Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria: civil war and the role of regional and global powers
In 2011, the diplomatic and expert consensus was that Bashar al-Asads regime would fail, causing Syria to disintegrate into several ethnic enclaves or mini-states. A decade later and Bashar is still in control, having defeated the rebels and gained the support of Russia. The years of internal warfar...
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
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Liverpool
Liverpool University Press
2023
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Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Zusammenfassung: | In 2011, the diplomatic and expert consensus was that Bashar al-Asads regime would fail, causing Syria to disintegrate into several ethnic enclaves or mini-states. A decade later and Bashar is still in control, having defeated the rebels and gained the support of Russia. The years of internal warfare have brought about changes in the spectrum of parties involved in the Syrian state, and the final outcome is inevitably going to be shaped by geo-politics. The Alawi minority still in large measure controls the Sunni-Muslim (Arab) majority. The other players are a gallery of ever changing allegiances: ISIS, Jabhat al-Nusra, and many other radical Islamic groups; the Muslim Kurdish and Christian Arab communities; as well as Shii Lebanese Hizballah. External horizon players are Iran; Sunni Turkey and Saudi Arabia; Jewish Israel; the United States and Russia. This study aims to analyze the agendas, actions, and interrelations of these various actors from 2011 until the present. It will discuss their ongoing politics and assess forthcoming developments. Both Iran and Russia continue to support Bashar, but compete for political, military, and economic influence. The US has greatly reduced involvement, keeping only 900 troops in northeastern Syria, to protect its Kurdish allies and fight against ISIS. Turkey still occupies parts of northern Syria, with the aim of eliminating the Kurdish forces. Syrian and Russian military attempts to conquer this area continue sporadically. The Israeli air force has attacked Iranian and Hizballah positions with the tacit approval of Russia. However, Russias war on Ukraine in February 2022 may result in restricting Israeli interdictions and instead enhance cooperation with Tehran in order to counter the US and NATO. Both Russia and Iran have been incapable of reconstructing the massively destroyed Syrian infrastructure; the US and Europe are reluctant to contribute due to Bashars continued Alawi minority-based autocratic and corrupt rul |
Beschreibung: | viii, 165 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm |
ISBN: | 9781789761993 |
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520 | 3 | |a In 2011, the diplomatic and expert consensus was that Bashar al-Asads regime would fail, causing Syria to disintegrate into several ethnic enclaves or mini-states. A decade later and Bashar is still in control, having defeated the rebels and gained the support of Russia. The years of internal warfare have brought about changes in the spectrum of parties involved in the Syrian state, and the final outcome is inevitably going to be shaped by geo-politics. The Alawi minority still in large measure controls the Sunni-Muslim (Arab) majority. The other players are a gallery of ever changing allegiances: ISIS, Jabhat al-Nusra, and many other radical Islamic groups; the Muslim Kurdish and Christian Arab communities; as well as Shii Lebanese Hizballah. External horizon players are Iran; Sunni Turkey and Saudi Arabia; Jewish Israel; the United States and Russia. This study aims to analyze the agendas, actions, and interrelations of these various actors from 2011 until the present. It will discuss their ongoing politics and assess forthcoming developments. Both Iran and Russia continue to support Bashar, but compete for political, military, and economic influence. The US has greatly reduced involvement, keeping only 900 troops in northeastern Syria, to protect its Kurdish allies and fight against ISIS. Turkey still occupies parts of northern Syria, with the aim of eliminating the Kurdish forces. Syrian and Russian military attempts to conquer this area continue sporadically. The Israeli air force has attacked Iranian