Fault lines in China's economic terrain /:
What are the major challenges, fault lines, and potential adversities (these terms are used synonymously), that China's economic development will encounter over the next decade? How severely will China's overall economic performance be affected if these adversities occur separately or in c...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
2003.
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | What are the major challenges, fault lines, and potential adversities (these terms are used synonymously), that China's economic development will encounter over the next decade? How severely will China's overall economic performance be affected if these adversities occur separately or in clusters? This book addresses these key questions. China has confronted in the past two decades five of the eight fault lines that the authors consider (unemployment, corruption, water resources, HIV/AIDS, and financial fragility), and, nonetheless, it has sustained high rates of economic growth. Therefore, in assessing the potential effects of these fault lines on China's future economic performance, the authors focus on whether, why, and by how much their intensities may increase--that is, on changes, rather than on the prevailing levels of each fault line. For the other three fault lines examined, which have not previously occurred or recurred--oil price shocks, foreign-direct-investment shrinkage, and serious military conflicts--the authors consider the circumstances under which they might arise and their resulting economic effects. For each of the eight fault lines, the authors estimate a "bottom-line" in terms of expected effects on China's annual growth rate over the next decade, drawing on a variety of methods, models, and judgments to make these estimates. The authors suggest that the probability that none of these individual setbacks will occur is low, while the probability that all will occur is still lower. Because of interdependencies among the fault lines, it is highly likely that several separate adversities will cluster if any one of them occurs. For examples: an internal financial crisis would have serious negative effects on the relative attractiveness of foreign investment in China, contributing to shrinkage of foreign direct investment; epidemic disease would intensify water pollution problems and would discourage foreign investment |
Beschreibung: | Title from title screen (viewed January 13, 2004). "Prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, Dept. of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation." "MR-1686-NA/SRF"--Page ii |
Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (xxvii, 207 pages) : illustrations, map |
Format: | Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. |
Bibliographie: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 181-194) and index. |
ISBN: | 0833036041 9780833036049 1282451502 9781282451506 |
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245 | 0 | 0 | |a Fault lines in China's economic terrain / |c Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]. |
260 | |a Santa Monica, CA : |b RAND, |c 2003. | ||
300 | |a 1 online resource (xxvii, 207 pages) : |b illustrations, map | ||
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500 | |a Title from title screen (viewed January 13, 2004). | ||
500 | |a "Prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, Dept. of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation." | ||
504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 181-194) and index. | ||
536 | |a Based on research conducted in RAND's National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the unified commands, and the defense agencies |b Contract no. DASW01-C-0004 | ||
500 | |a "MR-1686-NA/SRF"--Page ii | ||
505 | 0 | |a Potential adversities confronting China's continued economic growth -- Massive unemployment and rural poverty -- Economic effects of corruption -- Epidemic disease: a wild card in china's economic future? -- Water resources and pollution -- GDP effects of an energy price shock -- China's fragile financial system and the state-owned enterprises -- Possible shrinkage of foreign capital inflows -- Taiwan and other potential conflicts -- Conclusions: fault lines in China's economic terrain. | |
520 | |a What are the major challenges, fault lines, and potential adversities (these terms are used synonymously), that China's economic development will encounter over the next decade? How severely will China's overall economic performance be affected if these adversities occur separately or in clusters? This book addresses these key questions. China has confronted in the past two decades five of the eight fault lines that the authors consider (unemployment, corruption, water resources, HIV/AIDS, and financial fragility), and, nonetheless, it has sustained high rates of economic growth. Therefore, in assessing the potential effects of these fault lines on China's future economic performance, the authors focus on whether, why, and by how much their intensities may increase--that is, on changes, rather than on the prevailing levels of each fault line. For the other three fault lines examined, which have not previously occurred or recurred--oil price shocks, foreign-direct-investment shrinkage, and serious military conflicts--the authors consider the circumstances under which they might arise and their resulting economic effects. For each of the eight fault lines, the authors estimate a "bottom-line" in terms of expected effects on China's annual growth rate over the next decade, drawing on a variety of methods, models, and judgments to make these estimates. The authors suggest that the probability that none of these individual setbacks will occur is low, while the probability that all will occur is still lower. Because of interdependencies among the fault lines, it is highly likely that several separate adversities will cluster if any one of them occurs. For examples: an internal financial crisis would have serious negative effects on the relative attractiveness of foreign investment in China, contributing to shrinkage of foreign direct investment; epidemic disease would intensify water pollution problems and would discourage foreign investment | ||
506 | |3 Use copy |f Restrictions unspecified |2 star |5 MiAaHDL | ||
533 | |a Electronic reproduction. |b [Place of publication not identified] : |c HathiTrust Digital Library, |d 2010. |5 MiAaHDL | ||
