A New Methodology for Estimating the Output Gap in the United States:

The gap between potential and actual output-the output gap-is a key variable for policymaking. This paper adapts the methodology developed in Blagrave and others (2015) to estimate the path of output gap in the U.S. economy. The results show that the output gap has considerably shrunk since the Grea...

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1. Verfasser: Alichi, Ali (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2015
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 15 / 144
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Zusammenfassung:The gap between potential and actual output-the output gap-is a key variable for policymaking. This paper adapts the methodology developed in Blagrave and others (2015) to estimate the path of output gap in the U.S. economy. The results show that the output gap has considerably shrunk since the Great Recession, but still remains negative. While the results are more robust than other existing methodologies, there is still significant uncertainty surrounding the estimates
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (17 p)
ISBN:1513507567
9781513507569

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