How worlds collapse: what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future
"As our society confronts climate change, authoritarianism, and epidemics, what can examples from the past tell us about our present and future? This book studies societies that either collapsed or overcame cataclysmic adversity, tracing patterns, strategies, and early warning signs that can in...
Gespeichert in:
| Weitere Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York, NY ; London
Routledge
2023
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | "As our society confronts climate change, authoritarianism, and epidemics, what can examples from the past tell us about our present and future? This book studies societies that either collapsed or overcame cataclysmic adversity, tracing patterns, strategies, and early warning signs that can inform decision making today"-- |
| Beschreibung: | xv, 426 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 9781032363219 9781032363257 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents Acknowledgement Authors xii xiv Introduction 1 MIGUEL A. CENTENO, PETER W. CALLAHAN, PAUL A. LARCEY, AND THAYER S. PATTERSON SECTION 1 Theory and Insights of Historical Collapse 3 1 Globalization and Fragility: A Systems Approach to Collapse 5 MIGUEL A. CENTENO. PETER W. CALLAHAN, PAUL A. LARCEY, AND THAYER S. PATTERSON 2 How Scholars Explain Collapse 25 JOSEPH A. TAINTER 3 Diminishing Returns on Extraction: How Inequality and Extractive Hierarchy Create Fragility 37 LUKE KEMP 4 Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk 61 HAYDN BELFIELD SECTION 2 Historical and Archaeological Investigations of Collapse 5 “Mind the Gap”: The 1177 BCE Late Bronze Age Collapse and Some Preliminary Thoughts on Its Immediate Aftermath ERIC H. CLINE 93 97
x Contents 6 The End of “Peak Empire”: The Collapse of the Roman, Han, and Jin Empires Ю8 WALTER SCHEIDEL 7 Collapse and Non-collapse: The Case of Byzantium ca. 650-800 CE 124 JOHN HALDON 8 Fluctuat Nec Mergitur: Seven Centuries of Pueblo Crisis and Resilience 146 TIMOTHY A. KOHLER, R. KYLE BOCINSKY, AND DARCY BIRD 9 Episodes of the Feathered Serpent: Aztec Imperialism and Collapse 167 DEBORAH L. NICHOLS AND RYAN H. COLLINS 10 The Black Death: Collapse, Resilience, and Transformation 191 SAMUEL K. COHN, JR. 11 The Cases of Novgorod and Muscovy: Using Systems Thinking to Understand Historical Civilizational Response to Exogenous Threats 206 MIRIAM POLLOCK, BENJAMIN D. TRUMP, AND IGOR LINKOV 12 Resilience of the Simple?: Lessons from the Blockade of Leningrad 236 JEFFREY K. HASS SECTION 3 Systemic Collapse Insights from Ecology, Climate, and the Environment 259 13 Climate Change and Tipping Points in Historical Collapse 261 TIMOTHY Μ. LENTON 14 Conservation of Fragility and the Collapse of Social Orders 282 JOHN M. ANDERIES AND SIMON A. LEVIN 15 Resilience and Collapse in Bee Societies and Communities CHRISTINA M. GROZINGER AND HARLAND Μ. PATCH 296
Contents xi SECTION 4 Future Systemic Collapse and Quantitative Modeling 313 16 Producing Collapse: Nuclear Weapons as Preparation to End Civilization 315 ZIA MIAN AND BENOIT PELOPIDAS 17 From Wild West to Mad Max: Transition in Civilizations 333 RICHARD BOOKSTABER 18 Phase Transitions and the Theory of Early Warning Indicators for Critical Transitions 358 GEORGE I. HAGSTRÖM AND SIMON A. LEVIN 19 The Lifespan of Civilizations: Do Societies “Age,” or Is Collapse Just Bad Luck? 375 ANDERS SANDBERG 20 Multipath Forecasting: The Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis 397 PETER TURCHIN Index 417
|
| adam_txt |
Contents Acknowledgement Authors xii xiv Introduction 1 MIGUEL A. CENTENO, PETER W. CALLAHAN, PAUL A. LARCEY, AND THAYER S. PATTERSON SECTION 1 Theory and Insights of Historical Collapse 3 1 Globalization and Fragility: A Systems Approach to Collapse 5 MIGUEL A. CENTENO. PETER W. CALLAHAN, PAUL A. LARCEY, AND THAYER S. PATTERSON 2 How Scholars Explain Collapse 25 JOSEPH A. TAINTER 3 Diminishing Returns on Extraction: How Inequality and Extractive Hierarchy Create Fragility 37 LUKE KEMP 4 Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk 61 HAYDN BELFIELD SECTION 2 Historical and Archaeological Investigations of Collapse 5 “Mind the Gap”: The 1177 BCE Late Bronze Age Collapse and Some Preliminary Thoughts on Its Immediate Aftermath ERIC H. CLINE 93 97
