Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index:
Body-mass index (BMI) tends to follow a typical trajectory over the life-course of an individual, increasing in early life while decreasing after middle age. To be able to reflect these trends in the OECD Strategic Public Health Planning for Non-Communicable Diseases (SPHeP-NCDs) model, this paper a...
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| Main Author: | |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2021
|
| Series: | OECD Health Working Papers
no.132 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | DE-862 DE-863 |
| Summary: | Body-mass index (BMI) tends to follow a typical trajectory over the life-course of an individual, increasing in early life while decreasing after middle age. To be able to reflect these trends in the OECD Strategic Public Health Planning for Non-Communicable Diseases (SPHeP-NCDs) model, this paper analyses longitudinal BMI data from 22 countries to build a mixed, autoregressive model predicting an individual's BMI based on their sex, age and previous BMI. The resulting model shows how young people are likely to see an increase in BMI year-on-year, even if they already have overweight or obesity. It also shows that that a healthy weight in childhood does not protect against future overweight, as BMI continues to increase well into adulthood even for children who start off with a healthy weight. The results of this analysis will be incorporated in the OECD SPHeP NCDs model, to better simulate the longer-term impact of interventions, in particular interventions targeting childhood obesity. |
| Physical Description: | 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) 21 x 28cm. |
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| spelling | Vuik, Sabine VerfasserIn aut Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine, Vuik and Michele, Cecchini Paris OECD Publishing 2021 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) 21 x 28cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Health Working Papers no.132 Body-mass index (BMI) tends to follow a typical trajectory over the life-course of an individual, increasing in early life while decreasing after middle age. To be able to reflect these trends in the OECD Strategic Public Health Planning for Non-Communicable Diseases (SPHeP-NCDs) model, this paper analyses longitudinal BMI data from 22 countries to build a mixed, autoregressive model predicting an individual's BMI based on their sex, age and previous BMI. The resulting model shows how young people are likely to see an increase in BMI year-on-year, even if they already have overweight or obesity. It also shows that that a healthy weight in childhood does not protect against future overweight, as BMI continues to increase well into adulthood even for children who start off with a healthy weight. The results of this analysis will be incorporated in the OECD SPHeP NCDs model, to better simulate the longer-term impact of interventions, in particular interventions targeting childhood obesity. Social Issues/Migration/Health Cecchini, Michele MitwirkendeR ctb |
| spellingShingle | Vuik, Sabine Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Social Issues/Migration/Health |
| title | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
| title_auth | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
| title_exact_search | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
| title_full | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine, Vuik and Michele, Cecchini |
| title_fullStr | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine, Vuik and Michele, Cecchini |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index Sabine, Vuik and Michele, Cecchini |
| title_short | Modelling life trajectories of body-mass index |
| title_sort | modelling life trajectories of body mass index |
| topic | Social Issues/Migration/Health |
| topic_facet | Social Issues/Migration/Health |
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