Decoding black swans and other historic risk events: themes of progress and opportunity for risk science
Decoding Black Swans and Other Historic Risk Events offers a guide to understanding risk events and how to act before they occur. This book explores past risk events and analyzes how risk science principles apply to those events and studies whether current risk science concepts and approaches could...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Boca Raton
CRC Press
[2025]
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| Ausgabe: | First edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | Decoding Black Swans and Other Historic Risk Events offers a guide to understanding risk events and how to act before they occur. This book explores past risk events and analyzes how risk science principles apply to those events and studies whether current risk science concepts and approaches could potentially have avoided, reduced the impact, or supported recovery following the risk event. New insights are obtained by applying recent research progress in understanding and managing risk, considering aspects including quality of evidence, information, and misinformation in risk studies. The analysis results are used to identify how risk science approaches contribute to the overall management of risk and societal safety, and where improvements can be obtained, allowing the reader to possess a toolkit for identifying and planning for unsafe events. |
| Beschreibung: | xiii, 123 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781032567631 9781032558844 |
Internformat
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| 520 | 3 | |a Decoding Black Swans and Other Historic Risk Events offers a guide to understanding risk events and how to act before they occur. This book explores past risk events and analyzes how risk science principles apply to those events and studies whether current risk science concepts and approaches could potentially have avoided, reduced the impact, or supported recovery following the risk event. New insights are obtained by applying recent research progress in understanding and managing risk, considering aspects including quality of evidence, information, and misinformation in risk studies. The analysis results are used to identify how risk science approaches contribute to the overall management of risk and societal safety, and where improvements can be obtained, allowing the reader to possess a toolkit for identifying and planning for unsafe events. | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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Contents Foreword. viii About the Authors. xii Acknowledgments. xiii Chapter 1 Framework Usedto Decode the Risk Events. 1 Works Cited. . . 6 Further Reading. 6 Chapter 2 Historical Events to be Decoded. . 7 Global Pandemics. 7 C0V1D 19. 7 HIV/AI DS. 8 Main Features among Cases. 8 Industrial Accidents. 9 Deepwater Horizon Oil Disaster. 9 Upper Big Branch Mine Disaster. 10 Boeing 737 Max Crisis. 10 Dhaka Garment Factory
Fire.10 Seveso Disaster.11 Main Features among Cases. 11 Infrastructure Failures. 11 Flint Water Crisis.11 East Palestine Train Derailment. 12 Main Features among Cases. 12 Natural Disasters. 13 Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident. 13 Texas Energy Grid Failure.13 California Climate Crisis. 14 Main Features among Cases.14 Acts of Terrorism and War. 14 September 11,2001 (9/11 ).14 Main Features. 15 Food Safety. 16 Forever Chemicals. 16 Food
Additives. 16 Main Features among Cases. 16 Works Cited. 17 Chapter 3 Historical Perspective on Risk. 18 Works Cited.22 Further Reading. 22
vi Contents Chapter 4 Historical Precedent for Remembering and Understanding Risk Issues. 23 Chapter 5 Characterization of Surprise and Unpredictability. 26 Works Cited. 30 Further Reading. 30 Chapter 6 Severity of Consequences in Relation to Uncertainties and Knowledge. 31 Titanic Case - Evaluation of Consequences. 33 Works Cited. 37 Further Reading.37 Chapter 7 Uncertainty Characterizations.38 Fukushima Daiichi Case - Evaluation of Probabilistic Risk Assessment at Nuclear Plants. 43 Works Cited.45 Further Reading. 45 Chapter 8 Types of Knowledge That Inform Understanding of Risk: Decoding Black Swans and Other Historic Risk Events. 46 9/11 Case - Classification of
Knowledge. 49 Works Cited.54 Further Reading. 55 Chapter 9 Credibility of Knowledge.56 Food Additives Case - Credibility of Knowledge. 58 Further Reading. 60 Chapter 10 Factors Influencing Understanding and Communication of Risk. Uncertainties, and Probabilities. 61 Cuyahoga River Fire - Communication of Risk-Related Information. 65 Works Cited. 71 Further Reading. 71 Chapter 11 Biases, Misinformation, and Disinformation.73 Biases and Moral Hazards - East Palestine Train Derailment and Similar Freight Accidents.76 COVID-19 Misinformation and Disinformation. 79
