COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries:
The longer run consequences of the pandemic will partly hinge on its impact on high productivity firms, and the ongoing process of labour reallocation from low to high productivity firms. While Schumpeter (1939) proposed that recessions can accelerate this process, the nature of the COVID-19 shock c...
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Weitere Verfasser: | , |
Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2021
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Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
no.1676 |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | The longer run consequences of the pandemic will partly hinge on its impact on high productivity firms, and the ongoing process of labour reallocation from low to high productivity firms. While Schumpeter (1939) proposed that recessions can accelerate this process, the nature of the COVID-19 shock coupled with a policy response that prioritised preservation (over reallocation) raises questions about whether job reallocation remained productivity-enhancing. Using novel, near-real-time data for Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom, this paper shows that while labour turnover fell in response to the pandemic, job reallocation remained connected to firm productivity - that is, high productivity firms were more likely to expand and low productivity firms were more likely to contract. The pandemic coincided with a temporary strengthening of the reallocation-productivity link in Australia - but a weakening in New Zealand - which appears related to the design of job retention schemes. Finally, firms that intensively used Apps to manage their business were more resilient, even after controlling for productivity. Thus, while policy partly suppressed creative destruction, the nature of the shock - i.e. one where being online and able to operate remotely were key - favoured high productivity and tech-savvy firms, resulting in a reallocation of labour to such firms. The use of timely, novel data to investigate the allocative effects of the pandemic marks a significant advance, given that the seminal paper on productivity-enhancing reallocation during the Great Recession arrived some six years after Lehman Brothers collapsed. |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (47 p.) |
DOI: | 10.1787/d2c4b89c-en |
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spelling | Andrews, Dan VerfasserIn aut COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries Dan, Andrews, Andrew, Charlton and Angus, Moore Paris OECD Publishing 2021 1 Online-Ressource (47 p.) Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1676 The longer run consequences of the pandemic will partly hinge on its impact on high productivity firms, and the ongoing process of labour reallocation from low to high productivity firms. While Schumpeter (1939) proposed that recessions can accelerate this process, the nature of the COVID-19 shock coupled with a policy response that prioritised preservation (over reallocation) raises questions about whether job reallocation remained productivity-enhancing. Using novel, near-real-time data for Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom, this paper shows that while labour turnover fell in response to the pandemic, job reallocation remained connected to firm productivity - that is, high productivity firms were more likely to expand and low productivity firms were more likely to contract. The pandemic coincided with a temporary strengthening of the reallocation-productivity link in Australia - but a weakening in New Zealand - which appears related to the design of job retention schemes. Finally, firms that intensively used Apps to manage their business were more resilient, even after controlling for productivity. Thus, while policy partly suppressed creative destruction, the nature of the shock - i.e. one where being online and able to operate remotely were key - favoured high productivity and tech-savvy firms, resulting in a reallocation of labour to such firms. The use of timely, novel data to investigate the allocative effects of the pandemic marks a significant advance, given that the seminal paper on productivity-enhancing reallocation during the Great Recession arrived some six years after Lehman Brothers collapsed. Economics Australia New Zealand United Kingdom Charlton, Andrew MitwirkendeR ctb Moore, Angus MitwirkendeR ctb FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/d2c4b89c-en Volltext |
spellingShingle | Andrews, Dan COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries Economics Australia New Zealand United Kingdom |
title | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries |
title_auth | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries |
title_exact_search | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries |
title_full | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries Dan, Andrews, Andrew, Charlton and Angus, Moore |
title_fullStr | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries Dan, Andrews, Andrew, Charlton and Angus, Moore |
title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries Dan, Andrews, Andrew, Charlton and Angus, Moore |
title_short | COVID-19, productivity and reallocation: Timely evidence from three OECD countries |
title_sort | covid 19 productivity and reallocation timely evidence from three oecd countries |
topic | Economics Australia New Zealand United Kingdom |
topic_facet | Economics Australia New Zealand United Kingdom |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/d2c4b89c-en |
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