Verfügbarkeit: Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance

Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance:

Unanticipated changes in commodity prices can generate significant movements in fiscal aggregates. This paper seeks to understand the dynamics of these fiscal movements in the context of transitory commodity price shocks using sample data from four CIS countries- two oil-producing and two non-oil co...

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1. Verfasser:	Kumah, Francis Y. (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2005
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 05/171
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Zusammenfassung:	Unanticipated changes in commodity prices can generate significant movements in fiscal aggregates. This paper seeks to understand the dynamics of these fiscal movements in the context of transitory commodity price shocks using sample data from four CIS countries- two oil-producing and two non-oil commodity-intensive countries. It adopts a structural VAR approach and identifies the dynamic effects of commodity price shocks on fiscal performance under two broad tax regimes. Stochastic simulations indicate high probabilities of fiscal overperformance in the short term when commodity prices are high. These probabilities deteriorate significantly, however, in the long term after the transitory positive commodity price shock has dissipated, particularly when lax fiscal policy is adopted during the period of the price boom
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (35 p)
ISBN:	1451861907 9781451861907

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spelling	Kumah, Francis Y. Verfasser aut Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance Kumah, Francis Y Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2005 1 Online-Ressource (35 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 05/171 Unanticipated changes in commodity prices can generate significant movements in fiscal aggregates. This paper seeks to understand the dynamics of these fiscal movements in the context of transitory commodity price shocks using sample data from four CIS countries- two oil-producing and two non-oil commodity-intensive countries. It adopts a structural VAR approach and identifies the dynamic effects of commodity price shocks on fiscal performance under two broad tax regimes. Stochastic simulations indicate high probabilities of fiscal overperformance in the short term when commodity prices are high. These probabilities deteriorate significantly, however, in the long term after the transitory positive commodity price shock has dissipated, particularly when lax fiscal policy is adopted during the period of the price boom Online-Ausg Matovu, John Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01294-9781451861907/01294-9781451861907/01294-9781451861907.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Kumah, Francis Y. Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
title	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
title_auth	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
title_exact_search	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
title_exact_search_txtP	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
title_full	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance Kumah, Francis Y
title_fullStr	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance Kumah, Francis Y
title_full_unstemmed	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance Kumah, Francis Y
title_short	Commodity Price Shocks and the Oddson Fiscal Performance
title_sort	commodity price shocks and the oddson fiscal performance
url	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01294-9781451861907/01294-9781451861907/01294-9781451861907.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT kumahfrancisy commoditypriceshocksandtheoddsonfiscalperformance AT matovujohn commoditypriceshocksandtheoddsonfiscalperformance

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