Are Currency Crises Predictable?:

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of exchan...

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1. Verfasser: Valdés, Rodrigo O. (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1997
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 97/159
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Zusammenfassung:This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of exchange rate misalignment into consideration, expectations fail to anticipate currency crises
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (19 p)
ISBN:1451857632
9781451857634

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