How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates?:
This paper uses a dataset on private-sector risk aversion as well as expectations of long-run growth and debt to explain trends in implied forward rates on government bonds in the G-7 countries. The results show, consistent with the literature, that a one-percent rise in the long-run projected debt-...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2015
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 15/94 |
| Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 URL des Erstveröffentlichers |
| Zusammenfassung: | This paper uses a dataset on private-sector risk aversion as well as expectations of long-run growth and debt to explain trends in implied forward rates on government bonds in the G-7 countries. The results show, consistent with the literature, that a one-percent rise in the long-run projected debt-to-GDP ratio causes an increase in bond yields of a relatively modest 1-to-6 basis points. Shocks to growth expectations and risk aversion have been comparatively more successful in explaining the behavior of long-term rates. The findings imply that growth policies rather than long-run projections of fiscal outcomes may be more important in helping influence long-term borrowing costs |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (27 p) |
| ISBN: | 1484358600 9781484358603 |
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| spelling | Rafiq, Sohrab Verfasser aut How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? Rafiq, Sohrab Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2015 1 Online-Ressource (27 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 15/94 This paper uses a dataset on private-sector risk aversion as well as expectations of long-run growth and debt to explain trends in implied forward rates on government bonds in the G-7 countries. The results show, consistent with the literature, that a one-percent rise in the long-run projected debt-to-GDP ratio causes an increase in bond yields of a relatively modest 1-to-6 basis points. Shocks to growth expectations and risk aversion have been comparatively more successful in explaining the behavior of long-term rates. The findings imply that growth policies rather than long-run projections of fiscal outcomes may be more important in helping influence long-term borrowing costs Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22517-9781484358603/22517-9781484358603/22517-9781484358603.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Rafiq, Sohrab How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? |
| title | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? |
| title_auth | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? |
| title_exact_search | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? |
| title_exact_search_txtP | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? |
| title_full | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? Rafiq, Sohrab |
| title_fullStr | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? Rafiq, Sohrab |
| title_full_unstemmed | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? Rafiq, Sohrab |
| title_short | How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates? |
| title_sort | how important are debt and growth expectations for interest rates |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22517-9781484358603/22517-9781484358603/22517-9781484358603.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT rafiqsohrab howimportantaredebtandgrowthexpectationsforinterestrates |