Shaping the next one hundred years :: new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography /
The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a qua...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Weitere Verfasser: | , |
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
2003.
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis. |
| Beschreibung: | "MR-1626." |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages) |
| Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references. |
| ISBN: | 0833034855 9780833034854 1282451413 9781282451414 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Shaping the next one hundred years : |b new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / |c Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. |
| 260 | |a Santa Monica, CA : |b RAND, |c 2003. | ||
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| 520 | |a The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY; | |
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a System analysis. | |
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| 650 | 6 | |a Analyse de systèmes. | |
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| 650 | 6 | |a Technologie de l'information. | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Popper, Steven W., |d 1953- |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjwYfhMx83kj3wkCd7vbkC |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n87852209 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Bankes, Steven C. |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjvWwGmTPcmdTPV74Cd4YK |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n85223791 | |
| 773 | 0 | |t Books at JSTOR: Open Access. |d JSTOR | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print version: |a Lempert, Robert J. |t Shaping the next one hundred years. |d Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003 |w (DLC) 2003012438 |
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| adam_text | |
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| author | Lempert, Robert J. |
| author2 | Popper, Steven W., 1953- Bankes, Steven C. |
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| author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88158770 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n87852209 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n85223791 |
| author_facet | Lempert, Robert J. Popper, Steven W., 1953- Bankes, Steven C. |
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| callnumber-first | T - Technology |
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| callnumber-search | T57.6 .L46 2003eb |
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| contents | Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY; |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)559502047 |
| dewey-full | 320/.6/0113 |
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| dewey-ones | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| dewey-raw | 320/.6/0113 |
| dewey-search | 320/.6/0113 |
| dewey-sort | 3320 16 3113 |
| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| id | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn559502047 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:16:59Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0833034855 9780833034854 1282451413 9781282451414 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2003012438 |
| oclc_num | 559502047 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
| owner_facet | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
| physical | 1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages) |
| psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
| publishDate | 2003 |
| publishDateSearch | 2003 |
| publishDateSort | 2003 |
| publisher | RAND, |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Lempert, Robert J. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjCVP6xmWdpMyt6rGrk6mm http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88158770 Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003. 1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier data file rda "MR-1626." Print version record. The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis. Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY; Includes bibliographical references. System analysis. Decision making. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 Information technology. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87002293 Systems Analysis https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D013597 Decision Making https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003657 Analyse de systèmes. Prise de décision. Technologie de l'information. systems analysis. aat decision making. aat information technology. aat POLITICAL SCIENCE Public Policy General. bisacsh TRANSPORTATION General. bisacsh Decision making fast Information technology fast System analysis fast Samfundsvidenskab Politologi. Popper, Steven W., 1953- https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjwYfhMx83kj3wkCd7vbkC http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n87852209 Bankes, Steven C. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjvWwGmTPcmdTPV74Cd4YK http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n85223791 Books at JSTOR: Open Access. JSTOR Print version: Lempert, Robert J. Shaping the next one hundred years. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003 (DLC) 2003012438 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=105339 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Lempert, Robert J. Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY; System analysis. Decision making. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 Information technology. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87002293 Systems Analysis https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D013597 Decision Making https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003657 Analyse de systèmes. Prise de décision. Technologie de l'information. systems analysis. aat decision making. aat information technology. aat POLITICAL SCIENCE Public Policy General. bisacsh TRANSPORTATION General. bisacsh Decision making fast Information technology fast System analysis fast |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87002293 https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D013597 https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003657 |
| title | Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / |
| title_auth | Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / |
| title_exact_search | Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / |
| title_full | Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. |
| title_fullStr | Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. |
| title_short | Shaping the next one hundred years : |
| title_sort | shaping the next one hundred years new methods for quantitative long term policy analysis and bibliography |
| title_sub | new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / |
| topic | System analysis. Decision making. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 Information technology. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87002293 Systems Analysis https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D013597 Decision Making https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003657 Analyse de systèmes. Prise de décision. Technologie de l'information. systems analysis. aat decision making. aat information technology. aat POLITICAL SCIENCE Public Policy General. bisacsh TRANSPORTATION General. bisacsh Decision making fast Information technology fast System analysis fast |
| topic_facet | System analysis. Decision making. Information technology. Systems Analysis Decision Making Analyse de systèmes. Prise de décision. Technologie de l'information. systems analysis. decision making. information technology. POLITICAL SCIENCE Public Policy General. TRANSPORTATION General. Decision making Information technology System analysis |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=105339 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lempertrobertj shapingthenextonehundredyearsnewmethodsforquantitativelongtermpolicyanalysisandbibliography AT popperstevenw shapingthenextonehundredyearsnewmethodsforquantitativelongtermpolicyanalysisandbibliography AT bankesstevenc shapingthenextonehundredyearsnewmethodsforquantitativelongtermpolicyanalysisandbibliography |