On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules:
Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (""fixed surplus rule"") and one that...
Gespeichert in:
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2004
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 04/117 |
| Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (""fixed surplus rule"") and one that sets the primary surplus as a linear function of debt to GDP ratio (""variable surplus rule""). A simple debt dynamics equation, incorporating real shocks, is constructed, and the probability of exceeding the critical debt level is simulated using Monte Carlo techniques. The results show that the variable surplus rule performs better than the simple fixed surplus rule, by reducing debt sustainability concerns and the necessary medium-term primary surplus. This result hinges on the government''s ability to make a credible commitment to the variable surplus rule in the medium run |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (14 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451854048 9781451854046 |
Internformat
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:29Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:38Z |
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| spelling | International Monetary Fund Verfasser aut On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2004 1 Online-Ressource (14 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 04/117 Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (""fixed surplus rule"") and one that sets the primary surplus as a linear function of debt to GDP ratio (""variable surplus rule""). A simple debt dynamics equation, incorporating real shocks, is constructed, and the probability of exceeding the critical debt level is simulated using Monte Carlo techniques. The results show that the variable surplus rule performs better than the simple fixed surplus rule, by reducing debt sustainability concerns and the necessary medium-term primary surplus. This result hinges on the government''s ability to make a credible commitment to the variable surplus rule in the medium run Online-Ausg International Monetary Fund Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05019-9781451854046/05019-9781451854046/05019-9781451854046.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_auth | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_exact_search | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_exact_search_txtP | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_full | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_fullStr | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_full_unstemmed | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_short | On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules |
| title_sort | on fixed and variable fiscal surplus rules |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05019-9781451854046/05019-9781451854046/05019-9781451854046.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT internationalmonetaryfund onfixedandvariablefiscalsurplusrules |