and Hizballah positions with the tacit approval of Russia. However, Russias war on Ukraine in February 2022 may result in restricting Israeli interdictions and instead enhance cooperation with Tehran in order to counter the US and NATO. Both Russia and Iran have been incapable of reconstructing the massively destroyed Syrian infrastructure; the US and Europe are reluctant to contribute due to Bashars continued Alawi minority-based autocratic and corrupt rul | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents Preface List ofAbbreviations vii viii Introduction The Internal War Continues 1 1 The Struggle for Power (1946-1963) Ba’athist Military Officersat the Helm (1963-2000) 3 4 2 Bashar in Power: From the Damascus Spring to Bloody Conflict Developments and Critical Factors of the Civil War Internal Opposition to Bashar: Fragmentation and Partial Defeats 9 10 12 The Syrian Kurds: Repression, Revolution, and Durability Kurds under Bashar 17 4 The Role of Regional Powers: Turkey and Syria 23 5 The Iran-Shi i Role Historical Background Bashar Al-Asad’s Policy toward Iran The Russian Challenge Iran Faces in Syria Russian-Iranian-Israeli Relations The Iranian-Turkish Balance Sheet 27 28 29 31 32 33 6 Attitudes of Arab States Damascus and Baghdad - Rivalry and Cooperation Lebanon’s Role Saudi Arabia’s Role 37 38 40 43 3 19
CONTENTS Egypt’s Role Jordan’s Role 7 Syria s Relations with Israel Bashar’s Period (2000-Present) 44 46 51 56 8 The Role of the United States Historical Background The Sour Bush-Bashar Relations Obama and the Syrian Civil War Trump’s Strategy toward Syria US-Arab Allies and Israel Biden’s Policy 61 61 68 69 71 72 74 9 Russia s Strategic Interests in Syria The Era of the Soviet Union Putin and Bashar Iran, Hizballah, and Russia Russian-Iranian Relations Russia-Turkey Relations Putin and Turkey’s Intentions Russia, the US, and Israel Israeli Involvement Russian Attitudes toward Jews and Israel Russia and Israel Iran’s Influence on the Syrian Army 77 79 82 84 84 87 87 89 90 90 92 93 10 Diplomacy and a New Constitution Russia, The Arab League, and Arab States A New Constitution Reconstruction 95 95 97 99 Conclusion Future Prospects 101 Appendix: List of Movements and Factions; Artistic Activism against the Asad Regime; Human Rights Violations and War Crimes 107-125 Notes, Bibliography, Index 127-165 vi
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adam_txt |
Contents Preface List ofAbbreviations vii viii Introduction The Internal War Continues 1 1 The Struggle for Power (1946-1963) Ba’athist Military Officersat the Helm (1963-2000) 3 4 2 Bashar in Power: From the "Damascus Spring" to Bloody Conflict Developments and Critical Factors of the Civil War Internal Opposition to Bashar: Fragmentation and Partial Defeats 9 10 12 The Syrian Kurds: Repression, Revolution, and Durability Kurds under Bashar 17 4 The Role of Regional Powers: Turkey and Syria 23 5 The Iran-Shi'i Role Historical Background Bashar Al-Asad’s Policy toward Iran The Russian Challenge Iran Faces in Syria Russian-Iranian-Israeli Relations The Iranian-Turkish Balance Sheet 27 28 29 31 32 33 6 Attitudes of Arab States Damascus and Baghdad - Rivalry and Cooperation Lebanon’s Role Saudi Arabia’s Role 37 38 40 43 3 19
CONTENTS Egypt’s Role Jordan’s Role 7 Syria's Relations with Israel Bashar’s Period (2000-Present) 44 46 51 56 8 The Role of the United States Historical Background The Sour Bush-Bashar Relations Obama and the Syrian Civil War Trump’s Strategy toward Syria US-Arab Allies and Israel Biden’s Policy 61 61 68 69 71 72 74 9 Russia's Strategic Interests in Syria The Era of the Soviet Union Putin and Bashar Iran, Hizballah, and Russia Russian-Iranian Relations Russia-Turkey Relations Putin and Turkey’s Intentions Russia, the US, and Israel Israeli Involvement Russian Attitudes toward Jews and Israel Russia and Israel Iran’s Influence on the Syrian Army 77 79 82 84 84 87 87 89 90 90 92 93 10 Diplomacy and a New Constitution Russia, The Arab League, and Arab States A New Constitution Reconstruction 95 95 97 99 Conclusion Future Prospects 101 Appendix: List of Movements and Factions; Artistic Activism against the Asad Regime; Human Rights Violations and War Crimes 107-125 Notes, Bibliography, Index 127-165 vi |