538 | |a Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. |u http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 |5 MiAaHDL | ||
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651 | 0 | |a China |x Economic conditions |y 2000- |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh99010023 | |
651 | 0 | |a China |x Social conditions |y 2000- |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2003000103 | |
650 | 0 | |a Public health |z China. | |
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700 | 1 | |a Wolf, Charles, |c Jr., |d 1924-2016. |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJyRBXR48W6q4XfhPYGWDq | |
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710 | 2 | |a Smith Richardson Foundation. |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n98104105 | |
758 | |i has work: |a Fault lines in China's economic terrain (Text) |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGD9wrWXmJPQqRBPF9T3jP |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork | ||
776 | 0 | 8 | |i Print version: |t Fault lines in China's economic terrain (Original) |w (DLC) 20032047 |w (OCoLC)51607362 |
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author2 | Wolf, Charles, Jr., 1924-2016 |
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author2_variant | c w cw |
author_corporate | National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) United States. Department of Defense. Director of Net Assessment Smith Richardson Foundation |
author_corporate_role | |
author_facet | Wolf, Charles, Jr., 1924-2016 National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) United States. Department of Defense. Director of Net Assessment Smith Richardson Foundation |
author_sort | Wolf, Charles, Jr., 1924-2016 |
building | Verbundindex |
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callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
callnumber-label | HC427 |
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callnumber-search | HC427.95 .F37 2003 |
callnumber-sort | HC 3427.95 F37 42003 |
callnumber-subject | HC - Economic History and Conditions |
collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
contents | Potential adversities confronting China's continued economic growth -- Massive unemployment and rural poverty -- Economic effects of corruption -- Epidemic disease: a wild card in china's economic future? -- Water resources and pollution -- GDP effects of an energy price shock -- China's fragile financial system and the state-owned enterprises -- Possible shrinkage of foreign capital inflows -- Taiwan and other potential conflicts -- Conclusions: fault lines in China's economic terrain. |
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dewey-search | 330.951 |
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dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
era | Since 2000 fast |
era_facet | Since 2000 |
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DASW01-C-0004</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"MR-1686-NA/SRF"--Page ii</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Potential adversities confronting China's continued economic growth -- Massive unemployment and rural poverty -- Economic effects of corruption -- Epidemic disease: a wild card in china's economic future? -- Water resources and pollution -- GDP effects of an energy price shock -- China's fragile financial system and the state-owned enterprises -- Possible shrinkage of foreign capital inflows -- Taiwan and other potential conflicts -- Conclusions: fault lines in China's economic terrain.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">What are the major challenges, fault lines, and potential adversities (these terms are used synonymously), that China's economic development will encounter over the next decade? 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geographic | China Economic conditions 2000- http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh99010023 China Social conditions 2000- http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2003000103 Chine Conditions économiques 2000- Chine Conditions sociales 2000- China fast https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJdCqh8h6hJY7PT6MQW4bd |
geographic_facet | China Economic conditions 2000- China Social conditions 2000- Chine Conditions économiques 2000- Chine Conditions sociales 2000- China |
id | ZDB-4-EBA-ocm54069051 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-11-27T13:15:30Z |
institution | BVB |
institution_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n91060525 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n79017997 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n98104105 |
isbn | 0833036041 9780833036049 1282451502 9781282451506 |
language | English |
oclc_num | 54069051 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
owner_facet | MAIN DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
physical | 1 online resource (xxvii, 207 pages) : illustrations, map |
psigel | ZDB-4-EBA |
publishDate | 2003 |
publishDateSearch | 2003 |
publishDateSort | 2003 |
publisher | RAND, |
record_format | marc |
spelling | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003. 1 online resource (xxvii, 207 pages) : illustrations, map text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier polychrome. rdacc http://rdaregistry.info/termList/RDAColourContent/1003 data file Title from title screen (viewed January 13, 2004). "Prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, Dept. of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation." Includes bibliographical references (pages 181-194) and index. Based on research conducted in RAND's National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the unified commands, and the defense agencies Contract no. DASW01-C-0004 "MR-1686-NA/SRF"--Page ii Potential adversities confronting China's continued economic growth -- Massive unemployment and rural poverty -- Economic effects of corruption -- Epidemic disease: a wild card in china's economic future? -- Water resources and pollution -- GDP effects of an energy price shock -- China's fragile financial system and the state-owned enterprises -- Possible shrinkage of foreign capital inflows -- Taiwan and other potential conflicts -- Conclusions: fault lines in China's economic terrain. What are the major challenges, fault lines, and potential adversities (these terms are used synonymously), that China's