Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath: analysis and lessons
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Ekdoseis Economia
2024
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Table of contents Acronyms and abbreviations. 13 Preface. 17 Acknowledgements. 21 Introduction. 23 Chapter 1 Historical background: Build-up of critical vulnerabilities in the Greek economy. 35 Chapter 2 Securing qualification for euro participation. 45 Chapter 3 Policy requirements in the wake of euro area entry. 53 Chapter 4 Evolution of the public debt and consequences of high debt. 63 Chapter 5 Re-emergence of large economic imbalances during the first decade of euro participation.75 Chapter 6 Failure to recognise the looming risks of crisis. 83 Chapter 7 The global financial and economic crisis of 2008-2009. 97 Chapter 8 Eruption of the sovereign debt crisis in Greece. 109 Chapter 9 Rescue from sovereign default. 123 9
GREECE’S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH Chapter 10 Root causes of the crisis. 133 Chapter 11 Digression: Shortcomings of the EMU design and initiatives for reform following the debt crisis. 155 Chapter 12 Towards a more integrated Economic and Monetary Union. 167 Chapter 13 The economic adjustment programmes: background and timeline. 183 Chapter 14 The adjustment process in perspective: Programme strategy and implementation. 201 Chapter 15 Ex-post evaluation of the economic adjustment programmes: 2010-2018. 215 Chapter 16 An overall assessment of the programmes’ effectiveness Chapter 17 Lessons from Greece’s sovereign debt crisis.245 Annex Overview of the sovereign debt crisis and its aftermath: with figures and tables. 261 231 Bibliography. 295 Index. 303 List of figures 1. Ten-year government bond yield for Greece and Germany.263 2. Greece: Credit to domestic public and private sectors by domestic Monetary Financial Institutions. 264 3. Greece: Credit to domestic public and private
sectors by domestic Monetary Financial Institutions. 264 10
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Feldstein-Horioka puzzle?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 2, Brookings Institution. Börsch-Supan, A. and P. Tinios (2001), “The Greek pension system: strategic frame work for reform”, in Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas and G.S. Tavias (eds.), Greece’s Economic Performance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings In stitution. Bosworth, B. and T. Kollintzas (2001), “Economic growth in Greece: past perfor mance and future prospects”, in Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas and G.S. Tavias (eds.), Greece’s Economic Performance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings Institution. Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas and G.S. Tavias (eds.) (2001), Greece’s Economic Per formance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings Institution. Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas and G.S. Tavias (2001), “Introduction” in Bryant, Gar ganas and Tavias (eds.), Greece’s Economic Performance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings Institution. Burtless, G. (2001), “The Greek labour market”, in Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas 296
BIBLIOGRAPHY and G.S. Tavias (eds.), Greece’s Economic Performance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings Institution. Buti, Μ. and A. Sapir (eds.) (1998), Economic Policy in EMU: A Study by the Com mission Services, Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press. Buti, Μ. and A. Sapir (2002), EMU and Economic Policy in Europe: The Challenge of the Early Years, Aidershot, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing. Carnot, N., Μ. Kizior and G. Mourre (2017), “Fiscal stabilisation in the euro-area: a simulation exercise”, CEB Working Paper No. 17/025, Université Libre de Bruxelles - Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim. Cheun, S., I. von Koppen-Mertes and B. Weller (2009), “The collateral frameworks of the Eurosystem, the Federal Reserve System and the Bank of England and the financial market turmoil”, ECB Occasional Paper No. 107. Decressin, J. and P. Disyatat (2000), “Capital markets and external current accounts: what to expect from the euro”, IMF Working Paper No. 2000/154. Diamond, D.W., and R.G. Rajan (2009), “The Credit Crisis: Conjectures about Causes and Remedies”, American Economic Review, 99(2), 606-610. Diaz Kalan, F., A. Popescu and J. Reynaud (2018), “Thou shalt not breach: the impact on sovereign spreads of noncomplying with the EU fiscal rules”, IMF Working Paper No. 2018/087. European Central Bank (2011), “The European Stability Mechanism”, Monthly Bul letin, July. European Commission (1990), “One market, one money: an evaluation of the potential benefits and costs of forming an economic and monetary union”, European Econ omy, No. 44,
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GREECE’S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH European Parliament (2020), “Economic and monetary union”, European Parliamen tary Research Service, EPRS Ideas Papers. Thinking about future EU policy, PE 651.994, Author: Angelos Delivorias. European Stability Mechanism (2021), Safeguarding the euro in times ofcrisis. The inside story of the ESM, The ESM Publications, Luxembourg. European Union (2012), Treaty on Stability, Coordination and Governance in the Economic and Monetary Union, 2 March. Eyraud, L., V. Gaspar and T. Poghosyan (2017), “Fiscal politics in the euro area”, in Gaspar, V., S. Gupta and C. Mulas-Granados, Fiscal Politics, 439-76, IMF, Washington, DC. Financial Times (2021a), “Mario Draghi and Emmanuel Macron: The EU’s fiscal rules must be reformed”, 24 December. (2021b), “EU clash looms over budget rules”, 24 December 2021. Fox, J. (2009), The Myth of the Rational Market: A History of Risk, Reward and Delusion on Wall Street, Harper Business. Frankel, J.A. and A.K. Rose (1998), “The endogeneity of the optimum currency area criteria”, The Economic Journal, 108(449), 1009-1025. Garnaut, R. and D.L. Smith (2009), The Great Crash of2008, Melbourne University Publishing. Gaspar, V. (2020), “Future of fiscal rules in the euro area”, keynote address by the Director of the IMF Fiscal Affairs Department, at the Workshop on “Fiscal Rules in Europe: Design and Enforcement”, DG ECFIN, Brussels, Belgium. Gaspar, V. and D. Amaglobeli (2019), “Fiscal rules”, SUERF Policy Note No. 60. Gourinchas, P.-O. (2002), Comments on “Current Account Deficits in the Euro
Area. The End of the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle” by Olivier Blanchard and Francesco Giavazzi. Greek Ministry of Finance (2010), “Update of the Hellenic Stability and Growth Programme, including an updated reform programme”, Athens, 15 January. Hacura, D. (2020), “What is debt sustainability?”, IMF, FD Finance Development, September. IEO (Independent Evaluation Office of the International Monetary Fund) (2016), “The IMF and the euro area crisis: the fiscal dimension”, IEO background paper prepared by G. Kopits, Washington: International Monetary Fund. (2016), “The IMF’s role in Greece in the context of the 2010 Stand-By Arrangement”, IEO background paper prepared by C. Wyplosz and S. Sgherri, Washington: International Monetary Fund, July. (2020), “Background papers on the IMF and the crises in Greece, Ireland, and Portugal”, Washington: International Monetaiy Fund. 298
