How insurgencies end /:
"This study tested conventional wisdom about how insurgencies end against the evidence from 89 insurgencies. It compares a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 89 insurgency case studies with lessons from insurgency and counterinsurgency (COIN) literature. While no two insurgencies are the...
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1. Verfasser: | |
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Weitere Verfasser: | |
Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
©2010.
©2010 |
Schriftenreihe: | Rand Corporation monograph series ;
MG-965-MCIA. |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | "This study tested conventional wisdom about how insurgencies end against the evidence from 89 insurgencies. It compares a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 89 insurgency case studies with lessons from insurgency and counterinsurgency (COIN) literature. While no two insurgencies are the same, the authors find that modern insurgencies last about ten years and that a government's chances of winning may increase slightly over time. Insurgencies are suited to hierarchical organization and rural terrain, and sanctuary is vital to insurgents. Insurgent use of terrorism often backfires, and withdrawal of state sponsorship can cripple an insurgency, typically leading to its defeat. Inconsistent support to either side generally presages defeat for that side, although weak insurgencies can still win. Anocracies (pseudodemocracies) rarely succeed against insurgencies. Historically derived force ratios are neither accurate nor predictive, and civil defense forces are very useful for both sides. Key indicators of possible trends and tipping points in an insurgency include changes in desertions, defections, and the flow of information to the COIN effort. The more parties in an insurgency, the more likely it is to have a complex and protracted ending. There are no COIN shortcuts."--Rand web site |
Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (xxiv, 244 pages) : illustrations (some color) |
Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 223-244). |
ISBN: | 9780833049834 0833049836 9781282797246 1282797247 |
Internformat
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100 | 1 | |a Connable, Ben. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n2010021806 | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a How insurgencies end / |c Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki. |
260 | |a Santa Monica, CA : |b RAND, |c ©2010. | ||
264 | 4 | |c ©2010 | |
300 | |a 1 online resource (xxiv, 244 pages) : |b illustrations (some color) | ||
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347 | |a data file | ||
490 | 1 | |a Rand Corporation monograph series ; |v MG-965-MCIA | |
504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 223-244). | ||
520 | |a "This study tested conventional wisdom about how insurgencies end against the evidence from 89 insurgencies. It compares a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 89 insurgency case studies with lessons from insurgency and counterinsurgency (COIN) literature. While no two insurgencies are the same, the authors find that modern insurgencies last about ten years and that a government's chances of winning may increase slightly over time. Insurgencies are suited to hierarchical organization and rural terrain, and sanctuary is vital to insurgents. Insurgent use of terrorism often backfires, and withdrawal of state sponsorship can cripple an insurgency, typically leading to its defeat. Inconsistent support to either side generally presages defeat for that side, although weak insurgencies can still win. Anocracies (pseudodemocracies) rarely succeed against insurgencies. Historically derived force ratios are neither accurate nor predictive, and civil defense forces are very useful for both sides. Key indicators of possible trends and tipping points in an insurgency include changes in desertions, defections, and the flow of information to the COIN effort. The more parties in an insurgency, the more likely it is to have a complex and protracted ending. There are no COIN shortcuts."--Rand web site | ||
505 | 0 | |a Introduction -- Classifying outcomes and selecting cases -- Assessments of insurgency endings: time and external factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: internal factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: other factors -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Case studies: methodology -- Appendix B: Supplemental findings -- Appendix C: Multivariate regression analysis -- Appendix D: Insurgencies not examined for this publication -- Appendix E: Categories used for the spring 2006 survey -- Appendix F: Unavoidable ambiguities -- Appendix G: Questions used for the autumn 2006 survey. | |
588 | 0 | |a Print version record. | |
650 | 0 | |a Insurgency |v Case studies. | |
650 | 0 | |a Counterinsurgency |v Case studies. | |
650 | 6 | |a Révoltes |v Études de cas. | |
650 | 6 | |a Contre-rébellion |v Études de cas. | |
650 | 7 | |a TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING |x Military Science. |2 bisacsh | |
650 | 7 | |a HISTORY |x Military |x Other. |2 bisacsh | |
650 | 7 | |a POLITICAL SCIENCE |x Security (National & International) |2 bisacsh | |
650 | 7 | |a Counterinsurgency |2 fast | |
650 | 7 | |a Insurgency |2 fast | |
650 | 7 | |a Upprorsbekämpning. |2 sao | |
650 | 7 | |a Uppror. |2 sao | |
