Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies:
We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg (currenc...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2003
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 03/60 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg (currency board), default is a more likely outcome, even without an exceptionally large short-term debt, precisely because a devaluation is not an option. In a more conventional fixed peg, it can be optimal for the government to choose a level of the exchange rate that would be likely to result in partial or complete debt default. Depending on the exchange rate regime, multiple equilibria exist, in one of which the interest rate is high, the exchange rate is overvalued, output is low, and default is high. Under a hard peg, there is a unique equilibrium |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (22 p) |
ISBN: | 1451848072 9781451848076 |
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spelling | Montiel, Peter Verfasser aut Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies Montiel, Peter Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2003 1 Online-Ressource (22 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 03/60 We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg (currency board), default is a more likely outcome, even without an exceptionally large short-term debt, precisely because a devaluation is not an option. In a more conventional fixed peg, it can be optimal for the government to choose a level of the exchange rate that would be likely to result in partial or complete debt default. Depending on the exchange rate regime, multiple equilibria exist, in one of which the interest rate is high, the exchange rate is overvalued, output is low, and default is high. Under a hard peg, there is a unique equilibrium Online-Ausg Jahjah, Samir Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02182-9781451848076/02182-9781451848076/02182-9781451848076.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Montiel, Peter Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies |
title | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies |
title_auth | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies |
title_exact_search | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies |
title_exact_search_txtP | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies |
title_full | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies Montiel, Peter |
title_fullStr | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies Montiel, Peter |
title_full_unstemmed | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies Montiel, Peter |
title_short | Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies |
title_sort | exchange rate policy and debt crises in emerging economies |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02182-9781451848076/02182-9781451848076/02182-9781451848076.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT montielpeter exchangeratepolicyanddebtcrisesinemergingeconomies AT jahjahsamir exchangeratepolicyanddebtcrisesinemergingeconomies |