The True Cost of War:
Measuring the economic impact of a war is a daunting task. Common indicators like casualties, infrastructure damages, and gross domestic product effects provide useful benchmarks, but they fail to capture the complex welfare effects of wars. This paper proposes a new method to estimate the welfare i...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
The World Bank
2022
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Measuring the economic impact of a war is a daunting task. Common indicators like casualties, infrastructure damages, and gross domestic product effects provide useful benchmarks, but they fail to capture the complex welfare effects of wars. This paper proposes a new method to estimate the welfare impact of conflicts and remedy common data constraints in conflict-affected environments. The method first estimates how agents regard spatial welfare differentials by voting with their feet, using pre-conflict data. Then, it infers a lower-bound estimate for the conflict-driven welfare shock from partially observed post-conflict migration patterns. A case study of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine between 2014 and 2019 shows a large lower-bound welfare loss for Donetsk residents equivalent to between 7.28 and 24.79 percent of life-time income depending on agents' time preferences |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) |
| DOI: | 10.1596/1813-9450-10217 |
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| 520 | 3 | |a Measuring the economic impact of a war is a daunting task. Common indicators like casualties, infrastructure damages, and gross domestic product effects provide useful benchmarks, but they fail to capture the complex welfare effects of wars. This paper proposes a new method to estimate the welfare impact of conflicts and remedy common data constraints in conflict-affected environments. The method first estimates how agents regard spatial welfare differentials by voting with their feet, using pre-conflict data. Then, it infers a lower-bound estimate for the conflict-driven welfare shock from partially observed post-conflict migration patterns. A case study of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine between 2014 and 2019 shows a large lower-bound welfare loss for Donetsk residents equivalent to between 7.28 and 24.79 percent of life-time income depending on agents' time preferences | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Armed Conflict Burden | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Burden of War | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Conflict | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Conflict and Development | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Conflict-Related Income Shock | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Data Constraints | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Data Constraints Internally Displaced People | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Economic Impact Assessments of War | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Economic Insecurity | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forced Displacement | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Health, Nutrition and Population | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Infrastructure Economics | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Infrastructure Economics and Finance | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mental Health | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Post Conflict Reconstruction | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Psycho-Social War Trauma | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Revealed-Preferences | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Voluntary and Involuntary Resettlement | |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1596/1813-9450-10217 |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| id | DE-604.BV049079636 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T22:27:56Z |
| indexdate | 2024-10-12T04:02:52Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
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| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (29 Seiten) |
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| spellingShingle | Artuc, Erhan The True Cost of War Armed Conflict Burden Burden of War Conflict Conflict and Development Conflict-Related Income Shock Data Constraints Data Constraints Internally Displaced People Economic Impact Assessments of War Economic Insecurity Forced Displacement Health, Nutrition and Population Infrastructure Economics Infrastructure Economics and Finance Mental Health Post Conflict Reconstruction Psycho-Social War Trauma Revealed-Preferences Voluntary and Involuntary Resettlement |
| title | The True Cost of War |
| title_auth | The True Cost of War |
| title_exact_search | The True Cost of War |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The True Cost of War |
| title_full | The True Cost of War Erhan Artuc |
| title_fullStr | The True Cost of War Erhan Artuc |
| title_full_unstemmed | The True Cost of War Erhan Artuc |
| title_short | The True Cost of War |
| title_sort | the true cost of war |
| topic | Armed Conflict Burden Burden of War Conflict Conflict and Development Conflict-Related Income Shock Data Constraints Data Constraints Internally Displaced People Economic Impact Assessments of War Economic Insecurity Forced Displacement Health, Nutrition and Population Infrastructure Economics Infrastructure Economics and Finance Mental Health Post Conflict Reconstruction Psycho-Social War Trauma Revealed-Preferences Voluntary and Involuntary Resettlement |
| topic_facet | Armed Conflict Burden Burden of War Conflict Conflict and Development Conflict-Related Income Shock Data Constraints Data Constraints Internally Displaced People Economic Impact Assessments of War Economic Insecurity Forced Displacement Health, Nutrition and Population Infrastructure Economics Infrastructure Economics and Finance Mental Health Post Conflict Reconstruction Psycho-Social War Trauma Revealed-Preferences Voluntary and Involuntary Resettlement |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10217 |
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