Nowcasting Patent Indicators:
Indicators based on patents provide a good measure of the innovative performance and technology outputs of countries. However, because of legal rules imposed by the patent application process, information on patents is generally publicly disclosed after 18 months. Patent indicators are consequently...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2007
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| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers
no.2007/03 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Indicators based on patents provide a good measure of the innovative performance and technology outputs of countries. However, because of legal rules imposed by the patent application process, information on patents is generally publicly disclosed after 18 months. Patent indicators are consequently faced with a timeliness issue, which can extend to more than five years depending on the computational method used to develop indicators. This study aims at designing simple but robust methods that would enable to "nowcast" patent indicators - forecast the present (or the recent past) - in order to mitigate the timeliness issue. The nowcasting exercise is conducted here on two separate sets of patent indicators: the number of patents applied to the European Patent Office (EPO) and the number of Triadic Patent Families (patents taken at the EPO, the Japan Patent Office (JPO) and the United States Patent and Trademarks Office (USPTO)). Portion of patent filings at the EPO were made under the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT). The nowcasting method developed in the present document is based on estimates of the transfer rate of patents filed under PCT into the EPO regional phase, given that information on PCT patents at international phase is disclosed before reaching the regional/national phase. This method provides robust estimates up to year t-2 (instead of year t-4), even though patenting activity of small patenting countries or emerging economies are difficult to predict, in terms of both level and growth... |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (47 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. |
| DOI: | 10.1787/055888673307 |
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| 520 | |a Indicators based on patents provide a good measure of the innovative performance and technology outputs of countries. However, because of legal rules imposed by the patent application process, information on patents is generally publicly disclosed after 18 months. Patent indicators are consequently faced with a timeliness issue, which can extend to more than five years depending on the computational method used to develop indicators. This study aims at designing simple but robust methods that would enable to "nowcast" patent indicators - forecast the present (or the recent past) - in order to mitigate the timeliness issue. The nowcasting exercise is conducted here on two separate sets of patent indicators: the number of patents applied to the European Patent Office (EPO) and the number of Triadic Patent Families (patents taken at the EPO, the Japan Patent Office (JPO) and the United States Patent and Trademarks Office (USPTO)). Portion of patent filings at the EPO were made under the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT). The nowcasting method developed in the present document is based on estimates of the transfer rate of patents filed under PCT into the EPO regional phase, given that information on PCT patents at international phase is disclosed before reaching the regional/national phase. This method provides robust estimates up to year t-2 (instead of year t-4), even though patenting activity of small patenting countries or emerging economies are difficult to predict, in terms of both level and growth... | ||
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The nowcasting method developed in the present document is based on estimates of the transfer rate of patents filed under PCT into the EPO regional phase, given that information on PCT patents at international phase is disclosed before reaching the regional/national phase. 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| spelling | Dernis, Hélène VerfasserIn aut Nowcasting Patent Indicators Hélène, Dernis = Prévisions des indicateurs brevets (nowcast) / Hélène, Dernis Prévisions des indicateurs brevets (nowcast) Paris OECD Publishing 2007 1 Online-Ressource (47 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers no.2007/03 Indicators based on patents provide a good measure of the innovative performance and technology outputs of countries. However, because of legal rules imposed by the patent application process, information on patents is generally publicly disclosed after 18 months. Patent indicators are consequently faced with a timeliness issue, which can extend to more than five years depending on the computational method used to develop indicators. This study aims at designing simple but robust methods that would enable to "nowcast" patent indicators - forecast the present (or the recent past) - in order to mitigate the timeliness issue. The nowcasting exercise is conducted here on two separate sets of patent indicators: the number of patents applied to the European Patent Office (EPO) and the number of Triadic Patent Families (patents taken at the EPO, the Japan Patent Office (JPO) and the United States Patent and Trademarks Office (USPTO)). Portion of patent filings at the EPO were made under the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT). The nowcasting method developed in the present document is based on estimates of the transfer rate of patents filed under PCT into the EPO regional phase, given that information on PCT patents at international phase is disclosed before reaching the regional/national phase. This method provides robust estimates up to year t-2 (instead of year t-4), even though patenting activity of small patenting countries or emerging economies are difficult to predict, in terms of both level and growth... Science and Technology FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/055888673307 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Dernis, Hélène Nowcasting Patent Indicators Science and Technology |
| title | Nowcasting Patent Indicators |
| title_alt | Prévisions des indicateurs brevets (nowcast) |
| title_auth | Nowcasting Patent Indicators |
| title_exact_search | Nowcasting Patent Indicators |
| title_full | Nowcasting Patent Indicators Hélène, Dernis = Prévisions des indicateurs brevets (nowcast) / Hélène, Dernis |
| title_fullStr | Nowcasting Patent Indicators Hélène, Dernis = Prévisions des indicateurs brevets (nowcast) / Hélène, Dernis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Nowcasting Patent Indicators Hélène, Dernis = Prévisions des indicateurs brevets (nowcast) / Hélène, Dernis |
| title_short | Nowcasting Patent Indicators |
| title_sort | nowcasting patent indicators |
| topic | Science and Technology |
| topic_facet | Science and Technology |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/055888673307 |
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