Modelling trade policy scenarios: Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility
COVID-19 has drawn renewed attention to the economic importance of cross border mobility. Frictions in cross border mobility of labour can substantially impact the economy and international trade, by causing a long-term decrease in net migration that would alter the labour supply in many economies....
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Weitere Verfasser: | , |
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2022
|
| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Trade Policy Papers
no.259 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | COVID-19 has drawn renewed attention to the economic importance of cross border mobility. Frictions in cross border mobility of labour can substantially impact the economy and international trade, by causing a long-term decrease in net migration that would alter the labour supply in many economies. To capture these macro-economic and trade effects, a global macroeconomic model (NiGEM) and a general equilibrium trade model (METRO) were used to simulate a stylised scenario equivalent to a 20% reduction in net-migration accumulated over the past ten years for all economies and regions. In OECD countries, this would translate into a reduction of the overall labour supply, and this shock would shift some economic activity towards non-OECD countries. At the sectoral level, exports of labour intensive manufacturing activities in OECD countries would contract, with electronics (13% of the total reduction of exports in the long term), automobiles (12%) and pharmaceuticals (9%) among the most affected. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (28 p.) 21 x 28cm. |
| DOI: | 10.1787/b37fa34f-en |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000cam a22000002 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | ZDB-13-SOC-077478878 | ||
| 003 | DE-627-1 | ||
| 005 | 20231204121322.0 | ||
| 007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 220413s2022 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1787/b37fa34f-en |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (DE-627-1)077478878 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)KEP077478878 | ||
| 035 | |a (FR-PaOEC)b37fa34f-en | ||
| 035 | |a (EBP)077478878 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rda | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 084 | |a C63 |2 jelc | ||
| 084 | |a F22 |2 jelc | ||
| 084 | |a F47 |2 jelc | ||
| 084 | |a N10 |2 jelc | ||
| 084 | |a E10 |2 jelc | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Smith, Donal |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Modelling trade policy scenarios |b Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility |c Donal, Smith, Przemyslaw, Kowalski and Frank, van Tongeren |
| 264 | 1 | |a Paris |b OECD Publishing |c 2022 | |
| 300 | |a 1 Online-Ressource (28 p.) |c 21 x 28cm. | ||
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a Computermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 0 | |a OECD Trade Policy Papers |v no.259 | |
| 520 | |a COVID-19 has drawn renewed attention to the economic importance of cross border mobility. Frictions in cross border mobility of labour can substantially impact the economy and international trade, by causing a long-term decrease in net migration that would alter the labour supply in many economies. To capture these macro-economic and trade effects, a global macroeconomic model (NiGEM) and a general equilibrium trade model (METRO) were used to simulate a stylised scenario equivalent to a 20% reduction in net-migration accumulated over the past ten years for all economies and regions. In OECD countries, this would translate into a reduction of the overall labour supply, and this shock would shift some economic activity towards non-OECD countries. At the sectoral level, exports of labour intensive manufacturing activities in OECD countries would contract, with electronics (13% of the total reduction of exports in the long term), automobiles (12%) and pharmaceuticals (9%) among the most affected. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Trade | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Kowalski, Przemyslaw |e MitwirkendeR |4 ctb | |
| 700 | 1 | |a van Tongeren, Frank |e MitwirkendeR |4 ctb | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |l FWS01 |p ZDB-13-SOC |q FWS_PDA_SOC |u https://doi.org/10.1787/b37fa34f-en |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC | ||
| 912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC | ||
| 951 | |a BO | ||
| 912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC | ||
| 049 | |a DE-863 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| DE-BY-FWS_katkey | ZDB-13-SOC-077478878 |
|---|---|
| _version_ | 1816797324271157248 |
| adam_text | |
| any_adam_object | |
| author | Smith, Donal |
| author2 | Kowalski, Przemyslaw van Tongeren, Frank |
| author2_role | ctb ctb |
| author2_variant | p k pk t f v tf tfv |
| author_facet | Smith, Donal Kowalski, Przemyslaw van Tongeren, Frank |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Smith, Donal |
| author_variant | d s ds |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | localFWS |
| collection | ZDB-13-SOC |
| ctrlnum | (DE-627-1)077478878 (DE-599)KEP077478878 (FR-PaOEC)b37fa34f-en (EBP)077478878 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1787/b37fa34f-en |