x Contents 6 The End of “Peak Empire”: The Collapse of the Roman, Han, and Jin Empires Ю8 WALTER SCHEIDEL 7 Collapse and Non-collapse: The Case of Byzantium ca. 650-800 CE 124 JOHN HALDON 8 Fluctuat Nec Mergitur: Seven Centuries of Pueblo Crisis and Resilience 146 TIMOTHY A. KOHLER, R. KYLE BOCINSKY, AND DARCY BIRD 9 Episodes of the Feathered Serpent: Aztec Imperialism and Collapse 167 DEBORAH L. NICHOLS AND RYAN H. COLLINS 10 The Black Death: Collapse, Resilience, and Transformation 191 SAMUEL K. COHN, JR. 11 The Cases of Novgorod and Muscovy: Using Systems Thinking to Understand Historical Civilizational Response to Exogenous Threats 206 MIRIAM POLLOCK, BENJAMIN D. TRUMP, AND IGOR LINKOV 12 Resilience of the Simple?: Lessons from the Blockade of Leningrad 236 JEFFREY K. HASS SECTION 3 Systemic Collapse Insights from Ecology, Climate, and the Environment 259 13 Climate Change and Tipping Points in Historical Collapse 261 TIMOTHY Μ. LENTON 14 Conservation of Fragility and the Collapse of Social Orders 282 JOHN M. ANDERIES AND SIMON A. LEVIN 15 Resilience and Collapse in Bee Societies and Communities CHRISTINA M. GROZINGER AND HARLAND Μ. PATCH 296
Contents xi SECTION 4 Future Systemic Collapse and Quantitative Modeling 313 16 Producing Collapse: Nuclear Weapons as Preparation to End Civilization 315 ZIA MIAN AND BENOIT PELOPIDAS 17 From Wild West to Mad Max: Transition in Civilizations 333 RICHARD BOOKSTABER 18 Phase Transitions and the Theory of Early Warning Indicators for Critical Transitions 358 GEORGE I. HAGSTRÖM AND SIMON A. LEVIN 19 The Lifespan of Civilizations: Do Societies “Age,” or Is Collapse Just Bad Luck? 375 ANDERS SANDBERG 20 Multipath Forecasting: The Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis 397 PETER TURCHIN Index 417 |
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| spelling | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future edited by Miguel A. Centeno [und 3 weitere] New York, NY ; London Routledge 2023 xv, 426 Seiten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier "As our society confronts climate change, authoritarianism, and epidemics, what can examples from the past tell us about our present and future? This book studies societies that either collapsed or overcame cataclysmic adversity, tracing patterns, strategies, and early warning signs that can inform decision making today"-- Geschichte gnd rswk-swf Soziales System (DE-588)4055764-9 gnd rswk-swf Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 gnd rswk-swf Zusammenbruch (DE-588)4264286-3 gnd rswk-swf Disasters / History Emergency management / History Emergency management / Decision making Social systems / History Disasters Emergency management Social systems History Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 s Soziales System (DE-588)4055764-9 s Zusammenbruch (DE-588)4264286-3 s Geschichte z DE-604 Centeno, Miguel Angel 1957- (DE-588)134212282 edt Erschient auch als Online-Ausgabe, eBook 978-1-00-333138-4 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034227866&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future Soziales System (DE-588)4055764-9 gnd Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 gnd Zusammenbruch (DE-588)4264286-3 gnd |
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| title | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future |
| title_auth | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future |
| title_exact_search | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future |
| title_exact_search_txtP | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future |
| title_full | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future edited by Miguel A. Centeno [und 3 weitere] |
| title_fullStr | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future edited by Miguel A. Centeno [und 3 weitere] |
| title_full_unstemmed | How worlds collapse what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future edited by Miguel A. Centeno [und 3 weitere] |
| title_short | How worlds collapse |
| title_sort | how worlds collapse what history systems and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future |
| title_sub | what history, systems, and coplexity can teach us about our modern world and fragile future |
| topic | Soziales System (DE-588)4055764-9 gnd Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 gnd Zusammenbruch (DE-588)4264286-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Soziales System Katastrophe Zusammenbruch |
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