Prices in Selected Middle East and North African Countries; II. Data and Empirical Methodology; 2. Real Brent Oil Price; III. Main Results and Discussion; 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I); 4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); IV. Conclusion; Annex I: Summary Tables; Tables; 1. Projected Nominal Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries; 2. Projected Real Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries. | |
505 | 8 | |a 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I)4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); Annex II: Modeling Oil Prices Using Geometric Brownian Motion; Annex III: Stochastic Simulations; 5. Historic and Simulated Real Price of Brent Oil (in logarithm); References. | |
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650 | 0 | |a Petroleum products |x Prices. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100451 | |
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650 | 7 | |a Petroleum products |x Prices |2 fast | |
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710 | 2 | |a International Monetary Fund. |b Middle East and Central Asia Department, |e issuing body. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2004029012 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
DE-BY-FWS_katkey | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn818796986 |
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adam_text | |
any_adam_object | |
author | Cáceres, Carlos Medina, Leandro, 1978- |
author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n81147862 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010040082 |
author_facet | Cáceres, Carlos Medina, Leandro, 1978- |
author_role | aut aut |
author_sort | Cáceres, Carlos |
author_variant | c c cc l m lm |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | localFWS |
callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
callnumber-label | HG3881 |
callnumber-raw | HG3881.5.I58 |
callnumber-search | HG3881.5.I58 |
callnumber-sort | HG 43881.5 I58 |
callnumber-subject | HG - Finance |
collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
contents | Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Real Break-Even Prices in Selected Middle East and North African Countries; II. Data and Empirical Methodology; 2. Real Brent Oil Price; III. Main Results and Discussion; 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I); 4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); IV. Conclusion; Annex I: Summary Tables; Tables; 1. Projected Nominal Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries; 2. Projected Real Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries. 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I)4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); Annex II: Modeling Oil Prices Using Geometric Brownian Motion; Annex III: Stochastic Simulations; 5. Historic and Simulated Real Price of Brent Oil (in logarithm); References. |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)818796986 |
dewey-full | 338.23 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 338 - Production |
dewey-raw | 338.23 |
dewey-search | 338.23 |
dewey-sort | 3338.23 |
dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Electronic eBook |
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However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence of the substantial spending packages that have been implemented in recent years. This has raised break-even prices -that is, the price levels that ensure that fiscal accounts are in balance at a given level of spending - in these countries. This study analyzes such risks and develops measures of fiscal risk stemming from oil price fluctuations. An empirical application to hydrocarbon-exporting countries from the Middle East and North Africa region is included. 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geographic | North Africa fast Middle East fast |
geographic_facet | North Africa Middle East |
id | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn818796986 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:25:03Z |
institution | BVB |
institution_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2004029012 |
isbn | 9781475545005 1475545002 1475598467 9781475598469 1283947889 9781283947886 |
language | English |
oclc_num | 818796986 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
owner_facet | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
physical | 1 online resource (21 pages) : color illustrations |
psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
publishDate | 2012 |
publishDateSearch | 2012 |
publishDateSort | 2012 |
publisher | International Monetary Fund, |
record_format | marc |
series | IMF working paper ; |
series2 | IMF working paper ; |
spelling | Cáceres, Carlos, author. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n81147862 Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / Carlos Caceres and Leandro Medina. [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012. 1 online resource (21 pages) : color illustrations text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier polychrome. rdacc http://rdaregistry.info/termList/RDAColourContent/1003 data file IMF working paper ; WP/12/260 Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed November 20, 2012). "Middle East and Central Asia Department"--Page 2 of pdf "October 2012"--Page of pdf "The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence of the substantial spending packages that have been implemented in recent years. This has raised break-even prices -that is, the price levels that ensure that fiscal accounts are in balance at a given level of spending - in these countries. This study analyzes such risks and develops measures of fiscal risk stemming from oil price fluctuations. An empirical application to hydrocarbon-exporting countries from the Middle East and North Africa region is included. Additionally, it is noted that countries with large net assets and proven oil reserves are much less vulnerable to fiscal risk than is indicated by standard measures based on break-even prices"--Abstract Includes bibliographical references (pages 18-20). Print version record. Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Real Break-Even Prices in Selected Middle East and North African Countries; II. Data and Empirical Methodology; 2. Real Brent Oil Price; III. Main Results and Discussion; 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I); 4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); IV. Conclusion; Annex I: Summary Tables; Tables; 1. Projected Nominal Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries; 2. Projected Real Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries. 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I)4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); Annex II: Modeling Oil Prices Using Geometric Brownian Motion; Annex III: Stochastic Simulations; 5. Historic and Simulated Real Price of Brent Oil (in logarithm); References. English. Petroleum products Prices. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100451 Finance, Public Middle East. Finance, Public Africa, North. Produits pétroliers Prix. Finances publiques Afrique du Nord. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Finance, Public fast Petroleum products Prices fast North Africa fast Middle East fast Medina, Leandro, 1978- author. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjrrcHj4kgmhDvhTQHmPQq http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010040082 International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Department, issuing body. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2004029012 has work: Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCH488hhVgT9mKyW6Jgd6Dq https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork 1-61635-557-3 1-4755-3016-1 IMF working paper ; WP/12/260. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no89010263 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=520724 Volltext |
spellingShingle | Cáceres, Carlos Medina, Leandro, 1978- Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / IMF working paper ; Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Real Break-Even Prices in Selected Middle East and North African Countries; II. Data and Empirical Methodology; 2. Real Brent Oil Price; III. Main Results and Discussion; 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I); 4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); IV. Conclusion; Annex I: Summary Tables; Tables; 1. Projected Nominal Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries; 2. Projected Real Break-Even Prices in Selected MENA Oil-Exporting Countries. 3. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure I)4. Probability that Brent Oil Prices Fall below the Break-Even Price (measure II); Annex II: Modeling Oil Prices Using Geometric Brownian Motion; Annex III: Stochastic Simulations; 5. Historic and Simulated Real Price of Brent Oil (in logarithm); References. Petroleum products Prices. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100451 Finance, Public Middle East. Finance, Public Africa, North. Produits pétroliers Prix. Finances publiques Afrique du Nord. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Finance, Public fast Petroleum products Prices fast |
subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100451 |
title | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / |
title_auth | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / |
title_exact_search | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / |
title_full | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / Carlos Caceres and Leandro Medina. |
title_fullStr | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / Carlos Caceres and Leandro Medina. |
title_full_unstemmed | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / Carlos Caceres and Leandro Medina. |
title_short | Measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon-exporting countries / |
title_sort | measures of fiscal risk in hydrocarbon exporting countries |
topic | Petroleum products Prices. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85100451 Finance, Public Middle East. Finance, Public Africa, North. Produits pétroliers Prix. Finances publiques Afrique du Nord. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. bisacsh Finance, Public fast Petroleum products Prices fast |
topic_facet | Petroleum products Prices. Finance, Public Middle East. Finance, Public Africa, North. Produits pétroliers Prix. Finances publiques Afrique du Nord. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Industries General. Finance, Public Petroleum products Prices North Africa Middle East |
url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=520724 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT cacerescarlos measuresoffiscalriskinhydrocarbonexportingcountries AT medinaleandro measuresoffiscalriskinhydrocarbonexportingcountries AT internationalmonetaryfundmiddleeastandcentralasiadepartment measuresoffiscalriskinhydrocarbonexportingcountries |