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GREECE'S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH Lenoël, С., C. Macciarelli and G. Young (2020), The macroeconomic and fiscal path in Greece during the economic adjustment programmes: 2010-2018, a study prepared by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) in collaboration with CEPS and ECORYS for the European Commission, Director ate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs. Manessiotis, V.G. and R.D. Reischauer (2001), “Greek fiscal and budget policy and EMU”, in Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas and G.S. Tavias (eds.), Greece’s Economic Performance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings Institution. McKinnon, R.I. (1963), “Optimum currency areas”, American Economic Review, 53(4), 717-725. Micco, A., E. Stein and G. Ordonez (2003), “The currency union effect on trade: Early evidence from EMU”, Economic Policy, 18(37), 317-356. Mundell, R.A. (1961), “A theory of optimum currency areas”, American Economic Review, 51(4), 657-665. Nicoletti, G., S. Scarpetta and O. Boylaud (1999), “Summary indicators of product market regulation with an extension to employment protection legislation”, OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 226. Obstfeld, Μ. (2013), “Finance at center stage: some lessons of the euro crisis”, European Commission, European Economy, Economic Papers, No. 493, April. Obstfeld, Μ. and K. Rogoff (2009), “Global imbalances and the financial crisis: products of common causes”, paper prepared for the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Asia Economic Policy Conference. Obstfeld, Μ. and A.M. Taylor (1998), “The Great Depression
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BIBLIOGRAPHY Papademos, L.D. (2001), “The Greek economy: performance and policy challenges”, in Bryant, R.C., N.C. Garganas and G.S. Tavias (eds.), Greece’s Economic Per formance and Prospects, Bank of Greece and the Brookings Institution. Papazoglou, C., D. Sideris and O. Tsagklas (2016), “Europe as an optimum currency area: the experience of the Baltic countries”, Bank of Greece, Economic Bulletin, No. 44. Pisani-Ferry, J., A. Sapir and G.B. Wolff (2011), “TSR External Study-An Evaluation of IMF Surveillance of the Euro Area”, International Monetary Fund. Portes, R. (2009), “Global imbalances”, in Dewatripont, Μ., X. Freixas and R. Portes (eds.), Macroeconomic Stability and Financial Regulation: Key Issues for the G20, CEPR. Posner, R. A. (2009), A Failure of Capitalism: The Crisis of Ό8 and the Descent into Depression, Harvard University Press. Reinhart, C.M. and V.R. Reinhart (2008), “Capital flow bonanzas: an encompassing view of the past and present”, NBER Working Paper No. 14321. Reinhart, C.M. and K.S. Rogoff (2008), “The forgotten history of domestic debt”, NBER Working Paper No. 13946. (2009a), “The aftermath of financial crises”, American Economic Review, 99(2), 466-472. (2009b), This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press. (2010), “Growth in a time of debt”, American Economic Review: Papers Proceedings, No. 100, 573-578. Sheng, A. (2009), “From Asian to Global Financial Crisis”, Third K.B. Lail Memo rial Lecture, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations. Taylor, J.B. (2007), “Housing and
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Index adjustment programmes, 18, 20, 25, 27, 31, 33, 129, 183, 185, 187, 199, 202, 203, 205, 206, 208, 213, 215, 217, 220, 223, 224, 228, 231, 232, 236, 239, 242, 245, 247, 255, 260, 282, 283, 287, 289 ageing population, 55,69, 70, 72, 111, 144, 148, 151, 270 ailing enterprises, 40 American Economic Mission to Greece, 63 austerity, 18, 25, 117, 189, 191, 192, 194, 195, 216 automatic stabilisers, 106, 155, 158 bailout, 25,89, 104, 114,120,126,127,180, 183, 187, 188, 189, 192, 195, 197, 198 balance of payments, 35, 36, 39, 54, 59, 114, 124 Balassa-Samuelson effect, 93 Bank of Greece, 17, 22, 36, 42,48,49, 51, 57, 59, 64, 65, 85, 90, 91, 92, 136, 140, 151, 188, 193, 208, 262, 264, 265, 266, 268, 269, 276, 277, 289, 292 Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD), 169 banking system, 30, 33,41, 65, 87, 91, 97, 103, 118, 119, 124, 138, 171, 184, 186, 206, 207, 208, 211, 224, 225, 238, 241, 258, 260 bankruptcy, 24, 98, 103, 104, 134 Bear Stearns, 98, 103, 104 bilateral loans, 118, 121, 123, 125, 162, 184, 189, 198, 281 bonds, 25,30, 32,43,88,99,102, 112,113, 114, 118, 120, 121, 127, 128, 133, 147, 162, 187, 188, 189, 190, 192, 198, 206, 207, 208, 220, 221, 232, 275, 278, 279 Bretton Woods, 39, 63 broad money (M3), 42, 48 capital adequacy ratio, 91, 119, 207 capital buffers, 91, 119, 209, 258 Capital Requirements Directive (CRD), 169 Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR), 303 169
