Detecting Cyclical Turning Points: The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators
The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of...
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Sprache: | English |
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Paris
OECD Publishing
2004
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Zusammenfassung: | The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of deterioration in order to adjust their policies sufficiently in advance to avoid further deterioration or even a recession. These indicators require at least two qualities: they must be reliable and they must provide a readable signal as soon as possible. In this paper, we discuss ... |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten) |
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spelling | Anas, Jacques VerfasserIn aut Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques, Anas and Laurent, Ferrara Paris OECD Publishing 2004 1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten) Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of deterioration in order to adjust their policies sufficiently in advance to avoid further deterioration or even a recession. These indicators require at least two qualities: they must be reliable and they must provide a readable signal as soon as possible. In this paper, we discuss ... Economics Ferrara, Laurent MitwirkendeR ctb Enthalten in Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis Vol. 2004, no. 2, p. 193-225 volume:2004 year:2004 number:2 pages:193-225 |
spellingShingle | Anas, Jacques Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Economics |
title | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
title_auth | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
title_exact_search | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
title_full | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques, Anas and Laurent, Ferrara |
title_fullStr | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques, Anas and Laurent, Ferrara |
title_full_unstemmed | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators Jacques, Anas and Laurent, Ferrara |
title_short | Detecting Cyclical Turning Points |
title_sort | detecting cyclical turning points the abcd approach and two probabilistic indicators |
title_sub | The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators |
topic | Economics |
topic_facet | Economics |
work_keys_str_mv | AT anasjacques detectingcyclicalturningpointstheabcdapproachandtwoprobabilisticindicators AT ferraralaurent detectingcyclicalturningpointstheabcdapproachandtwoprobabilisticindicators |