650 | 7 | |a insurgency. |2 sipri | |
655 | 7 | |a Case studies |2 fast | |
655 | 7 | |a Case studies. |2 lcgft |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/genreForms/gf2017026140 | |
655 | 7 | |a Études de cas. |2 rvmgf | |
700 | 1 | |a Libicki, Martin C. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88127433 | |
758 | |i has work: |a How insurgencies end (Text) |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCFKCrWqHCdm8mgRWxYVMrm |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork | ||
773 | 0 | |t Books at JSTOR: Open Access |d JSTOR | |
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830 | 0 | |a Rand Corporation monograph series ; |v MG-965-MCIA. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2008057654 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
DE-BY-FWS_katkey | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn655854572 |
---|---|
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adam_text | |
any_adam_object | |
author | Connable, Ben |
author2 | Libicki, Martin C. |
author2_role | |
author2_variant | m c l mc mcl |
author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n2010021806 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88127433 |
author_facet | Connable, Ben Libicki, Martin C. |
author_role | |
author_sort | Connable, Ben |
author_variant | b c bc |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | localFWS |
callnumber-first | J - Political Science |
callnumber-label | JC328 |
callnumber-raw | JC328.5 .C665 2010eb |
callnumber-search | JC328.5 .C665 2010eb |
callnumber-sort | JC 3328.5 C665 42010EB |
callnumber-subject | JC - Political Theory |
collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
contents | Introduction -- Classifying outcomes and selecting cases -- Assessments of insurgency endings: time and external factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: internal factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: other factors -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Case studies: methodology -- Appendix B: Supplemental findings -- Appendix C: Multivariate regression analysis -- Appendix D: Insurgencies not examined for this publication -- Appendix E: Categories used for the spring 2006 survey -- Appendix F: Unavoidable ambiguities -- Appendix G: Questions used for the autumn 2006 survey. |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)655854572 |
dewey-full | 355.02/18 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 355 - Military science |
dewey-raw | 355.02/18 |
dewey-search | 355.02/18 |
dewey-sort | 3355.02 218 |
dewey-tens | 350 - Public administration and military science |
discipline | Militärwissenschaft |
format | Electronic eBook |
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It compares a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 89 insurgency case studies with lessons from insurgency and counterinsurgency (COIN) literature. While no two insurgencies are the same, the authors find that modern insurgencies last about ten years and that a government's chances of winning may increase slightly over time. Insurgencies are suited to hierarchical organization and rural terrain, and sanctuary is vital to insurgents. Insurgent use of terrorism often backfires, and withdrawal of state sponsorship can cripple an insurgency, typically leading to its defeat. Inconsistent support to either side generally presages defeat for that side, although weak insurgencies can still win. Anocracies (pseudodemocracies) rarely succeed against insurgencies. Historically derived force ratios are neither accurate nor predictive, and civil defense forces are very useful for both sides. 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genre | Case studies fast Case studies. lcgft http://id.loc.gov/authorities/genreForms/gf2017026140 Études de cas. rvmgf |
genre_facet | Case studies Case studies. Études de cas. |
id | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn655854572 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:17:27Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9780833049834 0833049836 9781282797246 1282797247 |
language | English |
oclc_num | 655854572 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
owner_facet | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
physical | 1 online resource (xxiv, 244 pages) : illustrations (some color) |
psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
publishDate | 2010 |
publishDateSearch | 2010 |
publishDateSort | 2010 |
publisher | RAND, |
record_format | marc |
series | Rand Corporation monograph series ; |
series2 | Rand Corporation monograph series ; |
spelling | Connable, Ben. