Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly?: The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico
This papers estimates unrestricted monetary reaction functions for four Latin American countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) and tests for the presence of non-linear effects in central bank behaviour. The analysis covers the post-1999 inflation-targeting period. We deal with the presence of...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Weitere Verfasser: | , |
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2009
|
| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
no.679 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | This papers estimates unrestricted monetary reaction functions for four Latin American countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) and tests for the presence of non-linear effects in central bank behaviour. The analysis covers the post-1999 inflation-targeting period. We deal with the presence of unit roots in the data by estimating the policy rules in a co-integration setting. We test for linear and non-linear co-integration among the variables of interest. The results suggest that a non-linear specification is not rejected by the data for Brazil, Colombia and Mexico, but it is for Chile. Estimation of smooth-transition models by NLLS and EN-NLLS suggests that the central bank's response to the inflation gap (i.e. deviations of expected inflation from the target) is invariant across policy regimes in Colombia. It becomes stronger in Mexico as expected inflation deviates from the target. Policy responses appear to weaken in Brazil as the inflation gap widens, a finding that most probably reflects a history of adverse supply shocks and upward adjustments in targets in the early years of inflation targeting. Non-linearity is also found in the central bank's response to the exchange rate in Brazil and Colombia. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (27 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. |
| DOI: | 10.1787/226284172842 |
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| 520 | |a This papers estimates unrestricted monetary reaction functions for four Latin American countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) and tests for the presence of non-linear effects in central bank behaviour. The analysis covers the post-1999 inflation-targeting period. We deal with the presence of unit roots in the data by estimating the policy rules in a co-integration setting. We test for linear and non-linear co-integration among the variables of interest. The results suggest that a non-linear specification is not rejected by the data for Brazil, Colombia and Mexico, but it is for Chile. Estimation of smooth-transition models by NLLS and EN-NLLS suggests that the central bank's response to the inflation gap (i.e. deviations of expected inflation from the target) is invariant across policy regimes in Colombia. It becomes stronger in Mexico as expected inflation deviates from the target. Policy responses appear to weaken in Brazil as the inflation gap widens, a finding that most probably reflects a history of adverse supply shocks and upward adjustments in targets in the early years of inflation targeting. Non-linearity is also found in the central bank's response to the exchange rate in Brazil and Colombia. | ||
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| spelling | de Mello, Luiz VerfasserIn aut Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero and Matteo, Mogliani = Les banques centrales d'Amérique latine se comportent-elles d'une manière non-linéaire? : Les expériences du Brésil, du Chili, de la Colombie et du Mexique / Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero et Matteo, Mogliani Les banques centrales d'Amérique latine se comportent-elles d'une manière non-linéaire? Paris OECD Publishing 2009 1 Online-Ressource (27 p.) 21 x 29.7cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.679 This papers estimates unrestricted monetary reaction functions for four Latin American countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) and tests for the presence of non-linear effects in central bank behaviour. The analysis covers the post-1999 inflation-targeting period. We deal with the presence of unit roots in the data by estimating the policy rules in a co-integration setting. We test for linear and non-linear co-integration among the variables of interest. The results suggest that a non-linear specification is not rejected by the data for Brazil, Colombia and Mexico, but it is for Chile. Estimation of smooth-transition models by NLLS and EN-NLLS suggests that the central bank's response to the inflation gap (i.e. deviations of expected inflation from the target) is invariant across policy regimes in Colombia. It becomes stronger in Mexico as expected inflation deviates from the target. Policy responses appear to weaken in Brazil as the inflation gap widens, a finding that most probably reflects a history of adverse supply shocks and upward adjustments in targets in the early years of inflation targeting. Non-linearity is also found in the central bank's response to the exchange rate in Brazil and Colombia. Economics Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Moccero, Diego MitwirkendeR ctb Mogliani, Matteo MitwirkendeR ctb FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/226284172842 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | de Mello, Luiz Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico Economics Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico |
| title | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico |
| title_alt | Les banques centrales d'Amérique latine se comportent-elles d'une manière non-linéaire? |
| title_auth | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico |
| title_exact_search | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico |
| title_full | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero and Matteo, Mogliani = Les banques centrales d'Amérique latine se comportent-elles d'une manière non-linéaire? : Les expériences du Brésil, du Chili, de la Colombie et du Mexique / Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero et Matteo, Mogliani |
| title_fullStr | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero and Matteo, Mogliani = Les banques centrales d'Amérique latine se comportent-elles d'une manière non-linéaire? : Les expériences du Brésil, du Chili, de la Colombie et du Mexique / Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero et Matteo, Mogliani |
| title_full_unstemmed | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero and Matteo, Mogliani = Les banques centrales d'Amérique latine se comportent-elles d'une manière non-linéaire? : Les expériences du Brésil, du Chili, de la Colombie et du Mexique / Luiz, de Mello, Diego, Moccero et Matteo, Mogliani |
| title_short | Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? |
| title_sort | do latin american central bankers behave non linearly the experiences of brazil chile colombia and mexico |
| title_sub | The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico |
| topic | Economics Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico |
| topic_facet | Economics Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/226284172842 |
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