| format | Electronic eBook |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02351cam a22004212 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">ZDB-13-SOC-077478878</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627-1</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20231204121322.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">220413s2022 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1787/b37fa34f-en</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627-1)077478878</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)KEP077478878</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(FR-PaOEC)b37fa34f-en</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(EBP)077478878</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">C63</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">F22</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">F47</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">N10</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">E10</subfield><subfield code="2">jelc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Smith, Donal</subfield><subfield code="e">VerfasserIn</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Modelling trade policy scenarios</subfield><subfield code="b">Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility</subfield><subfield code="c">Donal, Smith, Przemyslaw, Kowalski and Frank, van Tongeren</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Paris</subfield><subfield code="b">OECD Publishing</subfield><subfield code="c">2022</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (28 p.)</subfield><subfield code="c">21 x 28cm.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">OECD Trade Policy Papers</subfield><subfield code="v">no.259</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">COVID-19 has drawn renewed attention to the economic importance of cross border mobility. Frictions in cross border mobility of labour can substantially impact the economy and international trade, by causing a long-term decrease in net migration that would alter the labour supply in many economies. To capture these macro-economic and trade effects, a global macroeconomic model (NiGEM) and a general equilibrium trade model (METRO) were used to simulate a stylised scenario equivalent to a 20% reduction in net-migration accumulated over the past ten years for all economies and regions. In OECD countries, this would translate into a reduction of the overall labour supply, and this shock would shift some economic activity towards non-OECD countries. At the sectoral level, exports of labour intensive manufacturing activities in OECD countries would contract, with electronics (13% of the total reduction of exports in the long term), automobiles (12%) and pharmaceuticals (9%) among the most affected.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Trade</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Kowalski, Przemyslaw</subfield><subfield code="e">MitwirkendeR</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">van Tongeren, Frank</subfield><subfield code="e">MitwirkendeR</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="l">FWS01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield><subfield code="q">FWS_PDA_SOC</subfield><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/b37fa34f-en</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-863</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | ZDB-13-SOC-077478878 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-26T14:55:46Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
| owner_facet | DE-863 DE-BY-FWS |
| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (28 p.) 21 x 28cm. |
| psigel | ZDB-13-SOC |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateSearch | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | OECD Publishing |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | OECD Trade Policy Papers |
| spelling | Smith, Donal VerfasserIn aut Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility Donal, Smith, Przemyslaw, Kowalski and Frank, van Tongeren Paris OECD Publishing 2022 1 Online-Ressource (28 p.) 21 x 28cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Trade Policy Papers no.259 COVID-19 has drawn renewed attention to the economic importance of cross border mobility. Frictions in cross border mobility of labour can substantially impact the economy and international trade, by causing a long-term decrease in net migration that would alter the labour supply in many economies. To capture these macro-economic and trade effects, a global macroeconomic model (NiGEM) and a general equilibrium trade model (METRO) were used to simulate a stylised scenario equivalent to a 20% reduction in net-migration accumulated over the past ten years for all economies and regions. In OECD countries, this would translate into a reduction of the overall labour supply, and this shock would shift some economic activity towards non-OECD countries. At the sectoral level, exports of labour intensive manufacturing activities in OECD countries would contract, with electronics (13% of the total reduction of exports in the long term), automobiles (12%) and pharmaceuticals (9%) among the most affected. Trade Kowalski, Przemyslaw MitwirkendeR ctb van Tongeren, Frank MitwirkendeR ctb FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/b37fa34f-en Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Smith, Donal Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility Trade |
| title | Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility |
| title_auth | Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility |
| title_exact_search | Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility |
| title_full | Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility Donal, Smith, Przemyslaw, Kowalski and Frank, van Tongeren |
| title_fullStr | Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility Donal, Smith, Przemyslaw, Kowalski and Frank, van Tongeren |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling trade policy scenarios Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility Donal, Smith, Przemyslaw, Kowalski and Frank, van Tongeren |
| title_short | Modelling trade policy scenarios |
| title_sort | modelling trade policy scenarios macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility |
| title_sub | Macroeconomic and trade effects of restrictions in cross border labour mobility |
| topic | Trade |
| topic_facet | Trade |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/b37fa34f-en |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT smithdonal modellingtradepolicyscenariosmacroeconomicandtradeeffectsofrestrictionsincrossborderlabourmobility AT kowalskiprzemyslaw modellingtradepolicyscenariosmacroeconomicandtradeeffectsofrestrictionsincrossborderlabourmobility AT vantongerenfrank modellingtradepolicyscenariosmacroeconomicandtradeeffectsofrestrictionsincrossborderlabourmobility |