Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation:
Over the past 25 years inflation has moderated considerably in all OECD economies. At the same time, the production of many goods and services has become increasingly internationalised and the level of trade between the OECD and non-OECD economies has risen markedly. This paper investigates the exte...
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Format: | Elektronisch Artikel |
Sprache: | English |
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Paris
OECD Publishing
2008
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Zusammenfassung: | Over the past 25 years inflation has moderated considerably in all OECD economies. At the same time, the production of many goods and services has become increasingly internationalised and the level of trade between the OECD and non-OECD economies has risen markedly. This paper investigates the extent to which the observed changes in the inflation process can be attributed to the increasing integration of non-OECD economies into the global economy. The results of the analysis show that i) import prices have become a more important driver of domestic consumer prices since the mid-1990s; ii) the sensitivity of inflation to domestic economic conditions has declined whereas the sensitivity to foreign economic conditions has risen, working through import prices; and iii) the strong GDP growth in the non-OECD economies over the past five years has contributed to the growth of real oil and metals prices. A scenario analysis shows that globalisation has put upward pressure on inflation via higher commodity prices and downward pressure via lower non-commodity import prices with the latter effect having dominated in most OECD economies. |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (32 p.) |
DOI: | 10.1787/eco_studies-v2008-art4-en |
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100 | 1 | |a Pain, Nigel |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation |c Nigel, Pain, Isabell, Koske and Marte, Sollie |
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520 | |a Over the past 25 years inflation has moderated considerably in all OECD economies. At the same time, the production of many goods and services has become increasingly internationalised and the level of trade between the OECD and non-OECD economies has risen markedly. This paper investigates the extent to which the observed changes in the inflation process can be attributed to the increasing integration of non-OECD economies into the global economy. The results of the analysis show that i) import prices have become a more important driver of domestic consumer prices since the mid-1990s; ii) the sensitivity of inflation to domestic economic conditions has declined whereas the sensitivity to foreign economic conditions has risen, working through import prices; and iii) the strong GDP growth in the non-OECD economies over the past five years has contributed to the growth of real oil and metals prices. A scenario analysis shows that globalisation has put upward pressure on inflation via higher commodity prices and downward pressure via lower non-commodity import prices with the latter effect having dominated in most OECD economies. | ||
650 | 4 | |a Economics | |
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spelling | Pain, Nigel VerfasserIn aut Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation Nigel, Pain, Isabell, Koske and Marte, Sollie Paris OECD Publishing 2008 1 Online-Ressource (32 p.) Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Over the past 25 years inflation has moderated considerably in all OECD economies. At the same time, the production of many goods and services has become increasingly internationalised and the level of trade between the OECD and non-OECD economies has risen markedly. This paper investigates the extent to which the observed changes in the inflation process can be attributed to the increasing integration of non-OECD economies into the global economy. The results of the analysis show that i) import prices have become a more important driver of domestic consumer prices since the mid-1990s; ii) the sensitivity of inflation to domestic economic conditions has declined whereas the sensitivity to foreign economic conditions has risen, working through import prices; and iii) the strong GDP growth in the non-OECD economies over the past five years has contributed to the growth of real oil and metals prices. A scenario analysis shows that globalisation has put upward pressure on inflation via higher commodity prices and downward pressure via lower non-commodity import prices with the latter effect having dominated in most OECD economies. Economics Koske, Isabell MitwirkendeR ctb Sollie, Marte MitwirkendeR ctb Enthalten in OECD Journal: Economic Studies Vol. 2008, no. 1, p. 1-32 volume:2008 year:2008 number:1 pages:1-32 Parallele Sprachausgabe Französisch Mondialisation et hausse des prix à la consommation dans les pays de l'OCDE FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/eco_studies-v2008-art4-en Volltext |
spellingShingle | Pain, Nigel Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation Economics |
title | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation |
title_auth | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation |
title_exact_search | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation |
title_full | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation Nigel, Pain, Isabell, Koske and Marte, Sollie |
title_fullStr | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation Nigel, Pain, Isabell, Koske and Marte, Sollie |
title_full_unstemmed | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation Nigel, Pain, Isabell, Koske and Marte, Sollie |
title_short | Globalisation and OECD consumer price inflation |
title_sort | globalisation and oecd consumer price inflation |
topic | Economics |
topic_facet | Economics |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/eco_studies-v2008-art4-en |
work_keys_str_mv | AT painnigel globalisationandoecdconsumerpriceinflation AT koskeisabell globalisationandoecdconsumerpriceinflation AT solliemarte globalisationandoecdconsumerpriceinflation |