Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa:
This paper aims at quantifying the macroeconomic and distributional impacts of product market reforms and additional public investment using a DSGE model. The model reflects specific features of the South African economy. Tradable and non-tradable product markets are modelled separately, and a segme...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2022
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Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
no.1747 |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper aims at quantifying the macroeconomic and distributional impacts of product market reforms and additional public investment using a DSGE model. The model reflects specific features of the South African economy. Tradable and non-tradable product markets are modelled separately, and a segmented labour market is designed to reproduce the labour market duality in South Africa between skilled and unskilled workers. The role of public investment on total factor productivity and its financing modality are taken into allowing the quantification of the net benefits of reforms. Our results show that enhancing competition in the non-tradable sector has a short run recessionary impact while deregulating the tradable sector is expansionary. Overall, the latter has a bigger impact on GDP. From a distributional perspective, a product market reform in both sectors benefits all income deciles. Finally, additional public infrastructure investment, either financed by raising VAT or capital income tax, increases GDP in the short-term less than product market reform in the tradable sector but is more expansionary in the long run, so a combination of both reforms would boost living standards. |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (41 p.) 21 x 28cm. |
DOI: | 10.1787/6e5796c8-en |
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520 | |a This paper aims at quantifying the macroeconomic and distributional impacts of product market reforms and additional public investment using a DSGE model. The model reflects specific features of the South African economy. Tradable and non-tradable product markets are modelled separately, and a segmented labour market is designed to reproduce the labour market duality in South Africa between skilled and unskilled workers. The role of public investment on total factor productivity and its financing modality are taken into allowing the quantification of the net benefits of reforms. Our results show that enhancing competition in the non-tradable sector has a short run recessionary impact while deregulating the tradable sector is expansionary. Overall, the latter has a bigger impact on GDP. From a distributional perspective, a product market reform in both sectors benefits all income deciles. Finally, additional public infrastructure investment, either financed by raising VAT or capital income tax, increases GDP in the short-term less than product market reform in the tradable sector but is more expansionary in the long run, so a combination of both reforms would boost living standards. | ||
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spelling | Fall, Falilou VerfasserIn aut Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa Falilou, Fall and Paul, Cahu Paris OECD Publishing 2022 1 Online-Ressource (41 p.) 21 x 28cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1747 This paper aims at quantifying the macroeconomic and distributional impacts of product market reforms and additional public investment using a DSGE model. The model reflects specific features of the South African economy. Tradable and non-tradable product markets are modelled separately, and a segmented labour market is designed to reproduce the labour market duality in South Africa between skilled and unskilled workers. The role of public investment on total factor productivity and its financing modality are taken into allowing the quantification of the net benefits of reforms. Our results show that enhancing competition in the non-tradable sector has a short run recessionary impact while deregulating the tradable sector is expansionary. Overall, the latter has a bigger impact on GDP. From a distributional perspective, a product market reform in both sectors benefits all income deciles. Finally, additional public infrastructure investment, either financed by raising VAT or capital income tax, increases GDP in the short-term less than product market reform in the tradable sector but is more expansionary in the long run, so a combination of both reforms would boost living standards. Economics South Africa Cahu, Paul MitwirkendeR ctb FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/6e5796c8-en Volltext |
spellingShingle | Fall, Falilou Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa Economics South Africa |
title | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa |
title_auth | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa |
title_exact_search | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa |
title_full | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa Falilou, Fall and Paul, Cahu |
title_fullStr | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa Falilou, Fall and Paul, Cahu |
title_full_unstemmed | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa Falilou, Fall and Paul, Cahu |
title_short | Measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies: A DSGE model for South Africa |
title_sort | measuring the impact of structural reforms and investment policies a dsge model for south africa |
topic | Economics South Africa |
topic_facet | Economics South Africa |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/6e5796c8-en |
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