economic development will encounter over the next decade? How severely will China's overall economic performance be affected if these adversities occur separately or in clusters? This book addresses these key questions. China has confronted in the past two decades five of the eight fault lines that the authors consider (unemployment, corruption, water resources, HIV/AIDS, and financial fragility), and, nonetheless, it has sustained high rates of economic growth. Therefore, in assessing the potential effects of these fault lines on China's future economic performance, the authors focus on whether, why, and by how much their intensities may increase--that is, on changes, rather than on the prevailing levels of each fault line. For the other three fault lines examined, which have not previously occurred or recurred--oil price shocks, foreign-direct-investment shrinkage, and serious military conflicts--the authors consider the circumstances under which they might arise and their resulting economic effects. For each of the eight fault lines, the authors estimate a "bottom-line" in terms of expected effects on China's annual growth rate over the next decade, drawing on a variety of methods, models, and judgments to make these estimates. The authors suggest that the probability that none of these individual setbacks will occur is low, while the probability that all will occur is still lower. Because of interdependencies among the fault lines, it is highly likely that several separate adversities will cluster if any one of them occurs. For examples: an internal financial crisis would have serious negative effects on the relative attractiveness of foreign investment in China, contributing to shrinkage of foreign direct investment; epidemic disease would intensify water pollution problems and would discourage foreign investment Use copy Restrictions unspecified star MiAaHDL Electronic reproduction. [Place of publication not identified] : HathiTrust Digital Library, 2010. MiAaHDL Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL China Economic conditions 2000- http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh99010023 China Social conditions 2000- http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2003000103 Public health China. Chine Conditions économiques 2000- Chine Conditions sociales 2000- Santé publique Chine. POLITICAL SCIENCE Economic Conditions. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics Comparative. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic Conditions. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic History. bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE International Relations General. bisacsh Economic history fast Public health fast Social conditions fast China fast https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJdCqh8h6hJY7PT6MQW4bd Since 2000 fast Wolf, Charles, Jr., 1924-2016. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJyRBXR48W6q4XfhPYGWDq National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n91060525 United States. Department of Defense. Director of Net Assessment. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n79017997 Smith Richardson Foundation. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n98104105 has work: Fault lines in China's economic terrain (Text) https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGD9wrWXmJPQqRBPF9T3jP https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork Print version: Fault lines in China's economic terrain (Original) (DLC) 20032047 (OCoLC)51607362 FWS01 ZDB-4-EBA FWS_PDA_EBA https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=105342 Volltext |
spellingShingle | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Potential adversities confronting China's continued economic growth -- Massive unemployment and rural poverty -- Economic effects of corruption -- Epidemic disease: a wild card in china's economic future? -- Water resources and pollution -- GDP effects of an energy price shock -- China's fragile financial system and the state-owned enterprises -- Possible shrinkage of foreign capital inflows -- Taiwan and other potential conflicts -- Conclusions: fault lines in China's economic terrain. Public health China. Santé publique Chine. POLITICAL SCIENCE Economic Conditions. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics Comparative. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic Conditions. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic History. bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE International Relations General. bisacsh Economic history fast Public health fast Social conditions fast |
subject_GND | http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh99010023 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2003000103 |
title | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / |
title_auth | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / |
title_exact_search | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / |
title_full | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]. |
title_fullStr | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]. |
title_full_unstemmed | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Charles Wolf, Jr. [and others]. |
title_short | Fault lines in China's economic terrain / |
title_sort | fault lines in china s economic terrain |
topic | Public health China. Santé publique Chine. POLITICAL SCIENCE Economic Conditions. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics Comparative. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic Conditions. bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic History. bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE International Relations General. bisacsh Economic history fast Public health fast Social conditions fast |
topic_facet | China Economic conditions 2000- China Social conditions 2000- Public health China. Chine Conditions économiques 2000- Chine Conditions sociales 2000- Santé publique Chine. POLITICAL SCIENCE Economic Conditions. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economics Comparative. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic Conditions. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Economic History. POLITICAL SCIENCE International Relations General. Economic history Public health Social conditions China |
url | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=105342 |
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