Contents vii Works Cited. 80 Further Reading. 81 Chapter 12 Balancing Various Dimensions of a Risk Application.82 BP Oil Spill - Dimensions of Risk for Oil and Gas Operations and Related Regulation. 83 Works Cited. 87 Chapter 13 The Weight Given to Resilience.88 Hurricane Katrina - Why New Orleans Was Vulnerable and How Resilience Emerged. 89 Works Cited. 92 Further Reading.93 Chapter 14 The Big Picture of Risk Science Surrounding MajorHistorical Events. 94 Tornadoes - The Big Picture Around Risk Issues. 94 Smoking, Social Media, and Processed Foods - Linking Three Global Risk Issues. 98 Works Cited. 102 Further
Reading. 102 Chapter 15 How Risk Science Improves the Ability to AddresstheGaps in the Themes Presented. 103 Chapter 16 Who Is the Risk Analyst and What Are the Expectations.106 Works Cited.HI Further Reading. 111 Chapter 17 Unresolved Issues in Risk Science Identified in the Presented Themes.112 Abraham Lincoln Assassination - Hindsight Bias versus Noise Leading to a Risk Event. 113 Works Cited.115 Chapter 18 Conclusions.116 Further Reading.117 Index. 118 |
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| author | Thekdi, Shital 1982- Aven, Terje 1956- |
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| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1510741973 (DE-599)BVBBV050096030 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | First edition |
| format | Book |
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| indexdate | 2025-03-31T18:07:12Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781032567631 9781032558844 |
| language | English |
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| physical | xiii, 123 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2025 |
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| publisher | CRC Press |
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| spelling | Thekdi, Shital 1982- Verfasser (DE-588)1223242293 aut Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science Shital Thekdi, Terje Aven Boca Raton CRC Press [2025] © 2025 xiii, 123 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Decoding Black Swans and Other Historic Risk Events offers a guide to understanding risk events and how to act before they occur. This book explores past risk events and analyzes how risk science principles apply to those events and studies whether current risk science concepts and approaches could potentially have avoided, reduced the impact, or supported recovery following the risk event. New insights are obtained by applying recent research progress in understanding and managing risk, considering aspects including quality of evidence, information, and misinformation in risk studies. The analysis results are used to identify how risk science approaches contribute to the overall management of risk and societal safety, and where improvements can be obtained, allowing the reader to possess a toolkit for identifying and planning for unsafe events. Seltenes Ereignis (DE-588)4425827-6 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Vorbereitung (DE-588)4188638-0 gnd rswk-swf Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd rswk-swf Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 s Seltenes Ereignis (DE-588)4425827-6 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Vorbereitung (DE-588)4188638-0 s b DE-604 Aven, Terje 1956- Verfasser (DE-588)120986469 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-1-003-43703-1 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035433247&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Thekdi, Shital 1982- Aven, Terje 1956- Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science Seltenes Ereignis (DE-588)4425827-6 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Vorbereitung (DE-588)4188638-0 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4425827-6 (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4188638-0 (DE-588)4121590-4 |
| title | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science |
| title_auth | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science |
| title_exact_search | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science |
| title_full | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science Shital Thekdi, Terje Aven |
| title_fullStr | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science Shital Thekdi, Terje Aven |
| title_full_unstemmed | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science Shital Thekdi, Terje Aven |
| title_short | Decoding black swans and other historic risk events |
| title_sort | decoding black swans and other historic risk events themes of progress and opportunity for risk science |
| title_sub | themes of progress and opportunity for risk science |
| topic | Seltenes Ereignis (DE-588)4425827-6 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Vorbereitung (DE-588)4188638-0 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Seltenes Ereignis Prognose Vorbereitung Risikomanagement |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035433247&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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