Fertile Futures: Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets
Fertilisers are crucial components of food systems, with impacts beyond agricultural markets. This study utilises the OECD-FAO Aglink-Cosimo model to examine the intricate interplay between fertiliser markets, policies, and their repercussions on agricultural markets, food security, and environmenta...
Saved in:
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Other Authors: | , |
Format: | Electronic eBook |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2024
|
Series: | OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers
no.207 |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | DE-862 DE-863 |
Summary: | Fertilisers are crucial components of food systems, with impacts beyond agricultural markets. This study utilises the OECD-FAO Aglink-Cosimo model to examine the intricate interplay between fertiliser markets, policies, and their repercussions on agricultural markets, food security, and environmental sustainability over the medium term. Two distinct scenario analyses reveal significant insights. The first scenario shows that while short-term disruptions in fertiliser supply can be mitigated by existing stocks, prolonged deficits will increase global food prices by up to 6%, posing long-term threats to agriculture. In the second scenario, the removal of fertiliser subsidies in India leads to reduced domestic use, resulting in decreased agricultural production and exports coupled with increased imports. Although this will cause a modest 0.8% increase in global food prices, it will substantially cut agricultural greenhouse gas emissions by 7 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, highlighting the pivotal role of domestic policies in attaining global environmental sustainability goals. |
Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten) 21 x 28cm. |
Staff View
MARC
LEADER | 00000cam a22000002 4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | ZDB-13-SOC-104404760 | ||
003 | DE-627-1 | ||
005 | 20241028115212.0 | ||
007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
008 | 240702s2024 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
024 | 7 | |a 10.1787/b1606a57-en |2 doi | |
035 | |a (DE-627-1)104404760 | ||
035 | |a (DE-599)KEP104404760 | ||
035 | |a (FR-PaOEC)b1606a57-en | ||
035 | |a (DE-627-1)104404760 | ||
040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rda | ||
041 | |a eng | ||
084 | |a Q17 |2 jelc | ||
084 | |a Q18 |2 jelc | ||
084 | |a Q11 |2 jelc | ||
084 | |a Q56 |2 jelc | ||
084 | |a C54 |2 jelc | ||
100 | 1 | |a Adenäuer, Marcel |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Fertile Futures |b Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets |c Marcel, Adenäuer, Edith, Laget and Merritt, Cluff |
264 | 1 | |a Paris |b OECD Publishing |c 2024 | |
300 | |a 1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten) |c 21 x 28cm. | ||
336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |a Computermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |a Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
490 | 0 | |a OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers |v no.207 | |
520 | |a Fertilisers are crucial components of food systems, with impacts beyond agricultural markets. This study utilises the OECD-FAO Aglink-Cosimo model to examine the intricate interplay between fertiliser markets, policies, and their repercussions on agricultural markets, food security, and environmental sustainability over the medium term. Two distinct scenario analyses reveal significant insights. The first scenario shows that while short-term disruptions in fertiliser supply can be mitigated by existing stocks, prolonged deficits will increase global food prices by up to 6%, posing long-term threats to agriculture. In the second scenario, the removal of fertiliser subsidies in India leads to reduced domestic use, resulting in decreased agricultural production and exports coupled with increased imports. Although this will cause a modest 0.8% increase in global food prices, it will substantially cut agricultural greenhouse gas emissions by 7 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, highlighting the pivotal role of domestic policies in attaining global environmental sustainability goals. | ||
650 | 4 | |a Agriculture and Food | |
650 | 4 | |a Environment | |
700 | 1 | |a Laget, Edith |e MitwirkendeR |4 ctb | |
700 | 1 | |a Cluff, Merritt |e MitwirkendeR |4 ctb | |
966 | 4 | 0 | |l DE-862 |p ZDB-13-SOC |q FWS_PDA_SOC |u https://doi.org/10.1787/b1606a57-en |m X:OECD |x Resolving-System |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
966 | 4 | 0 | |l DE-863 |p ZDB-13-SOC |q FWS_PDA_SOC |u https://doi.org/10.1787/b1606a57-en |m X:OECD |x Resolving-System |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC-ebook | ||
912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC | ||
951 | |a BO | ||
912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC | ||
049 | |a DE-862 | ||
049 | |a DE-863 |
Record in the Search Index
DE-BY-FWS_katkey | ZDB-13-SOC-104404760 |
---|---|
_version_ | 1826942497534771200 |
adam_text | |
any_adam_object | |
author | Adenäuer, Marcel |
author2 | Laget, Edith Cluff, Merritt |
author2_role | ctb ctb |
author2_variant | e l el m c mc |
author_facet | Adenäuer, Marcel Laget, Edith Cluff, Merritt |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Adenäuer, Marcel |
author_variant | m a ma |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | localFWS |
collection | ZDB-13-SOC-ebook ZDB-13-SOC |
ctrlnum | (DE-627-1)104404760 (DE-599)KEP104404760 (FR-PaOEC)b1606a57-en |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Electronic eBook |
fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02534cam a22004332 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">ZDB-13-SOC-104404760</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627-1</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20241028115212.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">240702s2024 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1787/b1606a57-en</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627-1)104404760</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)KEP104404760</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(FR-PaOEC)b1606a57-en</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627-1)104404760</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Q17</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Q18</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Q11</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Q56</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">C54</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Adenäuer, Marcel</subfield><subfield code="e">VerfasserIn</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Fertile Futures</subfield><subfield code="b">Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets</subfield><subfield code="c">Marcel, Adenäuer, Edith, Laget and Merritt, Cluff</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Paris</subfield><subfield code="b">OECD Publishing</subfield><subfield code="c">2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten)</subfield><subfield code="c">21 x 28cm.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers</subfield><subfield code="v">no.207</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Fertilisers are crucial components of food systems, with impacts beyond agricultural markets. This study utilises the OECD-FAO Aglink-Cosimo model to examine the intricate interplay between fertiliser markets, policies, and their repercussions on agricultural markets, food security, and environmental sustainability over the medium term. Two distinct scenario analyses reveal significant insights. The first scenario shows that while short-term disruptions in fertiliser supply can be mitigated by existing stocks, prolonged deficits will increase global food prices by up to 6%, posing long-term threats to agriculture. In the second scenario, the removal of fertiliser subsidies in India leads to reduced domestic use, resulting in decreased agricultural production and exports coupled with increased imports. Although this will cause a modest 0.8% increase in global food prices, it will substantially cut agricultural greenhouse gas emissions by 7 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, highlighting the pivotal role of domestic policies in attaining global environmental sustainability goals.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Agriculture and Food</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Environment</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Laget, Edith</subfield><subfield code="e">MitwirkendeR</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Cluff, Merritt</subfield><subfield code="e">MitwirkendeR</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="l">DE-862</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="q">FWS_PDA_SOC</subfield><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/b1606a57-en</subfield><subfield code="m">X:OECD</subfield><subfield code="x">Resolving-System</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="l">DE-863</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="q">FWS_PDA_SOC</subfield><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/b1606a57-en</subfield><subfield code="m">X:OECD</subfield><subfield code="x">Resolving-System</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC-ebook</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-862</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-863</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
id | ZDB-13-SOC-104404760 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
indexdate | 2025-03-18T14:28:57Z |
institution | BVB |
language | English |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-862 DE-BY-FWS DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
owner_facet | DE-862 DE-BY-FWS DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
physical | 1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten) 21 x 28cm. |
psigel | ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC ZDB-13-SOC-ebook ZDB-13-SOC |
publishDate | 2024 |
publishDateSearch | 2024 |
publishDateSort | 2024 |
publisher | OECD Publishing |
record_format | marc |
series2 | OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers |
spelling | Adenäuer, Marcel VerfasserIn aut Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets Marcel, Adenäuer, Edith, Laget and Merritt, Cluff Paris OECD Publishing 2024 1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten) 21 x 28cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers no.207 Fertilisers are crucial components of food systems, with impacts beyond agricultural markets. This study utilises the OECD-FAO Aglink-Cosimo model to examine the intricate interplay between fertiliser markets, policies, and their repercussions on agricultural markets, food security, and environmental sustainability over the medium term. Two distinct scenario analyses reveal significant insights. The first scenario shows that while short-term disruptions in fertiliser supply can be mitigated by existing stocks, prolonged deficits will increase global food prices by up to 6%, posing long-term threats to agriculture. In the second scenario, the removal of fertiliser subsidies in India leads to reduced domestic use, resulting in decreased agricultural production and exports coupled with increased imports. Although this will cause a modest 0.8% increase in global food prices, it will substantially cut agricultural greenhouse gas emissions by 7 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent, highlighting the pivotal role of domestic policies in attaining global environmental sustainability goals. Agriculture and Food Environment Laget, Edith MitwirkendeR ctb Cluff, Merritt MitwirkendeR ctb |
spellingShingle | Adenäuer, Marcel Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets Agriculture and Food Environment |
title | Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets |
title_auth | Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets |
title_exact_search | Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets |
title_full | Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets Marcel, Adenäuer, Edith, Laget and Merritt, Cluff |
title_fullStr | Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets Marcel, Adenäuer, Edith, Laget and Merritt, Cluff |
title_full_unstemmed | Fertile Futures Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets Marcel, Adenäuer, Edith, Laget and Merritt, Cluff |
title_short | Fertile Futures |
title_sort | fertile futures scenario analysis on the interconnected dynamics of fertiliser and agricultural markets |
title_sub | Scenario Analysis on the Interconnected Dynamics of Fertiliser and Agricultural Markets |
topic | Agriculture and Food Environment |
topic_facet | Agriculture and Food Environment |
work_keys_str_mv | AT adenauermarcel fertilefuturesscenarioanalysisontheinterconnecteddynamicsoffertiliserandagriculturalmarkets AT lagetedith fertilefuturesscenarioanalysisontheinterconnecteddynamicsoffertiliserandagriculturalmarkets AT cluffmerritt fertilefuturesscenarioanalysisontheinterconnecteddynamicsoffertiliserandagriculturalmarkets |