Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics: = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon
This working paper presents the background and the details of the simulations behind Box 1.4 of the May 2013 OECD Economic Outlook. A small simulation model is used to evaluate the contribution that the three pillars of the government's strategy - fiscal consolidation, growth-boosting structura...
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2013
|
| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
no.1085 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | DE-862 DE-863 |
| Zusammenfassung: | This working paper presents the background and the details of the simulations behind Box 1.4 of the May 2013 OECD Economic Outlook. A small simulation model is used to evaluate the contribution that the three pillars of the government's strategy - fiscal consolidation, growth-boosting structural reforms and higher inflation - could make to reversing the rise in Japan's public debt ratio, currently about 230% of GDP. The findings indicate that fiscal consolidation amounting to around 10 percentage points of GDP is necessary by 2020 to eliminate the primary deficit, as targeted in the current medium-term fiscal strategy. With moderately higher growth coming from increased female labour force participation and higher productivity growth, as well as inflation gradually rising to 2% thanks to unconventional monetary policy measures, the debt ratio would likely be put on a resolute downward trajectory by the end of this decade, although it is likely to remain around 200% of GDP in 2035. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (16 Seiten) 21 x 29.7cm. |
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| indexdate | 2025-03-18T14:29:27Z |
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| spelling | Guillemette, Yvan VerfasserIn aut Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon Yvan, Guillemette and Jan, Stráský L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon Paris OECD Publishing 2013 1 Online-Ressource (16 Seiten) 21 x 29.7cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1085 This working paper presents the background and the details of the simulations behind Box 1.4 of the May 2013 OECD Economic Outlook. A small simulation model is used to evaluate the contribution that the three pillars of the government's strategy - fiscal consolidation, growth-boosting structural reforms and higher inflation - could make to reversing the rise in Japan's public debt ratio, currently about 230% of GDP. The findings indicate that fiscal consolidation amounting to around 10 percentage points of GDP is necessary by 2020 to eliminate the primary deficit, as targeted in the current medium-term fiscal strategy. With moderately higher growth coming from increased female labour force participation and higher productivity growth, as well as inflation gradually rising to 2% thanks to unconventional monetary policy measures, the debt ratio would likely be put on a resolute downward trajectory by the end of this decade, although it is likely to remain around 200% of GDP in 2035. Economics Japan Stráský, Jan MitwirkendeR ctb |
| spellingShingle | Guillemette, Yvan Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon Economics Japan |
| title | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon |
| title_alt | L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon |
| title_auth | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon |
| title_exact_search | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon |
| title_full | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon Yvan, Guillemette and Jan, Stráský |
| title_fullStr | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon Yvan, Guillemette and Jan, Stráský |
| title_full_unstemmed | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon Yvan, Guillemette and Jan, Stráský |
| title_short | Japan's Challenging Debt Dynamics |
| title_sort | japan s challenging debt dynamics l inquietante evolution de la dette publique au japon |
| title_sub | = L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon |
| topic | Economics Japan |
| topic_facet | Economics Japan |
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