GREECE'S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH debt (public), 24, 29, 34,46,47, 54, 55, 63, central banks, 41, 43, 87, 90, 105, 115 central fiscal capacity (CFC), 30,158,175, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 76, 81, 83, 84, collateral, 87,101,103,105,119,120,124, 86, 87, 110, 111, 112,119,130,133, 134, 135, 136, 141, 144, 149, 151, 158, 169, 126, 162, 184, 192, 208, 275 178, 179, 186, 187, 191, 203, 204, 206, collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), 207, 209, 217, 218, 220, 221, 222, 233, 100 Common Equity Tier 1 (CET 1), 13, 209 241, 242, 243, 248, 251, 254, 255, 257, consolidation (fiscal), 25, 26, 33, 40, 50, 259, 263, 270, 279, 293 54, 65, 66, 68, 69, 70, 83, 84, 85, 94,117, (private) 19, 62, 210, 257, 263, 267 128, 136, 141, 143, 148, 161, 184, 186, debt restructuring, 32, 34, 129, 188, 207, 209, 219, 220, 224, 258, 282 191, 203, 206, 209, 218, 219, 231, 233, 234, 238, 239, 241, 242, 243, 255, 284; debt sustainability, 31, 32, 33, 54, 87, 113, 129, 137, 187, 188, 197, 213, 217, 218, (banking system) 202, 209, 224 219, 221, 222, 223, 233, 234, 237, 241, consumption, 56, 59, 69, 86, 87, 90, 99, 100, 111, 120, 142, 144, 253, 262, 284 242, 243, 254, 259, 287, 295, 298 convergence, 30, 35,45,47, 50, 51, 53, 75, debt sustainability analysis (DSA), 32,222 77, 78, 80, 81, 84, 86, 87, 89, 90, 140, deficit (fiscal), 24, 32, 81, 83, 85, 86, 109, 110, 111, 112, 113, 116, 120, 121, 126, 141, 157, 158, 159, 160, 167, 181, 250 130, 134, 135, 138, 139, 142, 144, 145, core countries (of the euro area), 31, 76, 149, 165, 160, 178, 185, 186, 187, 202, 81, 86, 88, 89, 156, 158, 159,
160, 175 Council of Economic Advisers, 21, 38 203, 204, 212, 217, 218, 233, 234, 240, Council of Ministers (EU), 45, 79, 137 241, 243, 246, 250, 251, 253, 256, 263, 270, 278, 279, 280, 287 COVID, 34, 68, 163, 166, 178, 179, 180, (current account), 17,19,24,29, 30, 36, 181, 212, 226, 234, 236, 255, 257, 292 credit default swap (CDS), 13, 100 38,49, 54, 56, 57, 58, 60, 61, 76, 93, credit expansion, 37, 86, 89, 90, 91, 111, 94, 98, 100, 111, 135,136,138, 139, 140, 141, 142, 145, 148, 151, 240, 144, 212, 262 250, 252, 253, 254, 259, 263, 270, credit rating agencies, 25, 102, 107, 112, 273, 278, 279, 292 113, 118, 119, 120, 133, 147, 193 demand, 24, 38, 42, 56, 59, 62, 81, 83, 86, credit supply, 29, 157, 226 92, 93,101, 111, 112,113,114,135,144, Currency Committee, 64 171, 175, 206, 212, 235, 240, 250, 251, current account (balance of payments), 263, 273 20, 29, 36, 38, 49, 54, 55, 56, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 68, 82, 84, 89, 93, 94, 98, 100, demand boom, 24, 144, 250 107, 111, 135, 136, 139, 140, 141, 142, deposit facility, 43 143, 145, 161, 240, 248, 252, 270, 273, depreciation (exchange rate), 51 279, 290, 292, 296 devaluation, 49, 50, 57, 93,129,140, 143, 203, 217, 224, 237, 238, 240, 250 Cyprus, 36, 128, 157, 169 304
INDEX discount rate, 43 dollar (US), 39, 40, 63 drachma, 39, 40, 48, 49, 50, 51, 57, 63, 75, 82, 93, 140, 141 ECOFIN Council, 51,117, 125, 280 economic imbalances, 17,35, 75,127,131, 135, 145, 146, 199, 231, 240, 241, 262, 270, 282 ECU (European Currency Unit), 38, 48, 50, 57, 140 ELSTAT, 80, 195, 256, 293 Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA), 208 EU Council. See Council of Ministers Eurogroup, 25, 79,109,110,117,120,121, 147, 149, 150, 168, 184, 186, 187, 188, 189, 191, 193, 194, 195, 196, 198, 208, 221, 222, 251, 280, 281, 282, 283 European Central Bank (ECB), 22, 25,46, 81, 83, 87, 110,115,119,120,121, 123, 124, 127, 129, 136, 137, 156, 161, 162, 168, 170, 184, 185, 188, 192, 194, 195, 196, 198, 208, 211, 215, 263, 273, 274, 275, 278, 280, 281, 282, 285 European Commission, 25, 38, 58, 68, 78, 79, 85, 86, 94, 110, 116, 117, 121, 123, 124, 137, 