Minding the weather: how expert forecasters think
A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. M...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, Massachusetts
The MIT Press
[2023]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Zusammenfassung: | A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary. |
| Beschreibung: | xiv, 470 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten |
| ISBN: | 9780262036061 9780262548816 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV049305275 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20240314 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 230830s2023 a||| |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 9780262036061 |c hardcover |9 978-0-262-03606-1 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780262548816 |c paperback |9 978-0-262-54881-6 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)1403378160 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV049305275 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rda | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-824 | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Hoffman, Robert R. |d 1950- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)1069781231 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Minding the weather |b how expert forecasters think |c Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton |
| 264 | 1 | |a Cambridge, Massachusetts |b The MIT Press |c [2023] | |
| 300 | |a xiv, 470 Seiten |b Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary. | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Wettervorhersage |0 (DE-588)4079256-0 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Meteorologie |0 (DE-588)4038953-4 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Wettervorhersage |0 (DE-588)4079256-0 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | 1 | |a Meteorologie |0 (DE-588)4038953-4 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a LaDue, Daphne S. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Mogil, H. Michael |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)140356851 |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Roebber, Paul J. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Trafton, J. Gregory |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |z 978-0-262-33940-7 |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-034566473 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804185804775358465 |
|---|---|
| adam_txt | |
| any_adam_object | |
| any_adam_object_boolean | |
| author | Hoffman, Robert R. 1950- LaDue, Daphne S. Mogil, H. Michael Roebber, Paul J. Trafton, J. Gregory |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1069781231 (DE-588)140356851 |
| author_facet | Hoffman, Robert R. 1950- LaDue, Daphne S. Mogil, H. Michael Roebber, Paul J. Trafton, J. Gregory |
| author_role | aut aut aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Hoffman, Robert R. 1950- |
| author_variant | r r h rr rrh d s l ds dsl h m m hm hmm p j r pj pjr j g t jg jgt |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV049305275 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1403378160 (DE-599)BVBBV049305275 |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02496nam a2200397 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV049305275</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20240314 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">230830s2023 a||| |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780262036061</subfield><subfield code="c">hardcover</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-262-03606-1</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780262548816</subfield><subfield code="c">paperback</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-262-54881-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1403378160</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV049305275</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-824</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Hoffman, Robert R.</subfield><subfield code="d">1950-</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)1069781231</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Minding the weather</subfield><subfield code="b">how expert forecasters think</subfield><subfield code="c">Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Cambridge, Massachusetts</subfield><subfield code="b">The MIT Press</subfield><subfield code="c">[2023]</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xiv, 470 Seiten</subfield><subfield code="b">Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1="3" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Wettervorhersage</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4079256-0</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Meteorologie</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4038953-4</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Wettervorhersage</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4079256-0</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Meteorologie</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4038953-4</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">LaDue, Daphne S.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Mogil, H. Michael</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)140356851</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Roebber, Paul J.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Trafton, J. Gregory</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">978-0-262-33940-7</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-034566473</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV049305275 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T22:39:44Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T10:01:03Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780262036061 9780262548816 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-034566473 |
| oclc_num | 1403378160 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-824 |
| owner_facet | DE-824 |
| physical | xiv, 470 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateSearch | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | The MIT Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Hoffman, Robert R. 1950- Verfasser (DE-588)1069781231 aut Minding the weather how expert forecasters think Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton Cambridge, Massachusetts The MIT Press [2023] xiv, 470 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary. Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd rswk-swf Meteorologie (DE-588)4038953-4 gnd rswk-swf Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 s Meteorologie (DE-588)4038953-4 s DE-604 LaDue, Daphne S. Verfasser aut Mogil, H. Michael Verfasser (DE-588)140356851 aut Roebber, Paul J. Verfasser aut Trafton, J. Gregory Verfasser aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-0-262-33940-7 |
| spellingShingle | Hoffman, Robert R. 1950- LaDue, Daphne S. Mogil, H. Michael Roebber, Paul J. Trafton, J. Gregory Minding the weather how expert forecasters think Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd Meteorologie (DE-588)4038953-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4079256-0 (DE-588)4038953-4 |
| title | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think |
| title_auth | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think |
| title_exact_search | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think |
| title_full | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton |
| title_fullStr | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton |
| title_full_unstemmed | Minding the weather how expert forecasters think Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton |
| title_short | Minding the weather |
| title_sort | minding the weather how expert forecasters think |
| title_sub | how expert forecasters think |
| topic | Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd Meteorologie (DE-588)4038953-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wettervorhersage Meteorologie |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT hoffmanrobertr mindingtheweatherhowexpertforecastersthink AT laduedaphnes mindingtheweatherhowexpertforecastersthink AT mogilhmichael mindingtheweatherhowexpertforecastersthink AT roebberpaulj mindingtheweatherhowexpertforecastersthink AT traftonjgregory mindingtheweatherhowexpertforecastersthink |