Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence:
The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead to credit booms and rising output, and the evidence appears to go their way. To reconci...
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1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2015
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 15 / 226
|
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead to credit booms and rising output, and the evidence appears to go their way. To reconcile theory and reality, we extend the set of assets included in the Mundell-Fleming model to include both bonds and non-bonds. at a given policy rate, inflows may decrease the rate on non-bonds, reducing the cost of financial intermediation, potentially offsetting the contractionary impact of appreciation. We explore the implications theoretically and empirically, and find support for the key predictions in the data |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (24 p) |
ISBN: | 1513500805 9781513500805 |
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record_format | marc |
series2 | IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 15 / 226 |
spelling | Blanchard, Olivier J. Verfasser aut Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence Blanchard, Olivier J Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2015 1 Online-Ressource (24 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 15 / 226 The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead to credit booms and rising output, and the evidence appears to go their way. To reconcile theory and reality, we extend the set of assets included in the Mundell-Fleming model to include both bonds and non-bonds. at a given policy rate, inflows may decrease the rate on non-bonds, reducing the cost of financial intermediation, potentially offsetting the contractionary impact of appreciation. We explore the implications theoretically and empirically, and find support for the key predictions in the data Online-Ausg Chamon, Marcos Sonstige oth Ghosh, Atish R. Sonstige oth Ostry, Jonathan David Sonstige oth http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22903-9781513500805/22903-9781513500805/22903-9781513500805.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Blanchard, Olivier J. Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence |
title | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence |
title_auth | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence |
title_exact_search | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence |
title_exact_search_txtP | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence |
title_full | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence Blanchard, Olivier J |
title_fullStr | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence Blanchard, Olivier J |
title_full_unstemmed | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence Blanchard, Olivier J |
title_short | Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence |
title_sort | are capital inflows expansionary or contractionary theory policy implications and some evidence |
url | http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22903-9781513500805/22903-9781513500805/22903-9781513500805.xml |
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