Advances in decision analysis :: from foundations to applications /
Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in...
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| Weitere Verfasser: | , , |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge ; New York :
Cambridge University Press,
©2007.
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This book is a mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis. Part I covers the history and foundations of decision analysis. Part II discusses structuring decision problems, including the development of objectives and their attributes, and influence diagrams. Part III discusses probabilities and their elicitation and Bayes nets. Part IV discusses additive and multiplicative utilities, risk preferences, and 'option pricing' methods. Part V discusses risk analysis. Part VI puts decision analysis in a behavioral and organizational context. Part VII presents case studies of applications. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (xv, 623 pages) : illustrations |
| Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| ISBN: | 9780511342776 0511342772 9780511341144 0511341148 9780511611308 0511611307 9780511342240 0511342241 9786611085353 6611085351 9780511341724 0511341725 1281085359 9781281085351 |
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| 245 | 0 | 0 | |a Advances in decision analysis : |b from foundations to applications / |c edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Cambridge ; |a New York : |b Cambridge University Press, |c ©2007. | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (xv, 623 pages) : |b illustrations | ||
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| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 505 | 0 | 0 | |t The emergence of decision analysis / |r Ralph F. Miles, Jr. -- |t The foundations of decision analysis revisited / |r Ronald A. Howard -- |t Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / |r Howard Raiffa -- |t Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / |r Lawrence D. Phillips, |r Detlof von Winterfeldt -- |t Defining a decision analytic structure / |r Detlof von Winterfeldt, |r Ward Edwards -- |t Developing objectives and attributes / |r Ralph L. Keeney -- |t Eliciting probabilities from experts / |r Stephen C. Hora -- |t Aggregating probability distributions / |r Robert T. Clemen, |r Robert L. Winkler -- |t Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / |r Ross D. Shachter -- |t A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / |r David Heckerman -- |t Utility and risk preferences / |r David E. Bell -- |t Practical value models / |r Ralph L. Keeney, |r Detlof von Winterfeldt -- |t Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / |r Robert F. Nau -- |t Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / |r Vicki M. Bier, |r Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- |t The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / |r M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell -- |t Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / |r Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- |t What have we learned from our mistakes? / |r Barbara Mellers, |r Connson Locke -- |t Decision conferencing / |r Lawrence D. Phillips -- |t Resource allocation decisions / |r Don N. Kleinmuntz -- |t From decision analysis to the decision organization / |r David Matheson, |r James E. Matheson -- |t Building decision competency in organizations / |r Carl S. Spetzler -- |t Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / |r James K. Sebenius -- |t The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / |r John C. Butler, |r Alexander N. Chebeskov, |r James S. Dyer, |r Thomas A. Edmunds, |r Jianmin Jia, |r Vladimir I. Oussanov -- |t Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / |r Detlof von Winterfeldt -- |t Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / |r Dennis M. Buede, |r Terry A. Bresnick -- |t Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / |r Phillip C. Becc |
| 588 | 0 | |a Print version record. | |
| 520 | |a Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This book is a mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis. Part I covers the history and foundations of decision analysis. Part II discusses structuring decision problems, including the development of objectives and their attributes, and influence diagrams. Part III discusses probabilities and their elicitation and Bayes nets. Part IV discusses additive and multiplicative utilities, risk preferences, and 'option pricing' methods. Part V discusses risk analysis. Part VI puts decision analysis in a behavioral and organizational context. Part VII presents case studies of applications. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Decision making. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Decision making |x Mathematical models. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036200 | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Decision support systems. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86006549 | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Search theory. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85119357 | |
| 650 | 1 | 2 | |a Decision Making |
| 650 | 2 | |a Decision Support Systems, Management |0 https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003660 | |
| 650 | 2 | |a Decision Theory |0 https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003662 | |
| 650 | 2 | 2 | |a Decision Support Techniques |
| 650 | 6 | |a Prise de décision. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Systèmes d'aide à la décision. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Théorie de la décision. | |
| 650 | 6 | |a Prise de décision |x Modèles mathématiques. | |
| 650 | 7 | |a decision making. |2 aat | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SELF-HELP |x Motivational & Inspirational. |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Search theory |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Decision support systems |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Decision making |x Mathematical models |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Decision making |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Entscheidungstheorie |2 gnd |0 http://d-nb.info/gnd/4138606-1 | |
| 650 | 1 | 7 | |a Besliskunde. |2 gtt |
