Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices: An Empirical Assessment
Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world. - To analyze the main determinants of secondary market prices of Bulgarian Brady bonds, Budin...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
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Washington, D.C
The World Bank
2000
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Online-Zugang: | BSB01 EUV01 HTW01 FHI01 IOS01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world. - To analyze the main determinants of secondary market prices of Bulgarian Brady bonds, Budina and Mantchev investigate to what extent fluctuations in domestic fundamentals affect the bonds' secondary market price. They also assess the extent to which external shocks affect the bonds' prices. They estimate the long-term relationship between domestic fundamentals and market prices of the bonds, using cointegration techniques. In the long run, they find that gross foreign reserves and exports had a positive effect on bond prices and the real exchange rate and Mexico's nominal exchange rate depreciation had a negative effect. In the short run, the Asian crisis had a negative impact, and Bulgaria's change in political regime and introduction of a currency board had a positive impact. Mexico's economic crisis in 1995 had contagion effects. The authors' empirical results confirm the view that the so-called fundamentals approach should be used to supplement the analysis of spillover effects for Bulgarian Brady bonds. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudina@worldbank.org or tmantchev@hotmail.com |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (36 Seiten)) |
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520 | 3 | |a Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world. - To analyze the main determinants of secondary market prices of Bulgarian Brady bonds, Budina and Mantchev investigate to what extent fluctuations in domestic fundamentals affect the bonds' secondary market price. They also assess the extent to which external shocks affect the bonds' prices. They estimate the long-term relationship between domestic fundamentals and market prices of the bonds, using cointegration techniques. In the long run, they find that gross foreign reserves and exports had a positive effect on bond prices and the real exchange rate and Mexico's nominal exchange rate depreciation had a negative effect. In the short run, the Asian crisis had a negative impact, and Bulgaria's change in political regime and introduction of a currency board had a positive impact. Mexico's economic crisis in 1995 had contagion effects. The authors' empirical results confirm the view that the so-called fundamentals approach should be used to supplement the analysis of spillover effects for Bulgarian Brady bonds. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudina@worldbank.org or tmantchev@hotmail.com | |
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spelling | Budina, Nina Verfasser aut Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment Budina, Nina Washington, D.C The World Bank 2000 1 Online-Ressource (36 Seiten)) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world. - To analyze the main determinants of secondary market prices of Bulgarian Brady bonds, Budina and Mantchev investigate to what extent fluctuations in domestic fundamentals affect the bonds' secondary market price. They also assess the extent to which external shocks affect the bonds' prices. They estimate the long-term relationship between domestic fundamentals and market prices of the bonds, using cointegration techniques. In the long run, they find that gross foreign reserves and exports had a positive effect on bond prices and the real exchange rate and Mexico's nominal exchange rate depreciation had a negative effect. In the short run, the Asian crisis had a negative impact, and Bulgaria's change in political regime and introduction of a currency board had a positive impact. Mexico's economic crisis in 1995 had contagion effects. The authors' empirical results confirm the view that the so-called fundamentals approach should be used to supplement the analysis of spillover effects for Bulgarian Brady bonds. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study transition economies. The authors may be contacted at nbudina@worldbank.org or tmantchev@hotmail.com Online-Ausg Bond Bond Issues Bond Price Bond Prices Bonds Debt Management Debt Markets Debt Prices Debt Service Economic Theory and Research Emerging Markets Finance and Financial Sector Development Financial Literacy Financial Support Foreign Debt Macroeconomic Stabilization Macroeconomic Variables Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Market Markets and Market Access Option Price Movement Private Sector Development Savings Bank Secondary Market Secondary Market Debt Secondary Market Price Budina, Nina Sonstige oth Mantchev, Tzvetan Sonstige oth Budina, Nina Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-2277 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Budina, Nina Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment Bond Bond Issues Bond Price Bond Prices Bonds Debt Management Debt Markets Debt Prices Debt Service Economic Theory and Research Emerging Markets Finance and Financial Sector Development Financial Literacy Financial Support Foreign Debt Macroeconomic Stabilization Macroeconomic Variables Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Market Markets and Market Access Option Price Movement Private Sector Development Savings Bank Secondary Market Secondary Market Debt Secondary Market Price |
title | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment |
title_auth | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment |
title_exact_search | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment |
title_exact_search_txtP | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment |
title_full | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment Budina, Nina |
title_fullStr | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment Budina, Nina |
title_full_unstemmed | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices An Empirical Assessment Budina, Nina |
title_short | Determinants of Bulgarian Brady Bond Prices |
title_sort | determinants of bulgarian brady bond prices an empirical assessment |
title_sub | An Empirical Assessment |
topic | Bond Bond Issues Bond Price Bond Prices Bonds Debt Management Debt Markets Debt Prices Debt Service Economic Theory and Research Emerging Markets Finance and Financial Sector Development Financial Literacy Financial Support Foreign Debt Macroeconomic Stabilization Macroeconomic Variables Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Market Markets and Market Access Option Price Movement Private Sector Development Savings Bank Secondary Market Secondary Market Debt Secondary Market Price |
topic_facet | Bond Bond Issues Bond Price Bond Prices Bonds Debt Management Debt Markets Debt Prices Debt Service Economic Theory and Research Emerging Markets Finance and Financial Sector Development Financial Literacy Financial Support Foreign Debt Macroeconomic Stabilization Macroeconomic Variables Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Market Markets and Market Access Option Price Movement Private Sector Development Savings Bank Secondary Market Secondary Market Debt Secondary Market Price |
url | http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-2277 |
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