Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead?
Following very strong growth during the period 2000-12, emerging market economies (EMEs) experienced a slowdown in the last couple of years. This paper examines the supply-side drivers of the strong growth performance of 63 EMEs and investigates if the recent slowdown in growth is transitory or a mo...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2014
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 14/205 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Following very strong growth during the period 2000-12, emerging market economies (EMEs) experienced a slowdown in the last couple of years. This paper examines the supply-side drivers of the strong growth performance of 63 EMEs and investigates if the recent slowdown in growth is transitory or a more permanent phenomenon. We find that on average the recent slowdown is explained equally by structural and cyclical factors, although there are large variations across countries and regions. While the cyclical component of the slowdown can be corrected by countercyclical policies (provided that there is sufficient policy space), structural bottlenecks are harder to address. Given the expected moderation of capital accumulation and some natural constraints on labor, the strong growth momentum of 2000-12 is unlikely to be repeated going forward, unless TFP performance improves significantly via structural reforms |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (23 p) |
ISBN: | 1498304710 9781498304719 |
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index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:36Z |
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spelling | Tsounta, Evridiki Verfasser aut Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? Tsounta, Evridiki Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2014 1 Online-Ressource (23 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 14/205 Following very strong growth during the period 2000-12, emerging market economies (EMEs) experienced a slowdown in the last couple of years. This paper examines the supply-side drivers of the strong growth performance of 63 EMEs and investigates if the recent slowdown in growth is transitory or a more permanent phenomenon. We find that on average the recent slowdown is explained equally by structural and cyclical factors, although there are large variations across countries and regions. While the cyclical component of the slowdown can be corrected by countercyclical policies (provided that there is sufficient policy space), structural bottlenecks are harder to address. Given the expected moderation of capital accumulation and some natural constraints on labor, the strong growth momentum of 2000-12 is unlikely to be repeated going forward, unless TFP performance improves significantly via structural reforms Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22138-9781498304719/22138-9781498304719/22138-9781498304719.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Tsounta, Evridiki Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? |
title | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? |
title_auth | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? |
title_exact_search | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? |
title_exact_search_txtP | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? |
title_full | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? Tsounta, Evridiki |
title_fullStr | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? Tsounta, Evridiki |
title_full_unstemmed | Slowdown in Emerging Markets Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? Tsounta, Evridiki |
title_short | Slowdown in Emerging Markets |
title_sort | slowdown in emerging markets sign of a bumpy road ahead |
title_sub | Sign of a Bumpy Road Ahead? |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/22138-9781498304719/22138-9781498304719/22138-9781498304719.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT tsountaevridiki slowdowninemergingmarketssignofabumpyroadahead |