Holdings: Oil and the world economy

Oil and the world economy: some possible futures

This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for l...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Kumhof, Michael (Author)
Format:	Electronic eBook
Language:	English
Published:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2012
Series:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 12/256
Subjects:	BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Industries / General Energy consumption / Econometric models Petroleum products / Prices / Econometric models Industrie Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Petroleum products Economic geography Petroleum products > Prices > Econometric models Energy consumption > Econometric models
Online Access:	BSB01 FAN01 FHA01 FKE01 FLA01 FLA01 FNU01 LCO01 SBG01 SBR01 TUM01 UBA01 UBG01 UBM01 UBR01 UBT01 UBW01 UBY01 UEI01 UER01 UPA01 Volltext
Summary:	This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult
Physical Description:	1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten)
ISBN:	9781475539974 1475539975 1475586647 9781475586640
ISSN:	1018-5941

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id	DE-604.BV048358288
illustrated	Not Illustrated
index_date	2024-07-03T20:14:04Z
indexdate	2024-07-10T09:35:52Z
institution	BVB
institution_GND	(DE-588)1013082-2
isbn	9781475539974 1475539975 1475586647 9781475586640
issn	1018-5941
language	English
oai_aleph_id	oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033737524
oclc_num	815561883 1337123320
open_access_boolean
owner	DE-20 DE-824 DE-70 DE-155 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-22 DE-BY-UBG DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-1102 DE-703 DE-859 DE-706 DE-384 DE-860 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-Aug4 DE-1049 DE-12 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM
owner_facet	DE-20 DE-824 DE-70 DE-155 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-22 DE-BY-UBG DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-1102 DE-703 DE-859 DE-706 DE-384 DE-860 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-Aug4 DE-1049 DE-12 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM
physical	1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten)
psigel	ZDB-1-IMF ZDB-38-ESG ZDB-30-PAD ZDB-30-PBE ZDB-4-EBU ZDB-4-EBU FLA_PDA_EBU
publishDate	2012
publishDateSearch	2012
publishDateSort	2012
publisher	International Monetary Fund
record_format	marc
series2	IMF Working Papers
spelling	Kumhof, Michael Verfasser (DE-588)124774776 aut Oil and the world economy some possible futures Michael Kumhof and Dirk Muir Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2012 1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 12/256 1018-5941 This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult Online-Ausg BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Industries / General bisacsh Energy consumption / Econometric models fast Petroleum products / Prices / Econometric models fast Industrie Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Petroleum products Economic geography Petroleum products Prices Econometric models Energy consumption Econometric models Muir, Dirk Sonstige (DE-588)131390813 oth Internationaler Währungsfonds Sonstige (DE-588)1013082-2 oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/20062-9781475586640/20062-9781475586640/20062-9781475586640.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Kumhof, Michael Oil and the world economy some possible futures BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Industries / General bisacsh Energy consumption / Econometric models fast Petroleum products / Prices / Econometric models fast Industrie Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Petroleum products Economic geography Petroleum products Prices Econometric models Energy consumption Econometric models
title	Oil and the world economy some possible futures
title_auth	Oil and the world economy some possible futures
title_exact_search	Oil and the world economy some possible futures
title_exact_search_txtP	Oil and the world economy some possible futures
title_full	Oil and the world economy some possible futures Michael Kumhof and Dirk Muir
title_fullStr	Oil and the world economy some possible futures Michael Kumhof and Dirk Muir
title_full_unstemmed	Oil and the world economy some possible futures Michael Kumhof and Dirk Muir
title_short	Oil and the world economy
title_sort	oil and the world economy some possible futures
title_sub	some possible futures
topic	BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Industries / General bisacsh Energy consumption / Econometric models fast Petroleum products / Prices / Econometric models fast Industrie Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Petroleum products Economic geography Petroleum products Prices Econometric models Energy consumption Econometric models
topic_facet	BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Industries / General Energy consumption / Econometric models Petroleum products / Prices / Econometric models Industrie Wirtschaft Ökonometrisches Modell Petroleum products Economic geography Petroleum products Prices Econometric models Energy consumption Econometric models
url	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/20062-9781475586640/20062-9781475586640/20062-9781475586640.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT kumhofmichael oilandtheworldeconomysomepossiblefutures AT muirdirk oilandtheworldeconomysomepossiblefutures AT internationalerwahrungsfonds oilandtheworldeconomysomepossiblefutures

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