146, 147, 149, 150, 151, 164, 165, 166, 167, 170, 173, 179, 180, 183, 184, 185, 195, 214, 215, 216, 220, 233, 237, 240, 251, 252, 255, 256, 260, 279, 281 European Council, 84,116,117,168, 195, 280 European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS), 170, 171, 172 European Economic Community, 48, 50, 64 European Financial Stabilisation Mech anism (EFSM), 125,126,162,189,198 European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), 125, 126, 162, 163, 187, 189, 194, 221, 222, 233, 283 European Monetary System (EMS), 50, 140 European Monetary Union (EMU), 20, 28, 29, 30, 31, 36, 45, 46, 49, 50, 51, 53, 57, 58, 60,61, 65, 72, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 88, 90, 113, 115, 117, 126, 140, 142, 148, 149, 155, 156, 157, 158, 159, 161, 163, 167, 168, 172,
174, 175, 251, 252, 263, 277 European Stability Mechanism (EMS), 124, 125, 126, 163, 171, 183, 196 European Union (EU), 18, 20, 30, 37, 45, 46, 47,49, 50, 55, 56, 68, 70, 76, 78, 80, 83, 84, 85, 86, 110, 114, 115, 117, 118, 123, 125, 126, 127, 129, 130, 136, 137, 141, 143, 145, 148, 149, 150, 158, 159, 160, 161, 162, 163, 164, 165, 166, 168, 169, 170, 171, 172, 173, 174, 175, 176, 177, 178, 179, 180, 181, 182, 187, 188, 194, 195, 196, 199, 203, 206, 209, 210, 213, 216, 219, 220, 221, 222, 223, 225, 226, 228, 229, 232, 234, 236, 237, 238, 240, 243, 245, 246, 247, 248, 254, 256, 258, 259, 260, 270, 281, 283, 289 Eurostat, 79, 80, 110, 121, 263, 265, 272, 285, 293 Eurosystem, 87, 124, 184, 192, 207, 208, 211, 220 excessive deficit procedure (EDP), 81, 149, 203, 205 Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), 49, 50, 51, 82, 140, 141 exchange rate, 39, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 56, 305
GREECE'S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH 253, 254, 258, 259, 262, 268 57, 58, 61, 63, 66, 72, 75, 76, 77, 82, 87, 93,94,112,135, 140,142,143,155,156, fiscal profligacy, 66, 78,131, 156,176, 268 203, 226, 227, 240, 250, 253, 254, 262, fiscal (policy) stance, 40, 41, 55, 63, 64, 83, 137, 138, 140, 149, 179, 233, 254 273, 274, 277 expenditure, 26, 40, 60, 64, 67, 69, 70, 71, fiscal stimulus, 106 fiscal sustainability, 25, 54, 69, 93, 107, 72, 87,110, 138,178, 202, 203, 204, 205, 117, 130, 141, 142, 184, 203, 218, 247, 206, 221, 225, 233, 234, 268, 269, 288 255, 287 exports, 54, 56, 62, 93,107,108,136,156, Freddie Mac, 104 227, 239, 290, 292 Extended Fund Facility, 124 gross domestic product (GDP), 25,33, 36, external deficits, 19, 24, 40, 57, 58, 112, 37, 38, 46, 56, 64, 65, 67, 79, 106, 108, 136, 142, 158, 250, 252, 259 111, 112, 118, 120, 143, 183, 185, 191, 198, 199, 2220, 221, 222, 223, 229, 231, foreign exchange risk/exchange rate risk, 58, 59, 76, 87, 88, 142, 252, 253, 254, 232, 233, 235, 236, 237, 239, 243, 248, 262 255, 284, 285, 292 Germany, 25,45, 50,88,113,126,146,158, Fannie Mae, 104 159, 174, 188, 263, 278 federal funds rate, 99, 102 Federal Reserve, 99, 102, 103, 297, 300, Glass-Steagall Act, 101 global financial crisis, 20, 23, 29, 80, 82, 301 financial liberalisation, 111, 262 85, 86, 87, 88, 93, 97, 107, 111, 115,134, financial regulation and supervision, 29, 166, 169, 201, 249, 252, 278 Governing Council, 7, 22, 91 99, 101 financial stability, 20, 31, 33, 76, 93, 117, Great Depression, 26, 97, 300 118, 127, 128, 129, 148, 160, 163, 168,
Greek government bonds. See bonds 169, 174, 177, 184, 185, 195, 196, 201, Greek Loan Facility, 124, 125, 131, 162, 184, 185, 189, 198 202, 203, 206, 207, 212, 213, 217, 223, gross financing needs (GFN), 32, 221 224, 235, 254, 260, 280, 281, 282, 287 financial system, 91, 98, 101, 103, 104, 105, 114, 157, 162, 167, 173, 195, 206, Hellenic Statistical Authority. See EL- 209, 225, 239, 259 STAT housing bubble, 100,102 Fiscal Compact, 68, 164,165 fiscal multiplier, 239, 243, 284 fiscal policy, 30, 46,48, 53, 53, 61, 64, 65, inflation, 17, 20, 30, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 41, 67, 68, 69, 77, 78, 79, 83, 85, 93, 106, 42,45,47,48,49, 50, 51, 53, 61, 65, 67, 135, 136, 137, 138, 140, 143, 144, 145, 72, 75,82,84,93,99,112,135,137,138, 146, 148, 149, 155, 156, 158, 159, 174, 139, 140, 141, 145, 156, 252, 253, 256, 175, 176, 177, 178, 179, 181, 237, 251, 257, 262, 263, 270, 273, 274, 285 306
