How do policies influence GDP tail risks?:
This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods. Conditioning on several country characteristics such as the size, stage of development and openness to trade as well as macroe...
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2016
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| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
no.1339 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods. Conditioning on several country characteristics such as the size, stage of development and openness to trade as well as macroeconomic policies, the following findings for a panel of mostly OECD countries emerge: First, countries with stronger banking supervision and capital market development, better quality of governance, higher foreign reserves and several labour market characteristics such as higher unemployment benefits and greater spending in active labour market policies tend to experience less severe negative growth shocks (negative tail risk). Second, greater use of macro-prudential tools is generally associated with less extreme positive growth shocks (positive tail risk) and lower average growth. Third, larger automatic stabilisers are associated with both less severe negative and positive growth shocks but also lower average growth. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (44 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. |
| DOI: | 10.1787/5jln0428l1wl-en |
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| spelling | Caldera Sánchez, Aida VerfasserIn aut How do policies influence GDP tail risks? Aida, Caldera Sánchez and Oliver, Röhn = Comment les politiques publiques influencent les risques extrêmes du PIB? / Aida, Caldera Sánchez et Oliver, Röhn Comment les politiques publiques influencent les risques extrêmes du PIB? Paris OECD Publishing 2016 1 Online-Ressource (44 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1339 This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods. Conditioning on several country characteristics such as the size, stage of development and openness to trade as well as macroeconomic policies, the following findings for a panel of mostly OECD countries emerge: First, countries with stronger banking supervision and capital market development, better quality of governance, higher foreign reserves and several labour market characteristics such as higher unemployment benefits and greater spending in active labour market policies tend to experience less severe negative growth shocks (negative tail risk). Second, greater use of macro-prudential tools is generally associated with less extreme positive growth shocks (positive tail risk) and lower average growth. Third, larger automatic stabilisers are associated with both less severe negative and positive growth shocks but also lower average growth. Economics Röhn, Oliver MitwirkendeR ctb FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/5jln0428l1wl-en Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Caldera Sánchez, Aida How do policies influence GDP tail risks? Economics |
| title | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? |
| title_alt | Comment les politiques publiques influencent les risques extrêmes du PIB? |
| title_auth | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? |
| title_exact_search | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? |
| title_full | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? Aida, Caldera Sánchez and Oliver, Röhn = Comment les politiques publiques influencent les risques extrêmes du PIB? / Aida, Caldera Sánchez et Oliver, Röhn |
| title_fullStr | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? Aida, Caldera Sánchez and Oliver, Röhn = Comment les politiques publiques influencent les risques extrêmes du PIB? / Aida, Caldera Sánchez et Oliver, Röhn |
| title_full_unstemmed | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? Aida, Caldera Sánchez and Oliver, Röhn = Comment les politiques publiques influencent les risques extrêmes du PIB? / Aida, Caldera Sánchez et Oliver, Röhn |
| title_short | How do policies influence GDP tail risks? |
| title_sort | how do policies influence gdp tail risks |
| topic | Economics |
| topic_facet | Economics |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/5jln0428l1wl-en |
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