Deciding to enter a monetary union :: the role of trade and financial linkages /

This paper evaluates the role of trade and financial linkages in the decision to enter a monetary union. We estimate a two-country DSGE model for the U.K. economy and the euro area, and use the model to compute the welfare trade-offs from joining the euro. We evaluate two alternative scenarios. In t...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Lama, Ruy, 1975-
Körperschaft: International Monetary Fund. Institute for Capacity Development
Weitere Verfasser: Rabanal, Pau
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012.
Schriftenreihe:IMF working paper ; WP/12/240.
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Zusammenfassung:This paper evaluates the role of trade and financial linkages in the decision to enter a monetary union. We estimate a two-country DSGE model for the U.K. economy and the euro area, and use the model to compute the welfare trade-offs from joining the euro. We evaluate two alternative scenarios. In the first one, we consider a reduction of trade costs that occurs after the adoption of a common currency. In the second, we introduce interest rate spread shocks of the same magnitude as the ones observed during the recent debt crisis in Europe. The reduction of trade costs generates a net welfare gain of 0.9 percent of life-time consumption, while the increased interest rate spread volatility generates a net welfare cost of 2.9 percentage points. The welfare calculation suggests two ways to preserve the welfare gains in a monetary union: ensuring fiscal and financial stability that reduces macroeconomic country risk, and increasing wage flexibility such that the economy adjusts to external shocks faster.
Beschreibung:Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed October 5, 2012).
"Institute for Capacity Development."
"October 2012."
Beschreibung:1 online resource (52 pages)
Bibliographie:Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN:9781475512434
1475512430
1475511434
9781475511437
1475512252
9781475512250
1475512260
9781475512267

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