Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises: The Role of Early Warning Systems
Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. T...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2000
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Schriftenreihe: | Occasional Papers
Occasional Paper No. 186 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (39 p) |
ISBN: | 155775828X 9781557758286 |
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spelling | Pattillo, Catherine A. Verfasser aut Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems Pattillo, Catherine A Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2000 1 Online-Ressource (39 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Occasional Papers Occasional Paper No. 186 Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg Online-Ausg Berg, Andrew Sonstige oth Borensztein, Eduardo Sonstige oth Milesi-Ferretti, Gian-Maria Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF084/00344-9781557758286/00344-9781557758286/00344-9781557758286.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Pattillo, Catherine A. Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems |
title | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems |
title_auth | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems |
title_exact_search | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems |
title_exact_search_txtP | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems |
title_full | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems Pattillo, Catherine A |
title_fullStr | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems Pattillo, Catherine A |
title_full_unstemmed | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises The Role of Early Warning Systems Pattillo, Catherine A |
title_short | Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises |
title_sort | anticipating balance of payments crises the role of early warning systems |
title_sub | The Role of Early Warning Systems |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF084/00344-9781557758286/00344-9781557758286/00344-9781557758286.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT pattillocatherinea anticipatingbalanceofpaymentscrisestheroleofearlywarningsystems AT bergandrew anticipatingbalanceofpaymentscrisestheroleofearlywarningsystems AT borenszteineduardo anticipatingbalanceofpaymentscrisestheroleofearlywarningsystems AT milesiferrettigianmaria anticipatingbalanceofpaymentscrisestheroleofearlywarningsystems |