INDEX interest rates, 24,25,29, 34,41,43,47,48, 49, 51, 56, 58, 59, 62, 64, 65, 67, 75, 82, 86, 87, 89, 90, 91, 97, 99,100,102,107, 111, 114, 124, 126, 131, 136, 140, 142, 144, 145, 156, 157, 160, 181, 187, 210, 218, 219, 222, 223, 234, 250, 252, 255, 257, 258, 262, 263, 281, 282, 287 International Monetary Fund (IMF), 18, 20, 25, 30, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 68, 69, 71, 77, 78, 79,85,94,107,108,112,114, 121, 123, 124, 125, 126, 129, 130, 134, 137, 142, 147, 148, 176, 181, 183, 184, 185, 186, 187, 188, 189, 191, 193, 194, 195, 196, 197, 198, 199, 201, 213, 214, 215, 216, 218, 221, 222, 232, 233, 237, 238, 243, 245, 246, 247, 248, 252, 254, 256, 261, 273, 280, 281, 282, 283 investment, 23, 26, 31, 37, 39, 46, 54, 56, 59, 61, 66, 67, 69, 74, 86, 90, 97, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 106, 111, 112, 118, 124, 152, 179, 180, 181, 184, 206, 209, 213, 214, 220, 223, 228, 229, 232, 235, 238, 239, 253, 258, 259, 284 investment grade (credit rating), 118,124, 184, 209, 259 Ireland, 45, 128, 157, 159, 162, 169, 184, 248, 267 judicial system, 31, 33, 213, 229 leverage, 24, 91, 145, 250 Lisbon Treaty, 110, 127 Maastricht criteria, 19, 45,47, 51, 54, 79 Maastricht Treaty, 35, 45, 47, 78, 89,114, 140, 155, 158, 159, 161 Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure, 164 macroeconomic imbalances, 24, 27, 38, 59, 68, 82, 83, 95, 106, 107, 128, 134, 157, 177, 179, 201, 233, 240, 249, 252, 270 macroeconomic policy (-ies), 19, 36, 37, 38, 46, 48, 75, 93, 94, 136, 138, 143, 144, 146, 148, 156, 181, 241, 251, 262 macroeconomic stabilisation, 28, 83, 236 macroeconomic stability, 55, 72, 95, 202, 232, 261, 287
macroprudential regulation, 91 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), 123, 183, 186, 195, 196 militaiy dictatorship, 36, 151 monetary aggregates, 41, 42, 43, 48 monetary policy, 24,29, 37,41,42,43,47, 48, 51, 61, 66, 77, 81, 83, 87, 89, 98, 99, 136, 138, 139, 140, 155, 156, 158, 160, 174, 181, 253, 270, Til money supply, 43 mortgage-backed securities (MBS), 14, 99, 100, 102, 103, 105 labour market, 31, 32, 38, 54, 56, 69, 72, 73, 77, 106,128, 213, 214, 226, 227, 235, 236, 289, 290, 293 labour productivity, 61, 213 Lehman Brothers, 23, 97, 98, 104, 106, 113, 127, 146 lending boom, 29, 87, 157 lending facility, 43 National Health System, 40,138 National Statistical Service of Greece, 79 New Democracy, 110,151,152,153,188, 190, 191, 197, 238 Northern Rock, 104 non-performing Ioans (NPLs), 90, 209, 307 210, 211, 212, 225, 289
GREECE’S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH procyclical policy, 29, 85, 89, 135, 136, Official Sector Involvement (OSI), 32, 33, 220, 222, 287 open market operations, 43 optimum currency area (OCA), 76, 77, 80, 155 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 20, 74,85, 94, 137, 147, 148, 214, 228, 229 output, 26, 27, 29, 33, 34, 36, 38, 39, 76, 85, 106, 111, 112, 145, 155, 161, 173, 185, 216, 217, 227, 235, 237, 238, 239, 241, 259, 263 Papandreou, Andreas, 37 Papandreou, George, 109,130, 188, 246 Papathanassiou, Yannis, 110 PASOK, 37, 47, 109, 151, 152, 188, 191, 197, 238 peg (exchange rate), 39, 48, 49, 63, pension system, 24, 55, 70, 71, 94, 107, 111, 144, 145, 196, 202, 204, 205, 234, 240, 241, 249, 270 per capita income, 19, 58, 252, 257 periphery countries (of the euro area), 24, 58, 60, 76, 86, 87, 89,115,126,127,134, 147, 159, 160, 249, 252 Portugal, 45, 61, 80, 128, 149, 159, 162, 184, 248, 267, 298 poverty, 18, 26, 248, 293, 294 price competitiveness, 19, 32, 55, 56, 94, 139, 161, 203, 214, 224, 227, 235, 239, 240, 287, 292 price stability, 28, 47, 48, 51, 53, 55, 88, 140, 156, 250 primary balance, 64, 205, 206, 257, 287 primary surplus, 34, 65, 66, 84, 196, 205, 222, 233, 234, 237, 257, 259, 293 privatisation, 32, 46, 66, 72, 84, 219, 220, 227, 242, 243, 257 144, 149, 156, 179, 251, 255, 268, 270 productivity, 24, 32, 39, 46, 51, 55, 58, 61, 66, 67, 73, 74, 82, 84, 94,107,135,136, 142, 143, 145, 152, 203, 213, 214, 224, 226, 227, 228, 231, 237, 238, 249, 252, 258, 259, 270, 290 profitability (bank), 119, 202, 207, 210, 212, 224,