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n2010021806 How insurgencies end / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, ©2010. ©2010 1 online resource (xxiv, 244 pages) : illustrations (some color) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier polychrome. rdacc http://rdaregistry.info/termList/RDAColourContent/1003 data file Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG-965-MCIA Includes bibliographical references (pages 223-244). "This study tested conventional wisdom about how insurgencies end against the evidence from 89 insurgencies. It compares a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 89 insurgency case studies with lessons from insurgency and counterinsurgency (COIN) literature. While no two insurgencies are the same, the authors find that modern insurgencies last about ten years and that a government's chances of winning may increase slightly over time. Insurgencies are suited to hierarchical organization and rural terrain, and sanctuary is vital to insurgents. Insurgent use of terrorism often backfires, and withdrawal of state sponsorship can cripple an insurgency, typically leading to its defeat. Inconsistent support to either side generally presages defeat for that side, although weak insurgencies can still win. Anocracies (pseudodemocracies) rarely succeed against insurgencies. Historically derived force ratios are neither accurate nor predictive, and civil defense forces are very useful for both sides. Key indicators of possible trends and tipping points in an insurgency include changes in desertions, defections, and the flow of information to the COIN effort. The more parties in an insurgency, the more likely it is to have a complex and protracted ending. There are no COIN shortcuts."--Rand web site Introduction -- Classifying outcomes and selecting cases -- Assessments of insurgency endings: time and external factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: internal factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: other factors -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Case studies: methodology -- Appendix B: Supplemental findings -- Appendix C: Multivariate regression analysis -- Appendix D: Insurgencies not examined for this publication -- Appendix E: Categories used for the spring 2006 survey -- Appendix F: Unavoidable ambiguities -- Appendix G: Questions used for the autumn 2006 survey. Print version record. Insurgency Case studies. Counterinsurgency Case studies. Révoltes Études de cas. Contre-rébellion Études de cas. TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING Military Science. bisacsh HISTORY Military Other. bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE Security (National & International) bisacsh Counterinsurgency fast Insurgency fast Upprorsbekämpning. sao Uppror. sao insurgency. sipri Case studies fast Case studies. lcgft http://id.loc.gov/authorities/genreForms/gf2017026140 Études de cas. rvmgf Libicki, Martin C. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88127433 has work: How insurgencies end (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCFKCrWqHCdm8mgRWxYVMrm https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Books at JSTOR: Open Access JSTOR Print version: Connable, Ben. How insurgencies end. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, ©2010 9780833049520 (DLC) 2010014522 (OCoLC)608033837 Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG-965-MCIA. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2008057654 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=331832 Volltext |
spellingShingle | Connable, Ben How insurgencies end / Rand Corporation monograph series ; Introduction -- Classifying outcomes and selecting cases -- Assessments of insurgency endings: time and external factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: internal factors -- Assessments of insurgency endings: other factors -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Case studies: methodology -- Appendix B: Supplemental findings -- Appendix C: Multivariate regression analysis -- Appendix D: Insurgencies not examined for this publication -- Appendix E: Categories used for the spring 2006 survey -- Appendix F: Unavoidable ambiguities -- Appendix G: Questions used for the autumn 2006 survey. Insurgency Case studies. Counterinsurgency Case studies. Révoltes Études de cas. Contre-rébellion Études de cas. TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING Military Science. bisacsh HISTORY Military Other. bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE Security (National & International) bisacsh Counterinsurgency fast Insurgency fast Upprorsbekämpning. sao Uppror. sao insurgency. sipri |
subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/genreForms/gf2017026140 |
title | How insurgencies end / |
title_auth | How insurgencies end / |
title_exact_search | How insurgencies end / |
title_full | How insurgencies end / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki. |
title_fullStr | How insurgencies end / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki. |
title_full_unstemmed | How insurgencies end / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki. |
title_short | How insurgencies end / |
title_sort | how insurgencies end |
topic | Insurgency Case studies. Counterinsurgency Case studies. Révoltes Études de cas. Contre-rébellion Études de cas. TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING Military Science. bisacsh HISTORY Military Other. bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE Security (National & International) bisacsh Counterinsurgency fast Insurgency fast Upprorsbekämpning. sao Uppror. sao insurgency. sipri |
topic_facet | Insurgency Case studies. Counterinsurgency Case studies. Révoltes Études de cas. Contre-rébellion Études de cas. TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING Military Science. HISTORY Military Other. POLITICAL SCIENCE Security (National & International) Counterinsurgency Insurgency Upprorsbekämpning. Uppror. insurgency. Case studies Case studies. Études de cas. |
url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=331832 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT connableben howinsurgenciesend AT libickimartinc howinsurgenciesend |