The polls weren't wrong:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Boca Raton, FL
CRC Press
2025
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| Ausgabe: | First edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | IX, 357 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781032486147 1032486147 9781032483023 1032483024 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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Contents Preface. vii 1. Public Consumption of Data: Some Historical Perspective. 1 2. Polls. 20 3. What Makes a Poll "Wrong" Part 1.29 4. Introducing: Ideal Polls. 36 5. Throw It in the Average. 48 6. What Makes a Poll "Wrong" Part 2.53 7. Introducing: Simultaneous Census, Present Polls, and Plan Polls.58 8. What's for Lunch?. 65 9. The Fallacy of Margin (Spread) Analysis.72 10. The Fallacy of Proportion Analysis. 77 11. Instrument Error: Weighted Results and Literal Weight. 86 12. What's (Actually) for Lunch?. 98 13. Real Polls + Bad Math = Fake Errors. 103 14. My Simultaneous Census. 112 15. Introducing: Adjusted Poll
Values. 117 16. Compensating Errors and Poll Masking. 131 17. Welcome to Mintucky. 144 18. Mintucky Results. 163 V
vi Contents 19. Mintucky Poll Error and Jacob Bernoulli. 174 20. The Point Spread Problem. 183 21. Remembering Nick Panagakis (1937-2018). 189 22. Finding the Base of Support. 199 23. Trump-Clinton 2016. 208 24. The Law of 50% +1.222 25. The Clintons'Lessons. 223 26. Trump-Clinton-Third Party 2016.227 27. We* Don't Talk About Utah. 244 28. Informing a Prediction. 251 29. One Number Can Tell You a Lot.259 30. Don't Call It a "Rule" and How to Report Polls. 272 31. UK Elections and Brexit. 288 32. The Polls Weren't Wrong About Brexit. 301 33. UK General Election Polls: Not Wrong Either. 314 34. The Future, and "Try It". 332
Index. 351 |
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| language | English |
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| spelling | Allen, Carl Verfasser aut The polls weren't wrong Carl Allen First edition Boca Raton, FL CRC Press 2025 IX, 357 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Elections / Statistics Voting Élections / Statistiques Vote voting Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 9781003389903 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035276908&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
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| title | The polls weren't wrong |
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| title_full_unstemmed | The polls weren't wrong Carl Allen |
| title_short | The polls weren't wrong |
| title_sort | the polls weren t wrong |
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