258 profit margins, 37, 39, 94 Private Sector Involvement (PSI), 15, 32, 33, 187, 188, 189, 190, 195, 204, 206, 208, 219, 220, 221, 223, 224, 242, 243 public administration, 33, 117, 128, 152, 186, 196, 213, 217, 229, 241, 259, 260 public finances, 24, 25, 30, 31, 55, 67, 68, 70, 75, 76, 86, 89, 113, 116, 123, 128, 129, 131, 134, 144, 148, 161, 179, 181, 187, 189, 199, 202, 217, 232, 240, 248, 250, 282, 293 Putin, Vladimir, 193 recession, 17, 23, 24,25, 26, 30, 32, 33, 37, 93, 98, 99, 103,105, 106,107,108,110, 112, 119, 120, 129, 151, 160, 161, 164, 181, 186, 190, 191, 204, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 211, 212, 216, 219, 220, 224, 231, 232, 235, 237, 238, 239, 241, 242, 247, 255, 261, 284 recovery, 27, 32, 34, 127, 128, 163, 164, 169, 173, 181, 191, 202, 211, 212, 213, 224, 225, 226, 235, 236, 255, 256, 257, 259, 260, 292 reserve requirements, 43 risk aversion, 24,82,94, 107,109,113,115, 118, 133, 135, 145, 241, 249, 252, 270 rollover risks, 34, 255 Russian invasion of Ukraine, 68 308
INDEX Samaras, Antonis, 190, 191, 192, 238 saving(s), 29, 42, 56, 59, 66, 68, 93, 98, 99, 100, 110, 111, 135, 139, 142, 145, 172, 173, 202, 235, 239, 240, 242, 259, 268, 270 Securities and Exchange Commission (US), 101 Securities Markets Programme, 124, 184 services, 12,42, 54,56,82,83, 94,107,108, 156, 184, 213, 214, 226, 227, 228, 238, 240, 251, 255, 258, 270, 292, 293, 294 Simitis, Constantinos, 38, 40 single currency, 24, 50, 76, 77, 78, 86, 87, 88, 146 Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM), 170 Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), 170 Six-Pack, 68,164, 177 social security system, 70, 76 solvency, 58, 66, 69, 113, 115, 119, 131, 203, 207, 209, 212, 216, 253, 275 sovereign debt crisis, 18, 20, 23, 28, 34, 58, 78, 88,109,127,134,135,146,147, 148, 152, 157, 160, 166, 168, 169, 185, 207, 245, 246, 249, 252, 254, 255, 261, 280, 282 sovereign default, 25, 120, 121, 123, 127, 130, 156, 183,190, 201, 246 sovereign solvency. See solvency sovereign stress, 34, 255, 257 Spain, 45, 128, 157, 159, 169, 267 special purpose vehicle (SPV), 125 spending. See expenditure stabilisation programme, 35, 38, 40, 138, 139 Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), 55, 68, 75, 79, 81, 83, 84, 86, 89,116, 136,143, 144, 149, 150, 158, 161, 163, 164, 165, 166, 177, 178, 179, 251, 254, 262, 268, 279 Stability and Growth Programme, 110,116 Stability Programme (SP), 25, 84, 116, 117, 260, 268, 279, 280 stability-oriented economic policies, 28, 53, 140, 250 stagflation, 35, 37 stagnation, 27, 173 Stand-By Arrangement, 124, 184, 197, 221, 281 standing facilities, 43 stock-flow adjustment, 64 Strauss-Kahn, Dominique,
114 structural reforms, 24, 25, 27, 32, 47, 50, 68, 69, 72, 77, 81, 83, 85,123, 128,130, 143, 144, 152, 166, 185, 191, 203, 204, 213, 214, 217, 219, 228, 231, 233, 239, 241, 242, 250, 251, 257, 259 subprime mortgages, 97, 99, 102, 103, 104,106 SYRIZA, 152, 185, 192, 195, 197, 235 systemic risk, 23, 24, 58, 91, 92,135, 136, 147, 155, 231, 250, 252, 253 Term Auction Facility (TAF), 103 Treasury bills, 43, 64 Treaty on the Functioning of the Europe an Union (TFEU), 116 Troika, 26, 123, 185, 186, 189, 248 Tsipras, Alexis, 192, 194, 195, 197 Two-Pack, 68, 164, 177 unemployment, 19, 26, 27, 33, 72, 73, 77, 81, 84, 86,129,143, 161,183,185,186, 191, 206, 207, 210, 213, 216, 227, 231, 232, 236, 237, 239, 241, 251, 254, 257, 309 284, 290, 292, 293
