Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro:
KEY ISSUES Context: Moderate growth is continuing; however credit and wage growth are weak. The level of nonperforming loans (NPLs) remains high and public debt has risen sharply in recent years. Fiscal policy: Medium-term funding needs to roll over existing debt and to fund budget deficits are larg...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
---|---|
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
20150204
|
Ausgabe: | International Monetary Fund. European Dept. ed |
Schriftenreihe: | IMF Staff Country Reports
Country Report No. 15/26 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | KEY ISSUES Context: Moderate growth is continuing; however credit and wage growth are weak. The level of nonperforming loans (NPLs) remains high and public debt has risen sharply in recent years. Fiscal policy: Medium-term funding needs to roll over existing debt and to fund budget deficits are large. A new highway, budgeted to cost about one quarter of GDP, will cause deficits to widen and add to public debt. The draft 2015 budget shows appropriate restraint on other spending, but a long period of strong fiscal discipline will be needed to manage fiscal risks. Laying out clear long-term plans for managing the public finances would boost credibility and reduce risks to market access. Fundamental expenditure reform, especially of the pension system and the public sector wage bill, would be an essential part of such plans. Financial sector: The banking system's liquidity appears comfortable; however, profitability is low and lending spreads are high. Regulatory provisioning is set higher than that reported under international accounting standards, but a wide range of provisioning levels across banks and weak incentives to take losses remain concerns. A more transparent and comprehensive reporting environment would be beneficial. Reforms to ensure better enforcement of contracts and collateral would help bring down structural lending risk premia. Structural reform: Higher levels of labor participation and employment are needed to boost potential growth and safeguard the public finances. Ensuring that wages adjust in line with productivity alongside reforms to achieve better employment outcomes and boost productivity would enhance the economy's ability to respond to macroeconomic shocks, and are even more important in a country that lacks its own currency and with decreasing fiscal buffers |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (64 p) |
ISBN: | 1498329071 9781498329071 |
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owner_facet | DE-20 DE-824 DE-70 DE-155 DE-BY-UBR DE-29 DE-22 DE-BY-UBG DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-1102 DE-703 DE-859 DE-706 DE-384 DE-860 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-Aug4 DE-1049 DE-12 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
physical | 1 Online-Ressource (64 p) |
psigel | ZDB-1-IMF |
publishDate | 2015 |
publishDateSearch | 2015 |
publishDateSort | 2015 |
publisher | International Monetary Fund |
record_format | marc |
series2 | IMF Staff Country Reports |
spelling | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro International Monetary Fund. European Dept. ed Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 20150204 1 Online-Ressource (64 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Staff Country Reports Country Report No. 15/26 KEY ISSUES Context: Moderate growth is continuing; however credit and wage growth are weak. The level of nonperforming loans (NPLs) remains high and public debt has risen sharply in recent years. Fiscal policy: Medium-term funding needs to roll over existing debt and to fund budget deficits are large. A new highway, budgeted to cost about one quarter of GDP, will cause deficits to widen and add to public debt. The draft 2015 budget shows appropriate restraint on other spending, but a long period of strong fiscal discipline will be needed to manage fiscal risks. Laying out clear long-term plans for managing the public finances would boost credibility and reduce risks to market access. Fundamental expenditure reform, especially of the pension system and the public sector wage bill, would be an essential part of such plans. Financial sector: The banking system's liquidity appears comfortable; however, profitability is low and lending spreads are high. Regulatory provisioning is set higher than that reported under international accounting standards, but a wide range of provisioning levels across banks and weak incentives to take losses remain concerns. A more transparent and comprehensive reporting environment would be beneficial. Reforms to ensure better enforcement of contracts and collateral would help bring down structural lending risk premia. Structural reform: Higher levels of labor participation and employment are needed to boost potential growth and safeguard the public finances. Ensuring that wages adjust in line with productivity alongside reforms to achieve better employment outcomes and boost productivity would enhance the economy's ability to respond to macroeconomic shocks, and are even more important in a country that lacks its own currency and with decreasing fiscal buffers Online-Ausg http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF002/22331-9781498329071/22331-9781498329071/22331-9781498329071.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_auth | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_exact_search | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_exact_search_txtP | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_full | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_fullStr | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_full_unstemmed | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_short | Montenegro: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro |
title_sort | montenegro 2014 article iv consultation staff report press release and statement by the executive director for montenegro |
url | http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF002/22331-9781498329071/22331-9781498329071/22331-9781498329071.xml |