Informality Trends And Cycles:
This paper studies the trends and cycles of informal employment. It first presents a theoretical model where the size of informal employment is determined by the relative costs and benefits of informality and the distribution of workers' skills. In the long run, informal employment varies with...
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
The World Bank
2006
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | BSB01 EUV01 HTW01 FHI01 IOS01 Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | This paper studies the trends and cycles of informal employment. It first presents a theoretical model where the size of informal employment is determined by the relative costs and benefits of informality and the distribution of workers' skills. In the long run, informal employment varies with the trends in these variables, and in the short run it reacts to accommodate transient shocks and to close the gap that separates it from its trend level. The paper then uses an error-correction framework to examine empirically informality's long- and short-run relationships. For this purpose, it uses country-level data at annual frequency for a sample of industrial and developing countries, with the share of self-employment in the labor force as the proxy for informal employment. The paper finds that, in the long run, informality is larger in countries that have lower GDP per capita and impose more costs to formal firms in the form of more rigid business regulations, less valuable police and judicial services, and weaker monitoring of informality. In the short run, informal employment is found to be counter-cyclical for the majority of countries, with the degree of counter-cyclicality being lower in countries with larger informal employment and better police and judicial services. Moreover, informal employment follows a stable, trend-reverting process. These results are robust to changes in the sample and to the influence of outliers, even when only developing countries are considered in the analysis |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (37 Seiten)) |
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| 520 | 3 | |a This paper studies the trends and cycles of informal employment. It first presents a theoretical model where the size of informal employment is determined by the relative costs and benefits of informality and the distribution of workers' skills. In the long run, informal employment varies with the trends in these variables, and in the short run it reacts to accommodate transient shocks and to close the gap that separates it from its trend level. The paper then uses an error-correction framework to examine empirically informality's long- and short-run relationships. For this purpose, it uses country-level data at annual frequency for a sample of industrial and developing countries, with the share of self-employment in the labor force as the proxy for informal employment. The paper finds that, in the long run, informality is larger in countries that have lower GDP per capita and impose more costs to formal firms in the form of more rigid business regulations, less valuable police and judicial services, and weaker monitoring of informality. In the short run, informal employment is found to be counter-cyclical for the majority of countries, with the degree of counter-cyclicality being lower in countries with larger informal employment and better police and judicial services. Moreover, informal employment follows a stable, trend-reverting process. These results are robust to changes in the sample and to the influence of outliers, even when only developing countries are considered in the analysis | |
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| spelling | Loayza, Norman V. Verfasser aut Informality Trends And Cycles Loayza, Norman V Washington, D.C The World Bank 2006 1 Online-Ressource (37 Seiten)) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier This paper studies the trends and cycles of informal employment. It first presents a theoretical model where the size of informal employment is determined by the relative costs and benefits of informality and the distribution of workers' skills. In the long run, informal employment varies with the trends in these variables, and in the short run it reacts to accommodate transient shocks and to close the gap that separates it from its trend level. The paper then uses an error-correction framework to examine empirically informality's long- and short-run relationships. For this purpose, it uses country-level data at annual frequency for a sample of industrial and developing countries, with the share of self-employment in the labor force as the proxy for informal employment. The paper finds that, in the long run, informality is larger in countries that have lower GDP per capita and impose more costs to formal firms in the form of more rigid business regulations, less valuable police and judicial services, and weaker monitoring of informality. In the short run, informal employment is found to be counter-cyclical for the majority of countries, with the degree of counter-cyclicality being lower in countries with larger informal employment and better police and judicial services. Moreover, informal employment follows a stable, trend-reverting process. These results are robust to changes in the sample and to the influence of outliers, even when only developing countries are considered in the analysis Online-Ausg Active Labor Business Cycle Economic Theory and Research Exogenous Variable Informal Economies Informal Economy Informal Employment Informal Labor Markets Informal Sector Labor Labor Force Labor Markets Labor Policies Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Social Protections and Labor Rigolini, Jamele Sonstige oth Loayza, Norman V. Sonstige oth Loayza, Norman V Informality Trends And Cycles http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4078 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Loayza, Norman V. Informality Trends And Cycles Active Labor Business Cycle Economic Theory and Research Exogenous Variable Informal Economies Informal Economy Informal Employment Informal Labor Markets Informal Sector Labor Labor Force Labor Markets Labor Policies Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Social Protections and Labor |
| title | Informality Trends And Cycles |
| title_auth | Informality Trends And Cycles |
| title_exact_search | Informality Trends And Cycles |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Informality Trends And Cycles |
| title_full | Informality Trends And Cycles Loayza, Norman V |
| title_fullStr | Informality Trends And Cycles Loayza, Norman V |
| title_full_unstemmed | Informality Trends And Cycles Loayza, Norman V |
| title_short | Informality Trends And Cycles |
| title_sort | informality trends and cycles |
| topic | Active Labor Business Cycle Economic Theory and Research Exogenous Variable Informal Economies Informal Economy Informal Employment Informal Labor Markets Informal Sector Labor Labor Force Labor Markets Labor Policies Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Social Protections and Labor |
| topic_facet | Active Labor Business Cycle Economic Theory and Research Exogenous Variable Informal Economies Informal Economy Informal Employment Informal Labor Markets Informal Sector Labor Labor Force Labor Markets Labor Policies Macroeconomics and Economic Growth Social Protections and Labor |
| url | http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4078 |
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