GREECE’S SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS AND ITS ECONOMIC AFTERMATH unit labour cost, 46, 51, 61, 93, 112, 214, 253, 263, 273, 274 United States, 23,29,39,40,90,97,98,99, 100, 103, 104, 105, 106, 111, 142, 173 vulnerabilities, 19, 20, 27, 28, 35, 58, 76, 81, 83, 95, 97, 106, 107, 113, 134, 135, 141, 143, 147, 148, 150, 151, 161, 168, wages, 24, 26,37,38, 39,40,42,48,49, 50, 51, 53, 56, 60, 61, 66, 69, 70, 72, 73, 75, 76, 77, 82, 93, 107, 110, 112, 128, 130, 135, 138, 143, 144, 145, 148, 155, 206, 213, 214, 226, 231, 238, 239, 240, 248, 249, 250, 252, 524, 263, 268, 270, 273, 280, 281, 284, 290 177, 178, 245, 250, 252, 254, 259, 278 yield spreads, 11, 25, 87, 113, 115, 118, wage indexation system, 42 144, 146, 157, 162, 278 _ 310 ( Bayerische λ I Staatsbibliothek | |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Gkarnkanas, Nikolaos 1937- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)171138872 |
| author_facet | Gkarnkanas, Nikolaos 1937- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Gkarnkanas, Nikolaos 1937- |
| author_variant | n g ng |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV049847951 |
| contents | Bibliografie S. 295-301; Index S. 303-310 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1454748805 (DE-599)BVBBV049847951 |
| edition | 1st edition |
| format | Book |
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| geographic | Griechenland (DE-588)4022047-3 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Griechenland |
| id | DE-604.BV049847951 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-11-11T09:11:10Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9786188615786 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-035187822 |
| oclc_num | 1454748805 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | 310 Seiten Diagramme |
| psigel | BSB_NED_20240930 |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateSearch | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Ekdoseis Economia |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Gkarnkanas, Nikolaos 1937- Verfasser (DE-588)171138872 aut Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons Nikolaos C. Garganas 1st edition Athens Ekdoseis Economia 2024 310 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Bibliografie S. 295-301; Index S. 303-310 Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 gnd rswk-swf Griechenland (DE-588)4022047-3 gnd rswk-swf Griechenland (DE-588)4022047-3 g Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s DE-604 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035187822&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035187822&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Literaturverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035187822&sequence=000005&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Register // Gemischte Register |
| spellingShingle | Gkarnkanas, Nikolaos 1937- Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons Bibliografie S. 295-301; Index S. 303-310 Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4200280-1 (DE-588)4022047-3 |
| title | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons |
| title_auth | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons |
| title_exact_search | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons |
| title_full | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons Nikolaos C. Garganas |
| title_fullStr | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons Nikolaos C. Garganas |
| title_full_unstemmed | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons Nikolaos C. Garganas |
| title_short | Greece's sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath |
| title_sort | greece s sovereign debt crisis and its economic aftermath analysis and lessons |
| title_sub | analysis and lessons |
| topic | Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaftsentwicklung Schuldenkrise Griechenland |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035187822&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035187822&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035187822&sequence=000005&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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