The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle: A comparison across OECD countries
This paper studies the cyclical behaviour of public social spending in 20 OECD countries observed over the period between 1982 and 2011. In view of the recent discussion on cutting the budget deficit, the paper pays particular attention to whether social spending is pro-cyclical or countercyclical,...
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Format: | Elektronisch Artikel |
Sprache: | English |
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Paris
OECD Publishing
2015
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Zusammenfassung: | This paper studies the cyclical behaviour of public social spending in 20 OECD countries observed over the period between 1982 and 2011. In view of the recent discussion on cutting the budget deficit, the paper pays particular attention to whether social spending is pro-cyclical or countercyclical, whether it changes asymmetrically during expansions and recessions and whether the asymmetric changes in social spending contribute to a drift in social expenditures over time. The links between social spending levels and key economic variables, such as economic growth, provide also a useful context for discussing current social expenditure trends. The estimates, based on a system-GMM estimator, suggest that an upward ratchet effect exists. The effect is robust to a large number of alternative specifications. JEL classification: E32, E62, H50, I00 Keywords: Fiscal policy, economic cycles, social spending, ratchet effect |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (30 p.) 21 x 28cm. |
DOI: | 10.1787/eco_studies-2015-5jrs63lpkmxr |
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spelling | D'Addio, Anna Cristina VerfasserIn aut The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries Anna Cristina, D'Addio Paris OECD Publishing 2015 1 Online-Ressource (30 p.) 21 x 28cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier This paper studies the cyclical behaviour of public social spending in 20 OECD countries observed over the period between 1982 and 2011. In view of the recent discussion on cutting the budget deficit, the paper pays particular attention to whether social spending is pro-cyclical or countercyclical, whether it changes asymmetrically during expansions and recessions and whether the asymmetric changes in social spending contribute to a drift in social expenditures over time. The links between social spending levels and key economic variables, such as economic growth, provide also a useful context for discussing current social expenditure trends. The estimates, based on a system-GMM estimator, suggest that an upward ratchet effect exists. The effect is robust to a large number of alternative specifications. JEL classification: E32, E62, H50, I00 Keywords: Fiscal policy, economic cycles, social spending, ratchet effect Economics Enthalten in OECD Journal: Economic Studies Vol. 2015, no. 1, p. 149-178 volume:2015 year:2015 number:1 pages:149-178 FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/eco_studies-2015-5jrs63lpkmxr Volltext |
spellingShingle | D'Addio, Anna Cristina The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries Economics |
title | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries |
title_auth | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries |
title_exact_search | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries |
title_full | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries Anna Cristina, D'Addio |
title_fullStr | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries Anna Cristina, D'Addio |
title_full_unstemmed | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle A comparison across OECD countries Anna Cristina, D'Addio |
title_short | The dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle |
title_sort | dynamics of social expenditures over the cycle a comparison across oecd countries |
title_sub | A comparison across OECD countries |
topic | Economics |
topic_facet | Economics |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/eco_studies-2015-5jrs63lpkmxr |
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