The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion:
The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on i...
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1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2009
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 09/219 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion. Incidences of surprise crises lead investors to doubt the accuracy of their informationgathering technology, which endogenously increases the probability of crises elsewhere. Anticipated crisis, instead, have the opposite effect. Importantly, this channel is empirically shown to have an independent effect beyond other contagion channels |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (40 p) |
ISBN: | 1451873662 9781451873665 |
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spelling | Kannan, Prakash Verfasser aut The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion Kannan, Prakash Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2009 1 Online-Ressource (40 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 09/219 The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion. Incidences of surprise crises lead investors to doubt the accuracy of their informationgathering technology, which endogenously increases the probability of crises elsewhere. Anticipated crisis, instead, have the opposite effect. Importantly, this channel is empirically shown to have an independent effect beyond other contagion channels Online-Ausg Köhler-Geib, Fritzi Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/10489-9781451873665/10489-9781451873665/10489-9781451873665.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Kannan, Prakash The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion |
title | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion |
title_auth | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion |
title_exact_search | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion |
title_exact_search_txtP | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion |
title_full | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion Kannan, Prakash |
title_fullStr | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion Kannan, Prakash |
title_full_unstemmed | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion Kannan, Prakash |
title_short | The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion |
title_sort | the uncertainty channel of contagion |
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