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| 650 | 7 | |a Entscheidungstheorie. |2 idszbz | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Edwards, Ward, |d 1927-2005. |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJpdVyWYh6k8f3mqt8rTHC |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2007091582 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Miles, Ralph F., |d 1933- |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjxTjkk7jPGbk7mKKMmhMd |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n83165620 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Von Winterfeldt, Detlof. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n85333588 | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print version: |t Advances in decision analysis. |d Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, ©2007 |z 0521863686 |z 9780521863681 |w (DLC) 2006025610 |w (OCoLC)70877901 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| DE-BY-FWS_katkey | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn185034551 |
|---|---|
| _version_ | 1816881659089256448 |
| adam_text | |
| any_adam_object | |
| author2 | Edwards, Ward, 1927-2005 Miles, Ralph F., 1933- Von Winterfeldt, Detlof |
| author2_role | |
| author2_variant | w e we r f m rf rfm w d v wd wdv |
| author_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2007091582 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n83165620 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n85333588 |
| author_additional | Ralph F. Miles, Jr. -- Ronald A. Howard -- Howard Raiffa -- Lawrence D. Phillips, Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Detlof von Winterfeldt, Ward Edwards -- Ralph L. Keeney -- Stephen C. Hora -- Robert T. Clemen, Robert L. Winkler -- Ross D. Shachter -- David Heckerman -- David E. Bell -- Ralph L. Keeney, Robert F. Nau -- Vicki M. Bier, Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell -- Barbara Mellers, Connson Locke -- Lawrence D. Phillips -- Don N. Kleinmuntz -- David Matheson, James E. Matheson -- Carl S. Spetzler -- James K. Sebenius -- John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, Vladimir I. Oussanov -- Dennis M. Buede, Terry A. Bresnick -- Phillip C. Becc |
| author_facet | Edwards, Ward, 1927-2005 Miles, Ralph F., 1933- Von Winterfeldt, Detlof |
| author_sort | Edwards, Ward, 1927-2005 |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | localFWS |
| callnumber-first | B - Philosophy, Psychology, Religion |
| callnumber-label | BF448 |
| callnumber-raw | BF448 .A38 2007eb |
| callnumber-search | BF448 .A38 2007eb |
| callnumber-sort | BF 3448 A38 42007EB |
| callnumber-subject | BF - Psychology |
| collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
| contents | The emergence of decision analysis / The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Defining a decision analytic structure / Developing objectives and attributes / Eliciting probabilities from experts / Aggregating probability distributions / Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / Utility and risk preferences / Practical value models / Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / What have we learned from our mistakes? / Decision conferencing / Resource allocation decisions / From decision analysis to the decision organization / Building decision competency in organizations / Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)185034551 |
| dewey-full | 153.8/3 |
| dewey-hundreds | 100 - Philosophy & psychology |
| dewey-ones | 153 - Conscious mental processes & intelligence |
| dewey-raw | 153.8/3 |
| dewey-search | 153.8/3 |
| dewey-sort | 3153.8 13 |
| dewey-tens | 150 - Psychology |
| discipline | Psychologie |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| id | ZDB-4-EBA-ocn185034551 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:16:14Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780511342776 0511342772 9780511341144 0511341148 9780511611308 0511611307 9780511342240 0511342241 9786611085353 6611085351 9780511341724 0511341725 1281085359 9781281085351 |
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| oclc_num | 185034551 |
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| physical | 1 online resource (xv, 623 pages) : illustrations |
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| publisher | Cambridge University Press, |
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| spelling | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt. Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, ©2007. 1 online resource (xv, 623 pages) : illustrations text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index. The emergence of decision analysis / Ralph F. Miles, Jr. -- The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Ronald A. Howard -- Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Howard Raiffa -- Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Lawrence D. Phillips, Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Defining a decision analytic structure / Detlof von Winterfeldt, Ward Edwards -- Developing objectives and attributes / Ralph L. Keeney -- Eliciting probabilities from experts / Stephen C. Hora -- Aggregating probability distributions / Robert T. Clemen, Robert L. Winkler -- Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / Ross D. Shachter -- A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / David Heckerman -- Utility and risk preferences / David E. Bell -- Practical value models / Ralph L. Keeney, Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Robert F. Nau -- Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / Vicki M. Bier, Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell -- Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- What have we learned from our mistakes? / Barbara Mellers, Connson Locke -- Decision conferencing / Lawrence D. Phillips -- Resource allocation decisions / Don N. Kleinmuntz -- From decision analysis to the decision organization / David Matheson, James E. Matheson -- Building decision competency in organizations / Carl S. Spetzler -- Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / James K. Sebenius -- The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, Vladimir I. Oussanov -- Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Dennis M. Buede, Terry A. Bresnick -- Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / Phillip C. Becc Print version record. Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This book is a mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis. Part I covers the history and foundations of decision analysis. Part II discusses structuring decision problems, including the development of objectives and their attributes, and influence diagrams. Part III discusses probabilities and their elicitation and Bayes nets. Part IV discusses additive and multiplicative utilities, risk preferences, and 'option pricing' methods. Part V discusses risk analysis. Part VI puts decision analysis in a behavioral and organizational context. Part VII presents case studies of applications. Decision making. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 Decision making Mathematical models. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036200 Decision support systems. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86006549 Search theory. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85119357 Decision Making Decision Support Systems, Management https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003660 Decision Theory https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003662 Decision Support Techniques Prise de décision. Systèmes d'aide à la décision. Théorie de la décision. Prise de décision Modèles mathématiques. decision making. aat SELF-HELP Motivational & Inspirational. bisacsh Search theory fast Decision support systems fast Decision making Mathematical models fast Decision making fast Entscheidungstheorie gnd http://d-nb.info/gnd/4138606-1 Besliskunde. gtt Entscheidung. idsbb Entscheidungsfindung. idszbz Entscheidungstheorie. idszbz Edwards, Ward, 1927-2005. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJpdVyWYh6k8f3mqt8rTHC http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2007091582 Miles, Ralph F., 1933- https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjxTjkk7jPGbk7mKKMmhMd http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n83165620 Von Winterfeldt, Detlof. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n85333588 Print version: Advances in decision analysis. Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, ©2007 0521863686 9780521863681 (DLC) 2006025610 (OCoLC)70877901 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=206652 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / The emergence of decision analysis / The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Defining a decision analytic structure / Developing objectives and attributes / Eliciting probabilities from experts / Aggregating probability distributions / Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / Utility and risk preferences / Practical value models / Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / What have we learned from our mistakes? / Decision conferencing / Resource allocation decisions / From decision analysis to the decision organization / Building decision competency in organizations / Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / Decision making. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 Decision making Mathematical models. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036200 Decision support systems. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86006549 Search theory. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85119357 Decision Making Decision Support Systems, Management https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003660 Decision Theory https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003662 Decision Support Techniques Prise de décision. Systèmes d'aide à la décision. Théorie de la décision. Prise de décision Modèles mathématiques. decision making. aat SELF-HELP Motivational & Inspirational. bisacsh Search theory fast Decision support systems fast Decision making Mathematical models fast Decision making fast Entscheidungstheorie gnd http://d-nb.info/gnd/4138606-1 Besliskunde. gtt Entscheidung. idsbb Entscheidungsfindung. idszbz Entscheidungstheorie. idszbz |
| subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036200 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86006549 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85119357 https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003660 https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003662 http://d-nb.info/gnd/4138606-1 |
| title | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / |
| title_alt | The emergence of decision analysis / The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Defining a decision analytic structure / Developing objectives and attributes / Eliciting probabilities from experts / Aggregating probability distributions / Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / Utility and risk preferences / Practical value models / Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / What have we learned from our mistakes? / Decision conferencing / Resource allocation decisions / From decision analysis to the decision organization / Building decision competency in organizations / Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / |
| title_auth | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / |
| title_exact_search | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / |
| title_full | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt. |
| title_fullStr | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications / edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt. |
| title_short | Advances in decision analysis : |
| title_sort | advances in decision analysis from foundations to applications |
| title_sub | from foundations to applications / |
| topic | Decision making. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036199 Decision making Mathematical models. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85036200 Decision support systems. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh86006549 Search theory. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85119357 Decision Making Decision Support Systems, Management https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003660 Decision Theory https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/D003662 Decision Support Techniques Prise de décision. Systèmes d'aide à la décision. Théorie de la décision. Prise de décision Modèles mathématiques. decision making. aat SELF-HELP Motivational & Inspirational. bisacsh Search theory fast Decision support systems fast Decision making Mathematical models fast Decision making fast Entscheidungstheorie gnd http://d-nb.info/gnd/4138606-1 Besliskunde. gtt Entscheidung. idsbb Entscheidungsfindung. idszbz Entscheidungstheorie. idszbz |
| topic_facet | Decision making. Decision making Mathematical models. Decision support systems. Search theory. Decision Making Decision Support Systems, Management Decision Theory Decision Support Techniques Prise de décision. Systèmes d'aide à la décision. Théorie de la décision. Prise de décision Modèles mathématiques. decision making. SELF-HELP Motivational & Inspirational. Search theory Decision support systems Decision making Mathematical models Decision making Entscheidungstheorie Besliskunde. Entscheidung. Entscheidungsfindung. Entscheidungstheorie. |
| url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=206652 |
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