Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland: A Sectoral Panel Analysis
Analyzing and projecting the behavior of macroeconomic variables in new EU member states presents special challenges, owing to limited time series of the available data. This paper presents an analysis of investment in Poland based on an underexplored sectoral data set. The determinants of investmen...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2005
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 05/184 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Analyzing and projecting the behavior of macroeconomic variables in new EU member states presents special challenges, owing to limited time series of the available data. This paper presents an analysis of investment in Poland based on an underexplored sectoral data set. The determinants of investment are found to include lagged investment, lead production, relative unit labor costs, EU demand, corporate profitability, and greenfield FDI (foreign direct investment) inflows. Dynamic in-sample simulations indicate some overinvestment in 1997 compared with what the model would suggest, and a substantial underinvestment during 2000-2004. The model is then used to project future investment: while rapid investment growth is likely, it remains uncertain whether investment as a share of GDP will reach its peak levels on the late 1990s |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (31 p) |
ISBN: | 1451862032 9781451862034 |
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spelling | Murgasova, Zuzana Verfasser aut Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis Murgasova, Zuzana Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2005 1 Online-Ressource (31 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 05/184 Analyzing and projecting the behavior of macroeconomic variables in new EU member states presents special challenges, owing to limited time series of the available data. This paper presents an analysis of investment in Poland based on an underexplored sectoral data set. The determinants of investment are found to include lagged investment, lead production, relative unit labor costs, EU demand, corporate profitability, and greenfield FDI (foreign direct investment) inflows. Dynamic in-sample simulations indicate some overinvestment in 1997 compared with what the model would suggest, and a substantial underinvestment during 2000-2004. The model is then used to project future investment: while rapid investment growth is likely, it remains uncertain whether investment as a share of GDP will reach its peak levels on the late 1990s Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05358-9781451862034/05358-9781451862034/05358-9781451862034.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Murgasova, Zuzana Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis |
title | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis |
title_auth | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis |
title_exact_search | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis |
title_exact_search_txtP | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis |
title_full | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis Murgasova, Zuzana |
title_fullStr | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis Murgasova, Zuzana |
title_full_unstemmed | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland A Sectoral Panel Analysis Murgasova, Zuzana |
title_short | Post-Transition Investment Behavior in Poland |
title_sort | post transition investment behavior in poland a sectoral panel analysis |
title_sub | A Sectoral Panel Analysis |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05358-9781451862034/05358-9781451862034/05358-9781451862034.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT murgasovazuzana posttransitioninvestmentbehaviorinpolandasectoralpanelanalysis |