Verfügbarkeit: Uncertainty and Unemployment

Uncertainty and Unemployment: The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels

We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and comp...

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1. Verfasser:	Choi, Sangyup (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2015
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 15 / 36
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with the impact dissipating within a year. In contrast, sectoral uncertainty has a long-lived impact on unemployment, with the peak impact occurring after two years. The results are consistent with a view that the impact of aggregate uncertainty occurs through a "wait-and-see" mechanism while increased sectoral uncertainty raises unemployment by requiring greater reallocation across sectors
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (26 p)
ISBN:	1498356303 9781498356305

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spelling	Choi, Sangyup Verfasser aut Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels Choi, Sangyup Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2015 1 Online-Ressource (26 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 15 / 36 We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with the impact dissipating within a year. In contrast, sectoral uncertainty has a long-lived impact on unemployment, with the peak impact occurring after two years. The results are consistent with a view that the impact of aggregate uncertainty occurs through a "wait-and-see" mechanism while increased sectoral uncertainty raises unemployment by requiring greater reallocation across sectors Online-Ausg Loungani, Prakash Sonstige oth http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22370-9781498356305/22370-9781498356305/22370-9781498356305.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Choi, Sangyup Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
title	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
title_auth	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
title_exact_search	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
title_exact_search_txtP	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
title_full	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels Choi, Sangyup
title_fullStr	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels Choi, Sangyup
title_full_unstemmed	Uncertainty and Unemployment The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels Choi, Sangyup
title_short	Uncertainty and Unemployment
title_sort	uncertainty and unemployment the effects of aggregate and sectoral channels
title_sub	The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
url	http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22370-9781498356305/22370-9781498356305/22370-9781498356305.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT choisangyup uncertaintyandunemploymenttheeffectsofaggregateandsectoralchannels AT lounganiprakash uncertaintyandunemploymenttheeffectsofaggregateandsectoralchannels

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