Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements:
The dramatic increase in Chinese power and military capabilities over the past two decades has prompted numerous calls for U.S. policymakers, and the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) in particular, to reevaluate their approach to the Indo-Pacific region, including changes to U.S. military posture. T...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, Calif.
RAND Corporation
2022
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Schlagworte: | |
Zusammenfassung: | The dramatic increase in Chinese power and military capabilities over the past two decades has prompted numerous calls for U.S. policymakers, and the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) in particular, to reevaluate their approach to the Indo-Pacific region, including changes to U.S. military posture. This report provides a framework for assessing likely Chinese reactions to planned or proposed posture enhancements in the Indo-Pacific region. The authors demonstrate how U.S. Army and other military planners can apply the framework to assess an enhancement's likely deterrent value and whether it may induce aggressive People's Republic of China (PRC) responses. Although the framework cannot provide definitive predictions regarding specific Chinese reactions, it helps to ensure consideration of the factors and characteristics most directly linked with Chinese perceptions and behavior. The framework contains three main components. First, it identifies the key factors that appear to drive Chinese thinking and reactions. Second, it assesses how the characteristics of U.S. posture enhancements-their location, the U.S. allies or partners involved, their military capabilities, and the public profile or messaging that accompanies them-may affect Chinese reactions through each key factor. Third, the framework provides a typology of potential Chinese reactions, organized by their level of intensity. The authors apply the framework to three hypothetical U.S. posture enhancements to demonstrate its use and offer insights and recommendations for DoD and Army planners and policymakers |
Beschreibung: | XIII, 227 Seiten Diagramme (farbig) |
ISBN: | 9781977409690 |
Internformat
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505 | 8 | |a CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- CHAPTER TWO: Key Factors That Affect Chinese Responses to U.S. Posture Enhancements -- CHAPTER THREE: Characteristics of U.S. Posture Enhancements That Affect Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FOUR: Typology of Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FIVE: Applying the Framework to Illustrative Posture Options -- CHAPTER SIX: Conclusion -- APPENDIX A: Expanded Data on U.S. Defense Posture History in the Indo-Pacific, 1949-2020 -- APPENDIX B: Excluded Factors | |
520 | 3 | |a The dramatic increase in Chinese power and military capabilities over the past two decades has prompted numerous calls for U.S. policymakers, and the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) in particular, to reevaluate their approach to the Indo-Pacific region, including changes to U.S. military posture. This report provides a framework for assessing likely Chinese reactions to planned or proposed posture enhancements in the Indo-Pacific region. The authors demonstrate how U.S. Army and other military planners can apply the framework to assess an enhancement's likely deterrent value and whether it may induce aggressive People's Republic of China (PRC) responses. Although the framework cannot provide definitive predictions regarding specific Chinese reactions, it helps to ensure consideration of the factors and characteristics most directly linked with Chinese perceptions and behavior. The framework contains three main components. First, it identifies the key factors that appear to drive Chinese thinking and reactions. Second, it assesses how the characteristics of U.S. posture enhancements-their location, the U.S. allies or partners involved, their military capabilities, and the public profile or messaging that accompanies them-may affect Chinese reactions through each key factor. Third, the framework provides a typology of potential Chinese reactions, organized by their level of intensity. The authors apply the framework to three hypothetical U.S. posture enhancements to demonstrate its use and offer insights and recommendations for DoD and Army planners and policymakers | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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author | Gunness, Kristen |
author_GND | (DE-588)1201134676 |
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contents | CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- CHAPTER TWO: Key Factors That Affect Chinese Responses to U.S. Posture Enhancements -- CHAPTER THREE: Characteristics of U.S. Posture Enhancements That Affect Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FOUR: Typology of Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FIVE: Applying the Framework to Illustrative Posture Options -- CHAPTER SIX: Conclusion -- APPENDIX A: Expanded Data on U.S. Defense Posture History in the Indo-Pacific, 1949-2020 -- APPENDIX B: Excluded Factors |
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spelling | Gunness, Kristen Verfasser (DE-588)1201134676 aut Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements Kristen Gunness ... [and 14 others] Santa Monica, Calif. RAND Corporation 2022 XIII, 227 Seiten Diagramme (farbig) txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- CHAPTER TWO: Key Factors That Affect Chinese Responses to U.S. Posture Enhancements -- CHAPTER THREE: Characteristics of U.S. Posture Enhancements That Affect Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FOUR: Typology of Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FIVE: Applying the Framework to Illustrative Posture Options -- CHAPTER SIX: Conclusion -- APPENDIX A: Expanded Data on U.S. Defense Posture History in the Indo-Pacific, 1949-2020 -- APPENDIX B: Excluded Factors The dramatic increase in Chinese power and military capabilities over the past two decades has prompted numerous calls for U.S. policymakers, and the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) in particular, to reevaluate their approach to the Indo-Pacific region, including changes to U.S. military posture. This report provides a framework for assessing likely Chinese reactions to planned or proposed posture enhancements in the Indo-Pacific region. The authors demonstrate how U.S. Army and other military planners can apply the framework to assess an enhancement's likely deterrent value and whether it may induce aggressive People's Republic of China (PRC) responses. Although the framework cannot provide definitive predictions regarding specific Chinese reactions, it helps to ensure consideration of the factors and characteristics most directly linked with Chinese perceptions and behavior. The framework contains three main components. First, it identifies the key factors that appear to drive Chinese thinking and reactions. Second, it assesses how the characteristics of U.S. posture enhancements-their location, the U.S. allies or partners involved, their military capabilities, and the public profile or messaging that accompanies them-may affect Chinese reactions through each key factor. Third, the framework provides a typology of potential Chinese reactions, organized by their level of intensity. The authors apply the framework to three hypothetical U.S. posture enhancements to demonstrate its use and offer insights and recommendations for DoD and Army planners and policymakers Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Indopazifik (DE-588)4026762-3 gnd rswk-swf China (DE-588)4009937-4 gnd rswk-swf World politics / 21st century / Forecasting China / Foreign relations / United States / 21st century China / Military policy / 21st century United States / Foreign relations / China / 21st century United States / Military policy / 21st century Diplomatic relations Military policy World politics / Forecasting China United States 2000-2099 USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 s Indopazifik (DE-588)4026762-3 g China (DE-588)4009937-4 g DE-604 |
spellingShingle | Gunness, Kristen Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- CHAPTER TWO: Key Factors That Affect Chinese Responses to U.S. Posture Enhancements -- CHAPTER THREE: Characteristics of U.S. Posture Enhancements That Affect Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FOUR: Typology of Chinese Responses -- CHAPTER FIVE: Applying the Framework to Illustrative Posture Options -- CHAPTER SIX: Conclusion -- APPENDIX A: Expanded Data on U.S. Defense Posture History in the Indo-Pacific, 1949-2020 -- APPENDIX B: Excluded Factors Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4065004-2 (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-588)4026762-3 (DE-588)4009937-4 |
title | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements |
title_auth | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements |
title_exact_search | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements |
title_exact_search_txtP | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements |
title_full | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements Kristen Gunness ... [and 14 others] |
title_fullStr | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements Kristen Gunness ... [and 14 others] |
title_full_unstemmed | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements Kristen Gunness ... [and 14 others] |
title_short | Anticipating Chinese reactions to U.S. posture enhancements |
title_sort | anticipating chinese reactions to u s posture enhancements |
topic | Militärpolitik (DE-588)4065004-2 gnd |
topic_facet | Militärpolitik USA Indopazifik China |
work_keys_str_mv | AT gunnesskristen anticipatingchinesereactionstouspostureenhancements |