Will there Be New Emerging-Market Economies in Africa by the Year 2020?:

This paper examines past African growth experience and attempts to simulate future ones. In addition to more commonly used determinants of total factor productivity, a measure of the effect of labor reallocation and an index of economic diversification are constructed and included as factors for lon...

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1. Verfasser: Berthélemy, Jean-Claude (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2002
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 02/131
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Zusammenfassung:This paper examines past African growth experience and attempts to simulate future ones. In addition to more commonly used determinants of total factor productivity, a measure of the effect of labor reallocation and an index of economic diversification are constructed and included as factors for long-term growth. A simple model is constructed for the purpose of simulating growth scenarios up to the year 2020 for Burkina Faso, Côte d''Ivoire, Ghana, Mali, Tanzania, and Uganda. Even if one makes relatively optimistic assumptions, Africa is not likely to reach ""Asian tiger"" levels of growth. The results also suggest that growth will depend, to a large extent, on educational investments and productivity gains in agriculture
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (37 p)
ISBN:145185529X
9781451855296

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