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spelling | Maʿoz, Mosheh 1935- Verfasser (DE-588)131790544 aut Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers Moshe Ma'oz Liverpool Liverpool University Press 2023 viii, 165 Seiten Illustrationen 23 cm txt rdacontent sti rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier In 2011, the diplomatic and expert consensus was that Bashar al-Asads regime would fail, causing Syria to disintegrate into several ethnic enclaves or mini-states. A decade later and Bashar is still in control, having defeated the rebels and gained the support of Russia. The years of internal warfare have brought about changes in the spectrum of parties involved in the Syrian state, and the final outcome is inevitably going to be shaped by geo-politics. The Alawi minority still in large measure controls the Sunni-Muslim (Arab) majority. The other players are a gallery of ever changing allegiances: ISIS, Jabhat al-Nusra, and many other radical Islamic groups; the Muslim Kurdish and Christian Arab communities; as well as Shii Lebanese Hizballah. External horizon players are Iran; Sunni Turkey and Saudi Arabia; Jewish Israel; the United States and Russia. This study aims to analyze the agendas, actions, and interrelations of these various actors from 2011 until the present. It will discuss their ongoing politics and assess forthcoming developments. Both Iran and Russia continue to support Bashar, but compete for political, military, and economic influence. The US has greatly reduced involvement, keeping only 900 troops in northeastern Syria, to protect its Kurdish allies and fight against ISIS. Turkey still occupies parts of northern Syria, with the aim of eliminating the Kurdish forces. Syrian and Russian military attempts to conquer this area continue sporadically. The Israeli air force has attacked Iranian and Hizballah positions with the tacit approval of Russia. However, Russias war on Ukraine in February 2022 may result in restricting Israeli interdictions and instead enhance cooperation with Tehran in order to counter the US and NATO. Both Russia and Iran have been incapable of reconstructing the massively destroyed Syrian infrastructure; the US and Europe are reluctant to contribute due to Bashars continued Alawi minority-based autocratic and corrupt rul Asad, Baššār al 1965- (DE-588)129516678 gnd rswk-swf Geschichte 2000-2022 gnd rswk-swf Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd rswk-swf Syrien (DE-588)4058794-0 gnd rswk-swf Assad, Bashar / 1965- / https://isni.org/isni/0000000114877178 Syria / Politics and government / 2000- Syria / Foreign relations / 21st century Syria / History / Civil War, 2011- Assad, Bashar / 1965- Diplomatic relations Politics and government Syria Since 2000 History Asad, Baššār al 1965- (DE-588)129516678 p Syrien (DE-588)4058794-0 g Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 s Geschichte 2000-2022 z DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-1-78284-786-1 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034226423&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Maʿoz, Mosheh 1935- Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers Asad, Baššār al 1965- (DE-588)129516678 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)129516678 (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4058794-0 |
title | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers |
title_auth | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers |
title_exact_search | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers |
title_exact_search_txtP | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers |
title_full | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers Moshe Ma'oz |
title_fullStr | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers Moshe Ma'oz |
title_full_unstemmed | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers Moshe Ma'oz |
title_short | Asad's autocratic dynasty in Syria |
title_sort | asad s autocratic dynasty in syria civil war and the role of regional and global powers |
title_sub | civil war and the role of regional and global powers |
topic | Asad, Baššār al 1965- (DE-588)129516678 gnd Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd |
topic_facet | Asad, Baššār al 1965- Internationale Politik Syrien |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=034226423&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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